Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife Prediction

Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania·Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Atletico Goianiense Rest
3 days
Sport Recife Rest
4 days

Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife: result, form and history

Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 5 matches. Atletico Goianiense tend to win more corners, 10.2 a game to 4.8 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.76
X
28%3.49
2
17%4.42
Double Chance
1X
83%1.18
X2
45%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.83
No
49%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 0.81 = 2.30
Over 1.5
71%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.91
Over 3.5
26%3.25
Under 1.5
29%3.30
Under 2.5
52%1.82
Under 3.5
74%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.2 = 10.7
Over 8.5
74%1.23
Over 9.5
64%1.44
Over 10.5
48%1.80
Under 8.5
26%3.45
Under 9.5
36%2.50
Under 10.5
52%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

45'Juan INDiego·Hernandez out
45'Carlos María de Pena Bonino INKervin Andrade out
45'Neto Pessoa INPedro Henrique Perotti out
45+4'Geovany SoaresAssist: Leandro Vilela
52'Willian Oliveira IN José Gabriel dos Santos Silva out
65'Marcelo Benevenuto
71'Diego·HernandezFoul
74'Bruno José INMatheuzinho out
74'José Domingos de Moraes Neto INHenrique out
78'Patrick de Paula Carreiro INArthur Maron Cruz out
81'Leandro VilelaTime wasting
81'Leandro Vilela INCristiano Claudinei Nogueira out
81'Guilherme Lopes INYuri out
83'Pedro Henrique Perotti
85'Goal confirmedPedro Henrique Perotti

Lineups

Atletico Goianiense
4-2-3-1Coach: Roger
Sport Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Soso
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.67
Paulo Vítor6.91P. Vítor
Ewerthon7.52Ewerthon
J. Barreto7.33J. Barreto
Adriano Martins7.04A. Martins
Guilherme Lopes6.96G. Lopes
Leandro Vilela7.15L. Vilela
Peixoto6.58Peixoto
Bruno José7.27B. José
Netinho7.210Netinho
Soares Geovany8.211S. Geovany
João Pedro6.19J. Pedro
Thiago Couto7.026T. Couto
Claudinho6.727Claudinho
Marcelo Benevenuto6.05M. Benevenuto
Marcelo Ajul7.03M. Ajul
Edson7.196Edson
Willian Oliveira6.429W. Oliveira
Patrick de Paula6.17P. de Paula
Chrystian Barletta6.330C. Barletta
Juan Alano6.48J. Alano
C. de Pena6.210C. de Pena
Neto Pessoa6.619N. Pessoa

Atletico Goianiense Substitutes

22Isac Niltton Romão Da Silva
20Guilherme Marques
16Yuri81'for Guilherme Lopes6.6
18Henrique Freitas Alves74'for José Domingos de Moraes Neto6.4
15Gebson
17Cristiano81'for Leandro Vilela6.5
21Matheusinho74'for Bruno José6.6
19Marrony
14Natã
13Kaua Henrique
12Paulo Henrique

Sport Recife Substitutes

20D. Hernández45'for Juan71'6.7
75A. Maron78'for Patrick de Paula Carreiro6.5
40Matheus Miranda
21Brenno
9Perotti45'for Neto Pessoa83'8.1
68Augusto
77Dudu
25Clayson
6Biel
28Habraão
23Zé Gabriel52'for Willian Oliveira6.8
80K. Andrade45'for Carlos María de Pena Bonino6.8

Match Stats

Atletico GoianienseSport Recife
53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal4
16Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots2
14Fouls10
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
362Total Passes344
309Passes Accurate285
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1647Elo Rating 1598
0.87Attack 1.35
1.81Defense 1.77
14%Hit Rate 58%
24.8Shots per Game 15.1
4.3Shots on Target 4.9
10.2Corners per Game 4.8
2.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense1Wins · 20%
Draws360%
Sport RecifeSport Recife1Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
Serie B11/11/2023
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
00
Serie B15/07/2023
Atletico GoianienseSport Recife
31
Serie A01/11/2021
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
20
Serie A08/07/2021
Atletico GoianienseSport Recife
11

Referee Profile

Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes223 matches

5.58Cards per match
5.37Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes5.58
Other referees5.23

5.58 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 177 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
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About the Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense (8th) and Sport Recife (7th) are level on 54 points. League goal record so far: Atletico Goianiense 42-33, Sport Recife 47-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.