São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 22
Estádio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo do Campo·Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior, Brazil 15/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
São Bernardo Rest
7 days
Botafogo SP Rest
6 days
São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP: the result in context
Botafogo SP beat São Bernardo 1-0 in the Serie B on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
São Bernardo have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.44
X30%2.92
228%3.10
Double Chance
1X72%1.33
X258%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%2.00
No49%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 0.94 = 2.40
Over 1.569%1.47
Over 2.546%2.40
Over 3.524%4.75
Under 1.531%2.59
Under 2.554%1.50
Under 3.576%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10
Over 8.561%1.28
Over 9.551%1.51
Over 10.541%1.85
Under 8.539%3.19
Under 9.549%2.39
Under 10.559%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.562%-
Over 4.545%1.62
Under 3.538%-
Under 4.555%2.16
Match Events
46'Hygor INArthur Caike out
48'ParaFoul
58'Wallace INHebert out
62'Helder MacielUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'Pedrinho INPedro Vitor out
70'Hyoran INLeo Jaba out
72'Patrick BreyAssist: Ze Hugo
77'Victor SouzaDelay of game
79'Foguinho INLucas Lima out
79'Romisson INFabricio Daniel out
83'Matheus Sales INGuilherme Mariano out
83'Rafael Gava INMarco Antonio out
86'Para INDaniel Amorim out
90+1'Ze Hugo INLeandro Maciel out
Lineups
São BernardoBotafogo SP
4-2-3-1Coach: Tencati ClaudioAvg ratingAvg rating
12J. Oliveira
2R. Ferreira
3H. Maciel
35Jemerson
6Pará
C8Foguinho
26D. Miraíma
17Romisson
42Hyoran
29Pedrinho
9F. Garcia
1V. Souza
22G. Inocêncio
4Vilar
13Wallace
C6P. Brey
8E. Morelli
16M. Sales
30Z. Hugo
10R. Gava
23W. Pinheiro
9HygorSão Bernardo Substitutes
22Leo Lang
97Augusto
21Hugo
25Wellington Manzoli
14Lucas Lima79'for Foguinho
27Echaporã
36Galdino
37Daniel Davi Simão Roque
89Daniel Amorim86'for Para
98Léo Jabá70'for Hyoran
10Fabrício Daniel79'for Romisson
11Pedro Vitor70'for Pedrinho
Botafogo SP Substitutes
12Jordan
31Pedrinho
34Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira58'for Wallace
15Guilherme Mariano83'for Matheus Sales
26Felipe Vieira
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
28Marco Antonio Batistussi83'for Rafael Gava
5Leandro Maciel90+1'for Ze Hugo
11Jefferson Nem
18Arthur Caíke46'for Hygor
7Kelvin
Match Stats
São BernardoBotafogo SP 64%Ball Possession36%
12Corner Kicks11
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots7
8Fouls12
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
465Total Passes253
400Passes Accurate196
86%Pass Accuracy77%
Team Comparison
São BernardoBotafogo SP1618Elo Rating 1599
1.70Attack 2.00
1.46Defense 2.77
50%Hit Rate 77%
11.5Shots per Game 13.2
4.2Shots on Target 3.9
6.2Corners per Game 6.2
2.1Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
São Bernardo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Botafogo SP- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
São Bernardo3Wins · 75%Draws00%
Botafogo SP1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
06/04/2026Botafogo SPSão Bernardo12
26/01/2025Botafogo SPSão Bernardo01
19/02/2023São BernardoBotafogo SP21
28/02/2022Botafogo SPSão Bernardo10
Recent Form
São Bernardo2W3D5L
08/08/2026
Operario-PRSão Bernardo
26/07/2026Operario-PRSão Bernardo13
WSão Bernardo
Ceara34
L24/07/2026
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
18/07/2026Athletic ClubSão Bernardo21
LSão Bernardo
Avai11
D12/07/2026São Bernardo
Cuiaba22
D07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
27/06/2026Vila NovaSão Bernardo21
L
CriciumaSão Bernardo10
L21/06/2026São Bernardo
Juventude01
L14/06/2026São Bernardo
Sport Recife00
D07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
CRBSão Bernardo23
WBotafogo SP5W2D3L
08/08/2026Botafogo SP
America MineiroBotafogo SPJuventude
LondrinaBotafogo SPSport RecifeBotafogo SPBotafogo SPAvaiCearaBotafogo SPBotafogo SPOperario-PRVila NovaBotafogo SP
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro21
W29/07/2026
Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP
24/07/2026Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
LBotafogo SPJuventude42
W18/07/2026LondrinaBotafogo SP00
D11/07/2026Sport RecifeBotafogo SP33
D07/07/2026Botafogo SPAvai31
W01/07/2026Botafogo SPCRB
21/06/2026Botafogo SPCRB01
LCearaBotafogo SP01
W15/06/2026Botafogo SPOperario-PR21
W09/06/2026Vila NovaBotafogo SP10
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 66:32 | +34 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 49:26 | +23 | 68 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 53:38 | +15 | 66 | WDLDW |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 38:31 | +7 | 62 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 44:33 | +11 | 62 | LDDWD |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 57:51 | +6 | 58 | WLWLD |
| 7 |  Goias | 37 | 17 | 7 | 13 | 39:41 | -2 | 58 | WWWDW |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | +10 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:50 | +1 | 57 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 55 | LDWLD |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 54:44 | +10 | 53 | DLWWL |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 45:39 | +6 | 51 | WDWWW |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 48 | DLWLD |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 34:32 | +2 | 47 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 43 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 35:47 | -12 | 40 | WLLDW |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47:59 | -12 | 35 | WLLLW |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 27:55 | -28 | 29 | WWWWL |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 38 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 21:81 | -60 | 15 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | 66:32 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | 49:26 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | 53:38 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | 38:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | 57:51 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | 39:41 | 58 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 37 | 45:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 38 | 51:50 | 57 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 37 | 50:42 | 55 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 38 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | 45:39 | 51 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 38 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 37 | 34:32 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 38 | 41:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | 35:47 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 38 | 47:59 | 35 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 37 | 27:55 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 38 | 21:81 | 15 |
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This match
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About the São Bernardo vs Botafogo SP forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
São Bernardo and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table
São Bernardo and Botafogo SP are close in the Serie B table, 11th and 12th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: São Bernardo 54-44, Botafogo SP 45-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.