Monza vs Cagliari Prediction

Monza
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cagliari
Stadio Brianteo, Monza·Andrea Calzavara 19/10/2026
MonzaMonza
4-0
Finished
CagliariCagliari

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Monza Rest
8 days
Cagliari Rest
7 days

Monza vs Cagliari: result, form and history

Monza beat Cagliari 4-0 in the Serie A on 19 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Cagliari had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Monza.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Monza tend to win more corners, 4.7 a game to 2.5 for Cagliari.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.31
X
27%3.25
2
34%3.20
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
61%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.78
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.3 = 2.59
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
48%2.06
Over 3.5
28%3.48
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
52%1.79
Under 3.5
72%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
58%1.60
Over 9.5
47%2.01
Over 10.5
36%2.63
Under 8.5
42%2.20
Under 9.5
53%1.74
Under 10.5
64%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.70
Over 4.5
35%2.63
Under 3.5
46%2.08
Under 4.5
65%1.47

Match Events

39'Eddy KouadioAssist: Dany Mota
47'Gustavo VarelaAssist: Foe Ondoa
53'M'Bala Nzola INAlieu Fadera out
64'Dany Mota INAndrea Colpani out
66'Jay RobinsonAssist: Gustavo Varela
67'Zé Pedro INYukinari Sugawara out
67'Daniel Maldini INKevin Carlos out
76'Harry WinksFoul
79'Gustavo Varela
81'Ebenezer Akinsanmiro INMichael Folorunsho out
81'Gustavo Varela INPatrick Cutrone out
81'Eddy Kouadio INAdam Bakoune out
81'Alessandro Romano INAlessandro Deiola out
81'Harry Winks INJoseph Liteta out
82'Samuele BirindelliArgument
82'Alieu FaderaArgument
87'Jay Robinson INOmari Forson out

Lineups

Monza
3-4-2-1Coach: I. Juric
Cagliari
4-3-1-2Coach: F. Pisacane
Avg rating7.41
Avg rating6.09
N. Törnqvist7.61N. Törnqvist
E. Kouadio8.660E. Kouadio
S. Goglichidze7.72S. Goglichidze
A. Carboni6.844A. Carboni
S. Birindelli6.519S. Birindelli
M. Ondoa7.88M. Ondoa
E. Akinsanmiro6.714E. Akinsanmiro
Ricardo Mangas6.97R. Mangas
Dany Mota7.747D. Mota
Jay Robinson8.246J. Robinson
Gustavo Varela9.79G. Varela
E. Caprile5.61E. Caprile
Zé Pedro5.92Z. Pedro
Y. Mina6.426Y. Mina
J. Rodríguez6.615J. Rodríguez
A. Obert5.733A. Obert
M. Adopo5.78M. Adopo
H. Winks6.16H. Winks
A. Romano6.54A. Romano
D. Maldini6.970D. Maldini
P. Mendy5.331P. Mendy
M'Bala Nzola6.218M. Nzola

Monza Substitutes

6V. Antov
24A. Bakoune81'for Eddy Kouadio7.1
26P. Ciurria
21L. Colombo
28A. Colpani64'for Dany Mota7.2
10P. Cutrone81'for Gustavo Varela6.6
90M. Folorunsho81'for Ebenezer Akinsanmiro6.8
11O. Forson87'for Jay Robinson6.7
80M. Mout
16C. Ngonge
43A. Strajnar
20D. Thiam

Cagliari Substitutes

28Y. Sugawara67'for Zé Pedro5.8
32Ivan Stoyanov Sulev
14A. Deiola81'for Alessandro Romano6.2
12A. Sherri
23B. Radunović
79Y. Massolin
27J. Liteta81'for Harry Winks5.9
22R. Kofler
9Kevin Carlos67'for Daniel Maldini6.1
21R. Gagliardini
10J. Fazzini
39A. Fadera53'for M'Bala Nzola82'6.6
20R. Ciervo
24G. Aurelio

Match Stats

MonzaCagliari
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls14
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
419Total Passes503
347Passes Accurate431
14Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

MonzaMonza
CagliariCagliari
1698Elo Rating 1692
2.26Attack 0.64
1.02Defense 1.21
39%Hit Rate 31%
13.0Shots per Game 7.1
5.9Shots on Target 2.8
4.7Corners per Game 2.5
1.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonzaMonza
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

MonzaMonza1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
CagliariCagliari2Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A30/03/2025
CagliariMonza
30
Serie A05/01/2025
MonzaCagliari
12
Serie A16/03/2024
MonzaCagliari
10
Serie A26/11/2023
CagliariMonza
11

Referee Profile

Andrea Calzavara97 matches

4.08Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
29.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Calzavara4.08
Other referees4.22

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 26 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
2InterInter871023:10+1322WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma853019:6+1318DWDDW
4AC MilanAC Milan853016:7+918WWDWD
5ComoComo852114:7+717WWDLW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino841313:11+213WWWDL
9CagliariCagliari84136:9-313LLDWW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
12LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese81169:18-94LLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
19ParmaParma81165:15-104LLLWL
20VeneziaVenezia81076:17-113LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio922:725
2InterInter823:1022
3AS RomaAS Roma819:618
4AC MilanAC Milan816:718
5ComoComo814:717
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino813:1113
9CagliariCagliari86:913
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
12LecceLecce89:149
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese89:184
18FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
19ParmaParma85:154
20VeneziaVenezia86:173
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Monza vs Cagliari forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monza and Cagliari in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Cagliari are 9th and Monza 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Monza 15-18, Cagliari 6-9. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.