São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP Prediction

São Bernardo
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
Estádio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo do Campo· Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior, Brazil 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel35%RiskMediumGap+5.7%
São Bernardo Rest
7 days
Botafogo SP Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.44
X
30%2.92
2
28%3.10
Double Chance
1X
72%1.33
X2
58%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%2.00
No
49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.94 = 2.40
Over 1.5
69%1.47
Over 2.5
46%2.40
Over 3.5
24%4.75
Under 1.5
31%2.59
Under 2.5
54%1.50
Under 3.5
76%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
61%1.28
Over 9.5
51%1.51
Over 10.5
41%1.85
Under 8.5
39%3.19
Under 9.5
49%2.39
Under 10.5
59%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
45%1.62
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
55%2.16

Match Events

46'Hygor INArthur Caike out
48'ParaFoul
58'Wallace INHebert out
62'Helder MacielUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'Pedrinho INPedro Vitor out
70'Hyoran INLeo Jaba out
72'Patrick BreyAssist: Ze Hugo
77'Victor SouzaDelay of game
79'Foguinho INLucas Lima out
79'Romisson INFabricio Daniel out
83'Matheus Sales INGuilherme Mariano out
83'Rafael Gava INMarco Antonio out
86'Para INDaniel Amorim out
90+1'Ze Hugo INLeandro Maciel out

Lineups

São Bernardo
4-2-3-1Coach: Catala Ricardo
Botafogo SP
4-2-3-1Coach: Tencati Claudio
Júnior Oliveira12J. OliveiraJúnior Oliveira
Rodrigo Ferreira2R. FerreiraRodrigo Ferreira
Helder Maciel3H. MacielHelder Maciel
Jemerson35JemersonJemerson
Pará6ParáPará
Foguinho8FoguinhoFoguinho
Dudu Miraíma26D. MiraímaDudu Miraíma
Romisson17RomissonRomisson
Hyoran42HyoranHyoran
Pedrinho29PedrinhoPedrinho
Felipe Garcia9F. GarciaFelipe Garcia
Victor Souza1V. SouzaVictor Souza
Gabriel Inocêncio22G. InocêncioGabriel Inocêncio
Vilar4VilarVilar
Wallace13WallaceWallace
Patrick Brey6P. BreyPatrick Brey
Everton Morelli8E. MorelliEverton Morelli
Matheus Sales16M. SalesMatheus Sales
Zé Hugo30Z. HugoZé Hugo
Rafael Gava10R. GavaRafael Gava
Wesley Pinheiro23W. PinheiroWesley Pinheiro
Hygor9HygorHygor

São Bernardo Substitutes

22Leo LangG
97AugustoD
21HugoD
25Wellington ManzoliD
14Lucas LimaM
27EchaporãF
36GaldinoM
37Daniel Davi Simão RoqueF
89Daniel AmorimF
98Léo JabáF
10Fabrício DanielF
11Pedro VitorF

Botafogo SP Substitutes

12JordanG
31PedrinhoD
34Hebert Willian Badaró OliveiraD
15Guilherme MarianoD
26Felipe VieiraD
20Yuri Felipe Santos da ConceicaoM
28Marco Antonio BatistussiM
5Leandro MacielM
11Jefferson NemF
18Arthur CaíkeF
7KelvinF

Match Stats

São BernardoBotafogo SP
64%Ball Possession36%
12Corner Kicks11
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots7
8Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
465Total Passes253
400Passes Accurate196
86%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

São BernardoSão Bernardo
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1585Elo Rating 1518
1.39Attack 0.66
2.33Defense 0.56
66%Hit Rate 0%
11.5Shots per Game 12.2
4.4Shots on Target 3.0
4.7Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

São Bernardo 81%Draw 0%19% Botafogo SP
2.08Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude29148731:19+1250LLWDD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB291361042:41+145LWLWW
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife291111739:29+1044WLWLL
10GoiasGoias291261130:35-542WWLLW
11São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club291011834:31+341DWLWL
13CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP29881332:36-432DLLLL
17AvaiAvai29861530:38-830LDLLL
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta29342217:62-4513WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2931:1950
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2942:4145
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2939:2944
10GoiasGoias2930:3542
11São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club2934:3141
13CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2932:3632
17AvaiAvai2930:3830
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2917:6213
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São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

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Key Factors for This Match

São Bernardo and Botafogo SP have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.