Sassuolo vs Lazio Prediction

Sassuolo
2-6
Finished
HT 2-4
Lazio
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia·Luca Zufferli 27/10/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
2-6
Finished
LazioLazio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Sassuolo Rest
3 days
Lazio Rest
2 days

Sassuolo vs Lazio: the result in context

Lazio beat Sassuolo 6-2 in the Serie A on 27 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lazio had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sassuolo.

Lazio have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Luca Zufferli averages 4.00 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.49
X
28%3.56
2
48%2.08
Double Chance
1X
52%1.75
X2
76%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.55
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.38 = 2.52
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.70
Over 3.5
31%2.74
Under 1.5
24%4.33
Under 2.5
47%2.19
Under 3.5
69%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.1 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.56
Over 9.5
52%1.95
Over 10.5
41%2.53
Under 8.5
37%2.23
Under 9.5
48%1.78
Under 10.5
59%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.74
Over 4.5
43%2.31
Under 3.5
38%2.02
Under 4.5
57%1.57

Match Events

2'Kenneth Taylor
7'Kristian ThorstvedtAssist: Josh Doig
13'Gustav IsaksenAssist: Mattia Zaccagni
16'Romano Floriani MussoliniAssist: Kenneth Taylor
16'Goal confirmedRomano Floriani Mussolini
28'Kenneth TaylorFoul
31'Kristian ThorstvedtSerious foul
43'Sebastiano EspositoAssist: Simone Cinquegrano
45'Kenneth Taylor INFisayo Dele-Bashiru out
45'Darryl Bakola INIbrahim Sulemana out
45+1'Mattia ZaccagniAssist: Gustav Isaksen
47'Penalty confirmedMattia Zaccagni
50'Mattia Zaccagni(Penalty missed)
54'Domenico BerardiDissent
55'Tijjani NoslinAssist: Mattia Zaccagni
61'Davide Frattesi(Penalty missed)
62'Romano Floriani Mussolini INManuel Lazzari out
63'Nuno Tavares INAlfonso Pedraza out
63'Gustav Isaksen INMatteo Cancellieri out
63'Sebastiano Esposito INKieron Bowie out
63'Domenico Berardi INFali Cande out
65'Tijjani NoslinAssist: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
70'Armand Lauriente INAndrea Ghion out
71'Tijjani Noslin INAndrea Pinamonti out
82'Duje Ćaleta-Car INSebastian Walukiewicz out

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: A. Aquilani
Lazio
4-3-3Coach: G. Gattuso
Avg rating6.13
Avg rating7.08
S. Turati5.980S. Turati
S. Cinquegrano5.946S. Cinquegrano
C. Odenthal5.926C. Odenthal
D. Ćaleta-Car5.815D. Ćaleta-Car
J. Doig6.53J. Doig
K. Thorstvedt6.442K. Thorstvedt
L. Lipani6.435L. Lipani
D. Bakola6.350D. Bakola
D. Berardi5.610D. Berardi
S. Esposito7.794S. Esposito
A. Laurienté6.345A. Laurienté
C. Mandas6.435C. Mandas
R. Floriani Mussolini7.415R. Floriani Mussolini
J. Šutalo6.537J. Šutalo
Diogo Leite6.52D. Leite
Nuno Tavares6.217N. Tavares
D. Frattesi6.216D. Frattesi
R. Belahyane6.721R. Belahyane
K. Taylor7.624K. Taylor
G. Isaksen8.611G. Isaksen
T. Noslin8.814T. Noslin
M. Zaccagni9.510M. Zaccagni

Sassuolo Substitutes

25B. Domínguez
6S. Walukiewicz82'for Duje Ćaleta-Car5.5
8A. Ghion70'for Armand Lauriente5.7
21J. Idzes
18N. Matić
49A. Murić
33Rafael Obrador
77N. Pierini
12G. Satalino
55I. Sulemana45'for Darryl Bakola6.6
20I. Van der Brempt
7C. Volpato
5Fali Candé63'for Domenico Berardi5.5
9K. Bowie63'for Sebastiano Esposito6.2
17Vasilije Adžić

Lazio Substitutes

63F. Serra
33Ricardo Bordon
22M. Cancellieri63'for Gustav Isaksen6.4
32D. Cataldi
7F. Dele-Bashiru45'for Kenneth Taylor6.7
5D. Doekhi
47D. Renzetti
28A. Przyborek
25O. Provstgaard
9A. Pinamonti71'for Tijjani Noslin6.9
3L. Pellegrini
23Pedraza63'for Nuno Tavares6.8
40E. Motta
29M. Lazzari62'for Romano Floriani Mussolini6.0
71V. Farcomeni

Match Stats

SassuoloLazio
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots16
2Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal4
2Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots4
7Fouls13
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves0
443Total Passes624
390Passes Accurate571
12Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
LazioLazio
1725Elo Rating 1871
1.24Attack 2.42
0.74Defense 2.25
14%Hit Rate 86%
11.8Shots per Game 14.2
4.3Shots on Target 4.3
3.8Corners per Game 5.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LazioLazio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SassuoloSassuolo3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
LazioLazio6Wins · 60%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A09/03/2026
LazioSassuolo
21
Serie A14/09/2025
SassuoloLazio
10
Serie A26/05/2024
LazioSassuolo
11
Serie A21/10/2023
SassuoloLazio
02
Serie A03/05/2023
LazioSassuolo
20
Serie A15/01/2023
SassuoloLazio
02
Serie A02/04/2022
LazioSassuolo
21
Serie A12/12/2021
SassuoloLazio
21
Serie A23/05/2021
SassuoloLazio
20
Serie A24/01/2021
LazioSassuolo
21

Referee Profile

Luca Zufferli115 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Zufferli4.00
Other referees4.52

4.00 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.52).

Cards come from 91 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
2InterInter871023:10+1322WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma853019:6+1318DWDDW
4AC MilanAC Milan853016:7+918WWDWD
5ComoComo852114:7+717WWDLW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino841313:11+213WWWDL
9CagliariCagliari84136:9-313LLDWW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
12LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese81169:18-94LLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
19ParmaParma81165:15-104LLLWL
20VeneziaVenezia81076:17-113LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio922:725
2InterInter823:1022
3AS RomaAS Roma819:618
4AC MilanAC Milan816:718
5ComoComo814:717
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino813:1113
9CagliariCagliari86:913
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
12LecceLecce89:149
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese89:184
18FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
19ParmaParma85:154
20VeneziaVenezia86:173
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Sassuolo vs Lazio forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sassuolo and Lazio in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Lazio are 1st and Sassuolo 14th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Sassuolo 14-22, Lazio 22-7. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lazio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.