Atletico Torque vs Cerro Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseHighGap-3.0%
Atletico Torque Rest
3 days
Cerro Rest
8 days
Atletico Torque vs Cerro: the result in context
Atletico Torque beat Cerro 3-1 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Esteban Ostojich averages 6.62 cards a game, 1.44 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.53
X23%3.85
216%5.50
Double Chance
1X84%1.11
X239%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.91
No51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.13 + 0.75 = 2.88
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.552%1.86
Over 3.530%3.25
Under 1.525%3.50
Under 2.548%1.86
Under 3.570%1.33
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
6'Franco Pizzichillo
8'Agustin Miranda
26'
30'Salomón Rodríguez(Penalty missed)
31'Eduardo Gabriel·Aguero Ruiz
46'Franco Pizzichillo INAlexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero out
55'Brahian Alemán INbruno morales out
55'pablo nongoy INEmiliano Rodriguez out
57'Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero
59'Damián Suárez
64'Gianni Rodriguez
64'Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero
69'Nahuel Arena INMauro Villar out
69'Cristian Barros INJorge Alejandro Severo Cordero out
71'Luka Andrade INramiro lecchini out
76'Agustin Miranda INEzequiel Forclaz out
79'E. Obregón INSebastián Cáceres Carranza out
88'Salomón Rodríguez INezequiel busquets out
88'S. Zampieri INBrian Gutiérrez out
89'Franco Torgnascioli
89'Kevin Isaias·Silva
90+2'Juan Cruz Guasone
90+3'jairo amaro
Lineups
Atletico TorqueCerro
4-3-1-2Coach: Alejandro Cappuccio
1F. Torgnascioli
17E. Agüero
3K. Silva
24G. Kagelmacher
14S. Zampiero
5F. Pizzichillo
8P. Siles
19D. Guzmán
10E. Obregón
9S. Rodríguez
7L. Andrade
12Y. Irrazábal
22D. Suárez
16J. Guasone
21N. Arena
17G. Rodríguez
31J. Amaro
5A. Macelli
8A. Miranda
10B. Alemán
27C. Barros
35P. NongoyAtletico Torque Substitutes
15E. Busquets88'for Salomón Rodríguez
23L. Duré
22B. Gutierrez88'for S. Zampieri
18R. Lecchini71'for Luka Andrade
30J. Quintana
32S. Cáceres79'for E. Obregón
13G. Rodríguez
31T. Shaw
11N. da Silva46'for Franco Pizzichillo57'64'
27J. Tarán
Cerro Substitutes
6F. Bregante
1D. Denis
11E. Forclaz76'for Agustin Miranda
3A. Lima
32R. Mederos
9B. Morales55'for Brahian Alemán
14E. Rodriguez55'for pablo nongoy
7A. Severo69'for Cristian Barros
19E. Sosa
20Mauro Villar69'for Nahuel Arena
Match Stats
Atletico TorqueCerro 55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots7
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal2
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
Atletico TorqueCerro1665Elo Rating 1469
0.93Attack 1.10
1.68Defense 1.60
44%Hit Rate 23%
16.5Shots per Game 9.5
4.9Shots on Target 4.5
6.3Corners per Game 2.9
2.5Cards per Game 4.5
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Torque- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cerro- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Torque2Wins · 67%Draws133%
Cerro0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
19/04/2026CerroAtletico Torque11
20/04/2025CerroAtletico Torque12
17/04/2023CerroAtletico Torque02
Recent Form
Atletico Torque4W2D4L
22/10/2026Atletico Torque
Atletico-MG
Albion FCAtletico TorqueAtletico-MGAtletico TorqueAtletico Torque
DanubioAtletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Central EspanolAtletico TorqueAtletico Torque
Cienciano
Atletico TorqueAtletico-MG20
W18/10/2026Albion FCAtletico Torque21
L15/10/2026Atletico-MGAtletico Torque30
L09/10/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio10
W06/10/2026
Club NacionalAtletico Torque
Club NacionalAtletico Torque20
L01/10/2026Atletico Torque
Penarol
27/09/2026Atletico TorquePenarol11
DAtletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado02
L24/09/2026Atletico Torque
Atenas
22/09/2026Atletico TorqueAtenas33
DCentral EspanolAtletico Torque14
W18/09/2026Atletico TorqueCienciano30
WCerro3W3D4L
17/10/2026Cerro
Cerro Largo
Defensor SportingCerro
CerroCerro Largo11
D10/10/2026Defensor SportingCerro23
W04/10/2026Cerro
Wanderers
CerroWanderers02
L27/09/2026
JuventudCerro
JuventudCerro00
D24/09/2026CerroDeportivo Maldonado
CerroDeportivo Maldonado12
L19/09/2026CerroPenarol
CerroPenarol12
L13/09/2026
ProgresoCerro
ProgresoCerro13
W10/09/2026Cerro
Cerrito
CerroCerrito02
L06/09/2026Cerro
Racing Montevideo
CerroRacing Montevideo10
W01/09/2026WanderersCerro
WanderersCerro11
DReferee Profile
6.62Cards per match
6.24Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.62 cards a match, 1.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).
Cards come from 110 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 57:40 | +17 | 60 | DLDLL |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 51:41 | +10 | 58 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 | DWWWD |
| 6 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:31 | +14 | 56 | LWLDD |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 | LLLWL |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:38 | -6 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 12 |  Boston River | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 28:51 | -23 | 37 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 32 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 51:27 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 57:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 34 | 51:41 | 58 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 42:30 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 34 | 45:31 | 56 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 41:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 37:41 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 32:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 28:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 31:47 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 28:43 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 117:61 | +56 | 143 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 42 | 14 | 15 | 127:74 | +53 | 137 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 33 | 22 | 16 | 96:68 | +28 | 121 | LWLDD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 81:68 | +13 | 110 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 31 | 16 | 24 | 111:91 | +20 | 109 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 82:80 | +2 | 102 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 75:81 | -6 | 97 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 83:84 | -1 | 92 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 21 | 23 | 27 | 73:79 | -6 | 86 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 22 | 18 | 31 | 61:93 | -32 | 83 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 66:90 | -24 | 81 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 69:84 | -15 | 75 | DDDLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 69:107 | -38 | 74 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 117:61 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 127:74 | 137 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 96:68 | 121 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 81:68 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 111:91 | 109 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 82:80 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 75:81 | 97 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 83:84 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 73:79 | 86 |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 61:93 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 66:90 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 69:84 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 69:107 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | LDDWL |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | DWLDD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | WLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | DLDLL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | LLLWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | DDDLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LDDWL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DDWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 27 | LWLDD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:13 | +11 | 25 | DLDLL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 23 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWWWD |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 | LDWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 20:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 12 | 17:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 6:21 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Club Nacional vs Deportivo Maldonado 20/10/26
- Juventud vs Penarol 24/10/26
- Central Espanol vs Albion FC 24/10/26
- Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo 24/10/26
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio 25/10/26
- Wanderers vs Progreso 25/10/26
- Cerro Largo vs Boston River 25/10/26
- Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo 25/10/26
About the Atletico Torque vs Cerro forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Torque and Cerro in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Atletico Torque are 3rd in the Primera División, while Cerro sit 13th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Atletico Torque 57-40, Cerro 28-51. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.