São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 22
São Bernardo
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
Estádio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo do Campo·Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior, Brazil 15/08/2026
São BernardoSão Bernardo
0-1
Finished
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
São Bernardo Rest
7 days
Botafogo SP Rest
6 days

São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP: the result in context

Botafogo SP beat São Bernardo 1-0 in the Serie B on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

São Bernardo have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.44
X
30%2.92
2
28%3.10
Double Chance
1X
72%1.33
X2
58%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.00
No
49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.94 = 2.40
Over 1.5
69%1.47
Over 2.5
46%2.40
Over 3.5
24%4.75
Under 1.5
31%2.59
Under 2.5
54%1.50
Under 3.5
76%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
61%1.28
Over 9.5
51%1.51
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
39%3.19
Under 9.5
49%2.39
Under 10.5
59%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
45%1.62
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
55%2.16

Match Events

46'Hygor INArthur Caike out
48'ParaFoul
58'Wallace INHebert out
62'Helder MacielUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'Pedrinho INPedro Vitor out
70'Hyoran INLeo Jaba out
72'Patrick BreyAssist: Ze Hugo
77'Victor SouzaDelay of game
79'Foguinho INLucas Lima out
79'Romisson INFabricio Daniel out
83'Matheus Sales INGuilherme Mariano out
83'Rafael Gava INMarco Antonio out
86'Para INDaniel Amorim out
90+1'Ze Hugo INLeandro Maciel out

Lineups

São Bernardo
4-2-3-1Coach: Catala Ricardo
Botafogo SP
4-2-3-1Coach: Tencati Claudio
Avg rating6.73
Avg rating6.81
Júnior Oliveira6.612J. Oliveira
Rodrigo Ferreira6.22R. Ferreira
Helder Maciel7.63H. Maciel
Jemerson7.235Jemerson
Pará7.26Pará
FoguinhoC6.78Foguinho
Dudu Miraíma7.626D. Miraíma
Romisson6.517Romisson
Hyoran6.742Hyoran
Pedrinho6.929Pedrinho
Felipe Garcia6.39F. Garcia
Victor Souza8.31V. Souza
Gabriel Inocêncio6.322G. Inocêncio
Vilar7.24Vilar
Wallace6.713Wallace
Patrick BreyC7.66P. Brey
Everton Morelli6.68E. Morelli
Matheus Sales6.316M. Sales
Zé Hugo7.530Z. Hugo
Rafael Gava6.510R. Gava
Wesley Pinheiro7.323W. Pinheiro
Hygor6.39Hygor

São Bernardo Substitutes

22Leo Lang
97Augusto
21Hugo
25Wellington Manzoli
14Lucas Lima79'for Foguinho6.6
27Echaporã
36Galdino
37Daniel Davi Simão Roque
89Daniel Amorim86'for Para6.3
98Léo Jabá70'for Hyoran6.2
10Fabrício Daniel79'for Romisson6.5
11Pedro Vitor70'for Pedrinho6.6

Botafogo SP Substitutes

12Jordan
31Pedrinho
34Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira58'for Wallace6.2
15Guilherme Mariano83'for Matheus Sales6.3
26Felipe Vieira
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
28Marco Antonio Batistussi83'for Rafael Gava6.6
5Leandro Maciel90+1'for Ze Hugo
11Jefferson Nem
18Arthur Caíke46'for Hygor6.5
7Kelvin

Match Stats

São BernardoBotafogo SP
64%Ball Possession36%
12Corner Kicks11
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots7
8Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
465Total Passes253
400Passes Accurate196
86%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

São BernardoSão Bernardo
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1618Elo Rating 1599
1.70Attack 2.00
1.46Defense 2.77
50%Hit Rate 77%
11.5Shots per Game 13.2
4.2Shots on Target 3.9
6.2Corners per Game 6.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

São BernardoSão Bernardo3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B06/04/2026
Botafogo SPSão Bernardo
12
Paulista - A126/01/2025
Botafogo SPSão Bernardo
01
Paulista - A119/02/2023
São BernardoBotafogo SP
21
Paulista - A128/02/2022
Botafogo SPSão Bernardo
10

Recent Form

São BernardoSão Bernardo
2W3D5L
08/08/2026
Operario-PRSão Bernardo
13
W
26/07/2026
São BernardoCeara
34
L
24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
21
L
18/07/2026
São BernardoAvai
11
D12/07/2026
São BernardoCuiaba
22
D
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
L
27/06/2026
CriciumaSão Bernardo
10
L21/06/2026
São BernardoJuventude
01
L14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
23
W
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro
21
W
29/07/2026
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP
10
L
24/07/2026
Botafogo SPJuventude
42
W18/07/2026
LondrinaBotafogo SP
00
D11/07/2026
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
33
D07/07/2026
Botafogo SPAvai
31
W
01/07/2026
Botafogo SPCRB
01
L
21/06/2026
CearaBotafogo SP
01
W15/06/2026
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
21
W09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
L

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
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About the São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

São Bernardo and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table

São Bernardo and Botafogo SP are close in the Serie B table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: São Bernardo 52-42, Botafogo SP 45-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.