Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 12
Club Nacional
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Liverpool Montevideo
Gran Parque Central, Montevideo·Gustavo Tejera 25/10/2026
Club NacionalClub Nacional
0-1
Finished
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Club Nacional Rest
5 days
Liverpool Montevideo Rest
4 days

Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo: the result in context

Liverpool Montevideo beat Club Nacional 1-0 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Club Nacional tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 4.4 for Liverpool Montevideo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.95
X
28%3.31
2
23%3.63
Double Chance
1X
77%1.24
X2
51%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.95 = 2.78
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
51%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'Federico Martinez
34'Luciano Rodriguez INAgustín Rogel out
35'Santiago Milano Larrosa
36'tiziano correa
46'luciano gonzalez INMaximiliano Joaquin·Silvera Cabo out
56'Ramiro Matias Degregorio INDiego Romero Lanz out
61'Rubén Bentancourt
63'Camilo Cándido INTomas Viera out
70'Luciano Boggio
72'Tomas Viera
75'Diego Romero Lanz
76'Santiago Milano Larrosa INSantiago Laquidain out
77'tiziano correa INkevin martinez out
77'Luciano Boggio INalexander santos dos out
79'Nicolas Garayalde
84'Federico Martinez INRenzo Machado out
84'Lucas acosta INDiego Zabala out
84'Kevin Lewis INJoaquin Pintos out
90+1'Santiago strasorier
90+2'Maximiliano Gómez

Lineups

Club Nacional
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Carreño
Liverpool Montevideo
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Fossati
A. Martín Arias22A. Martín Arias
3737L. Rodriguez
S. Coates4S. Coates
F. Calvo5F. Calvo
G. Martirena15G. Martirena
L. Boggio6L. Boggio
L. Rodríguez23L. Rodríguez
C. Cándido21C. Cándido
L. Gonzalez39L. Gonzalez
M. Gómez9M. Gómez
T. Correa29T. Correa
M. Bernatene1M. Bernatene
S. Milano6S. Milano
S. Strasorier3S. Strasorier
A. Cayetano18A. Cayetano
R. Haller24R. Haller
N. Garayalde5N. Garayalde
Lucas Acosta Moreno16L. Acosta Moreno
K. Lewis34K. Lewis
R. Degregorio10R. Degregorio
F. Martínez7F. Martínez
R. Bentancourt19R. Bentancourt

Club Nacional Substitutes

32T. Viera63'for Camilo Cándido72'
11M. Silvera46'for luciano gonzalez
8S. Silva
2A. Rogel34'replaced by Luciano Rodriguez
7N. Rodríguez
31R. Martinez77'for tiziano correa
10A. Dos Santos77'for Luciano Boggio
40J. Bianchi
13E. Ancheta
36B. Zuculini

Liverpool Montevideo Substitutes

22D. Zabala84'for Lucas acosta
25M. Campaña
17Gonzalo de Mello
15S. Laquidaín76'for Santiago Milano Larrosa
9R. Machado84'for Federico Martinez
8M. Mir
29E. Olivera
4F. Perdomo
33Joaquin Pintos84'replaced by Kevin Lewis
27D. Romero56'for Ramiro Matias Degregorio75'

Match Stats

Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
60%Ball Possession40%
6Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards5
11Total Shots4
2Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal2
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Club NacionalClub Nacional
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
1666Elo Rating 1626
2.30Attack 1.47
2.46Defense 2.33
100%Hit Rate 81%
9.4Shots per Game 9.7
4.1Shots on Target 4.9
6.6Corners per Game 4.4
3.4Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club NacionalClub Nacional
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Club NacionalClub Nacional4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura20/04/2026
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
13
Primera División - Apertura26/03/2025
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
22
Primera División - Apertura15/06/2024
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
21
Primera División - Apertura25/02/2024
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
11
Copa Uruguay06/02/2024
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
21
Primera División - Apertura23/06/2023
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
30
Primera División - Apertura06/02/2023
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
21
Super Copa30/01/2023
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
10
Primera División - Apertura22/02/2022
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
00
Primera División - Apertura15/08/2021
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo
10

Recent Form

Club NacionalClub Nacional
8W2D0L
20/10/2026
Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado
32
W
16/10/2026
Club NacionalRentistas
30
W
11/10/2026
Central EspanolClub Nacional
01
W
06/10/2026
Club NacionalAtletico Torque
20
W
26/09/2026
Cerro LargoClub Nacional
02
W20/09/2026
Club NacionalDefensor Sporting
32
W
16/09/2026
ProgresoClub Nacional
01
W
12/09/2026
WanderersClub Nacional
11
D
06/09/2026
Club NacionalJuventud
22
D
03/09/2026
CA River PlateClub Nacional
23
W
Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
6W2D2L
21/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
10
W18/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoPenarol
10
W10/10/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoLiverpool Montevideo
11
D03/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoProgreso
32
W27/09/2026
Central EspanolLiverpool Montevideo
12
W
23/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoColón
30
W
21/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
00
D
15/09/2026
Atletico TorqueLiverpool Montevideo
31
L
07/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
10
W
02/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
01
L

Referee Profile

Gustavo Tejera159 matches

4.99Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Tejera4.99
Other referees5.33

4.99 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.33).

Cards come from 83 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional341841251:41+1058WLLWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456LWLDD
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3451:4158
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3445:3156
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71421415127:74+53137WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121LWLDD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71127:74137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7196:68121
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916DLWLW
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LDDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110DWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509LWLDD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDWWD
6CerroCerro73046:10-49DDWLW
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36DWLDD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522WLLWW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220LWLDD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227LWLDD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1272317:12+523WLLWW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1220:827
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1217:1223
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

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About the Club Nacional vs Liverpool Montevideo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club Nacional and Liverpool Montevideo in the Primera División table

Club Nacional and Liverpool Montevideo are close in the Primera División table, 4th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Club Nacional 51-41, Liverpool Montevideo 45-31. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Club Nacional have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.