Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

Arsenal
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Everton
Emirates Stadium, London·Tony Harrington 24/10/2026
ArsenalArsenal
2-0
Finished
EvertonEverton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+2.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Arsenal Rest
2 days
Everton Rest
7 days

Arsenal vs Everton: result, form and history

Arsenal beat Everton 2-0 in the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Arsenal have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.45
X
18%4.61
2
12%7.45
Double Chance
1X
88%1.10
X2
30%2.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.92
No
52%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.93 + 0.95 = 2.88
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.80
Over 3.5
32%2.92
Under 1.5
24%3.94
Under 2.5
46%2.06
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.50
Over 9.5
49%1.86
Over 10.5
38%2.40
Under 8.5
40%2.40
Under 9.5
51%1.87
Under 10.5
62%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%1.95
Over 4.5
27%3.05
Under 3.5
55%1.80
Under 4.5
73%1.35

Match Events

7'Ezri Konsa Assist: Viktor Gyökeres
45+2'Vitaliy MykolenkoFoul
58'Myles Lewis-SkellyFoul
64'Mikel Arteta AmatriainDissent
66'James GarnerArgument
68'Mikel Merino INBruno Guimarães out
68'Viktor Gyökeres INKai Havertz out
68'Myles Lewis-Skelly INRiccardo Calafiori out
68'Gabriel dos Santos MagalhãesAssist: Ben White
72'Brennan Johnson INTyler Dibling out
74'Vitaliy Mykolenko INHayden Hackney out
79'David William MoyesDissent
79'James TarkowskiFoul
80'Declan Rice INMartín Zubimendi out
80'Eberechi Eze INMax Dowman out
86'Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall INCharly Alcaraz out

Lineups

Arsenal
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikel Arteta
Everton
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Moyes
Avg rating7.18
Avg rating6.33
David Raya6.81D. Raya
B. White7.94B. White
E. Konsa8.515E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães8.56G. Magalhães
M. Lewis-Skelly7.249M. Lewis-Skelly
D. Rice7.241D. Rice
Mikel Merino6.423M. Merino
N. Madueke6.920N. Madueke
M. Ødegaard7.18M. Ødegaard
E. Eze6.610E. Eze
V. Gyökeres7.014V. Gyökeres
J. Pickford6.81J. Pickford
M. Röhl6.634M. Röhl
J. Tarkowski6.46J. Tarkowski
J. O'Brien6.415J. O'Brien
V. Mykolenko6.216V. Mykolenko
H. Armstrong6.645H. Armstrong
J. Garner6.137J. Garner
B. Johnson6.022B. Johnson
K. Dewsbury-Hall6.38K. Dewsbury-Hall
Tyrique George6.519T. George
T. Barry6.311T. Barry

Arsenal Substitutes

39Bruno Guimarães68'for Mikel Merino7.4
36Martín Zubimendi80'for Declan Rice6.8
33R. Calafiori68'for Myles Lewis-Skelly7.6
12J. Timber
5P. Hincapié
3Cristhian Mosquera
13Kepa
56M. Dowman80'for Eberechi Eze6.5
29K. Havertz68'for Viktor Gyökeres6.6

Everton Substitutes

58B. Graham
12M. Travers
31T. King
2A. Maitland-Niles
5M. Keane
20T. Dibling72'for Brennan Johnson6.7
23C. Nørgaard
24C. Alcaraz86'for Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall5.7
30H. Hackney74'for Vitaliy Mykolenko6.1

Match Stats

ArsenalEverton
58%Ball Possession42%
12Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box2
10Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
509Total Passes366
441Passes Accurate315
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

ArsenalArsenal
EvertonEverton
2038Elo Rating 1801
1.68Attack 0.82
1.87Defense 2.00
59%Hit Rate 36%
12.7Shots per Game 13.5
4.4Shots on Target 4.8
5.4Corners per Game 5.3
1.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+237 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArsenalArsenal
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
EvertonEverton
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ArsenalArsenal6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
EvertonEverton2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League14/03/2026
ArsenalEverton
20
Premier League20/12/2025
EvertonArsenal
01
Premier League05/04/2025
EvertonArsenal
11
Premier League14/12/2024
ArsenalEverton
00
Premier League19/05/2024
ArsenalEverton
21
Premier League17/09/2023
EvertonArsenal
01
Premier League01/03/2023
ArsenalEverton
40
Premier League04/02/2023
EvertonArsenal
10
Premier League22/05/2022
ArsenalEverton
51
Premier League06/12/2021
EvertonArsenal
21

Referee Profile

Tony Harrington145 matches

3.53Cards per match
3.42Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tony Harrington3.53
Other referees3.74

3.53 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.74).

Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal760111:5+618WWLWW
3BrightonBrighton751123:5+1816WWWWD
4ChelseaChelsea741217:13+413WWLDL
5LiverpoolLiverpool73319:8+112WLWDW
6Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
7BrentfordBrentford724113:8+510LDWDD
8LeedsLeeds72419:6+310DLDWD
9EvertonEverton72418:7+110LDWDD
10IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
11Hull CityHull City72328:7+19LDLDD
12NewcastleNewcastle722310:14-48LLWLD
13Manchester UnitedManchester United714210:1007DDDLD
14Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace72149:17-87LWDLW
15BournemouthBournemouth71339:13-46WLLDD
16TottenhamTottenham71336:10-46WDLDD
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
18CoventryCoventry72056:14-86LWWLL
19FulhamFulham71247:10-35WLDDL
20SunderlandSunderland71156:14-84LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal711:518
3BrightonBrighton723:516
4ChelseaChelsea717:1313
5LiverpoolLiverpool79:812
6Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
7BrentfordBrentford713:810
8LeedsLeeds79:610
9EvertonEverton78:710
10IpswichIpswich812:1610
11Hull CityHull City78:79
12NewcastleNewcastle710:148
13Manchester UnitedManchester United710:107
14Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace79:177
15BournemouthBournemouth79:136
16TottenhamTottenham76:106
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
18CoventryCoventry76:146
19FulhamFulham77:105
20SunderlandSunderland76:144
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Arsenal vs Everton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arsenal and Everton in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Arsenal are 2nd and Everton 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Arsenal 11-5, Everton 8-7. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.