AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

AS Roma
4-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Cagliari
Stadio Olimpico, Rome·Ermanno Feliciani 27/10/2026
AS RomaAS Roma
4-2
Finished
CagliariCagliari

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.29
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
AS Roma Rest
3 days
Cagliari Rest
3 days

AS Roma vs Cagliari: the result in context

AS Roma beat Cagliari 4-2 in the Serie A on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AS Roma have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Referee Ermanno Feliciani averages 3.48 cards a game, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.29
X
17%5.49
2
10%11.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.05
X2
27%3.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.23
No
53%1.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 0.82 = 2.84
Over 1.5
80%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.74
Over 3.5
37%2.77
Under 1.5
20%4.13
Under 2.5
41%2.11
Under 3.5
63%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.4 + 3.7 = 11
Over 8.5
73%1.58
Over 9.5
63%2.00
Over 10.5
53%2.55
Under 8.5
27%2.25
Under 9.5
37%1.76
Under 10.5
47%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.1 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%2.44
Over 4.5
27%3.73
Under 3.5
54%1.53
Under 4.5
73%1.26

Match Events

7'Penalty confirmedMichel Adopo
10'M'Bala Nzola(Penalty)
15'Emanuele LulliAssist: Nahuel Molina
21'Niccolò PisilliAssist: Emanuele Lulli
45'Nahuel Molina INWesley Vinícius França Lima out
56'Santiago Thomas Castro INDonyell Malen out
56'Marten de Roon INRodrigo Mora out
63'M'Bala Nzola INPaul Mendy out
76'Emanuele Lulli INDevyne Rensch out
76'Alieu Fadera INDaniel Maldini out
76'Alessandro Deiola INJoseph Liteta out
81'Daniel MaldiniAssist: Adam Obert
82'Gianluca Mancini INDaniele Ghilardi out
85'Rodrigo MoraAssist: Daniele Ghilardi
87'Donyell Malen
90+1'Michel Adopo INYanis Massolin out
90+1'Yukinari Sugawara INYael Trepy out
90+4'Juan RodriguezFoul

Lineups

AS Roma
3-5-2Coach: G. Gasperini
Cagliari
3-5-1-1Coach: F. Pisacane
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.44
P. Gollini7.995P. Gollini
G. Mancini6.323G. Mancini
E. Ndicka6.55E. Ndicka
K. Koulierakis6.63K. Koulierakis
E. Lulli7.877E. Lulli
B. Cristante6.64B. Cristante
M. de Roon6.815M. de Roon
N. Pisilli7.461N. Pisilli
N. Molina7.120N. Molina
M. Soulé6.918M. Soulé
S. Castro6.59S. Castro
E. Caprile6.01E. Caprile
Zé Pedro5.92Z. Pedro
Y. Mina6.126Y. Mina
J. Rodríguez6.715J. Rodríguez
Y. Sugawara6.028Y. Sugawara
M. Adopo6.48M. Adopo
A. Romano6.54A. Romano
A. Deiola6.214A. Deiola
A. Obert7.133A. Obert
A. Fadera6.339A. Fadera
M'Bala Nzola6.818M. Nzola

AS Roma Substitutes

43Wesley45'for Nahuel Molina6.4
32D. Vásquez
2D. Rensch76'for Emanuele Lulli6.1
14D. Malen56'for Santiago Thomas Castro87'7.2
22Hermoso
87D. Ghilardi82'for Gianluca Mancini6.3
63Alessandro Di Nunzio
70G. De Marzi
78Mandjou Camara
26L. Balerdi
86Rodrigo Mora56'for Marten de Roon85'8.2

Cagliari Substitutes

10J. Fazzini
19Y. Trepy90+1'for Yukinari Sugawara
21R. Gagliardini
9Kevin Carlos
22R. Kofler
27J. Liteta76'for Alessandro Deiola5.7
70D. Maldini76'for Alieu Fadera81'8.1
79Y. Massolin90+1'for Michel Adopo
31P. Mendy63'for M'Bala Nzola6.5
23B. Radunović
12A. Sherri
32Ivan Stoyanov Sulev
20R. Ciervo
24G. Aurelio

Match Stats

AS RomaCagliari
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots4
8Fouls8
2Offsides3
6Goalkeeper Saves4
584Total Passes373
507Passes Accurate296
6Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

AS RomaAS Roma
CagliariCagliari
1935Elo Rating 1692
2.61Attack 0.64
1.53Defense 1.21
42%Hit Rate 31%
18.9Shots per Game 7.1
5.8Shots on Target 2.8
6.9Corners per Game 2.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+243 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AS RomaAS Roma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AS RomaAS Roma7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
CagliariCagliari2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A09/02/2026
AS RomaCagliari
20
Serie A07/12/2025
CagliariAS Roma
10
Serie A16/03/2025
AS RomaCagliari
10
Serie A18/08/2024
CagliariAS Roma
00
Serie A05/02/2024
AS RomaCagliari
40
Serie A08/10/2023
CagliariAS Roma
14
Serie A16/01/2022
AS RomaCagliari
10
Serie A27/10/2021
CagliariAS Roma
12
Serie A25/04/2021
CagliariAS Roma
32
Serie A23/12/2020
AS RomaCagliari
32

Referee Profile

Ermanno Feliciani111 matches

3.48Cards per match
3.37Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ermanno Feliciani3.48
Other referees4.54

3.48 cards a match, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
2InterInter871023:10+1322WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan853016:7+918WWDWD
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
12LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese81169:18-94LLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
19ParmaParma81165:15-104LLLWL
20VeneziaVenezia81076:17-113LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio922:725
2InterInter823:1022
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan816:718
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
12LecceLecce89:149
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese89:184
18FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
19ParmaParma85:154
20VeneziaVenezia86:173
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the AS Roma vs Cagliari forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AS Roma and Cagliari in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, AS Roma are 3rd and Cagliari 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: AS Roma 23-8, Cagliari 8-13. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.