Cerro Largo vs Boston River Prediction

Primera DivisiónUruguay Uruguay · Clausura - 12
Cerro Largo
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Boston River
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla , Merlot·Hernan Heras 25/10/2026
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
2-0
Finished
Boston RiverBoston River

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Cerro Largo Rest
4 days
Boston River Rest
8 days

Cerro Largo vs Boston River: result, form and history

Cerro Largo beat Boston River 2-0 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Boston River had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Cerro Largo.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Cerro Largo tend to win more corners, 4.8 a game to 1.8 for Boston River.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.62
X
29%3.02
2
37%2.56
Double Chance
1X
63%1.42
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.13 = 2.38
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
42%2.25
Over 3.5
22%4.33
Under 1.5
33%2.75
Under 2.5
58%1.59
Under 3.5
78%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'Axel·Prado
46'Axel·Prado INMartin Gianoli out
46'Gustavo Viera INandres cordoba out
61'Agustin amado
61'Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos Santos INLeonardo Suárez out
68'andres cordoba
72'axel pandiani INDiego Daguerre out
74'Agustin amado INGastón Ramírez out
74'lautaro vazquez INNicolas Siri out
75'Fredy Martinez INFacundo Saravia out
81'Leonardo Suárez
82'alexis piegas
83'Juan Manuel Acosta
85'Agustin Aguirre INFelipe Avenatti out
86'Sebastian Assis INNicolas Bertochi out

Lineups

Cerro Largo
4-3-3Coach: B. Silva
Boston River
4-2-3-1Coach: Jorge Cazulo
P. González12P. González
A. Hernández17A. Hernández
A. Piegas3A. Piegas
A. Prado19A. Prado
S. Franca20S. Franca
M. García8M. García
S. Marcel5S. Marcel
A. Assis15A. Assis
G. Viera7G. Viera
E. de León26E. de León
Axel Michele Pandiani10A. Michele Pandiani
B. Antúnez1B. Antúnez
J. Acosta31J. Acosta
M. González30M. González
A. Aguirre25A. Aguirre
F. Martínez22F. Martínez
L. Vazquez15L. Vazquez
R. Saravia5R. Saravia
L. Suhr16L. Suhr
A. Amado10A. Amado
F. Muñoa26F. Muñoa
F. Bonfiglio9F. Bonfiglio

Cerro Largo Substitutes

23A. Cordoba46'for Gustavo Viera68'
13Borys Santiago Barone Grillo
22N. Bertochi86'for Sebastian Assis
18Diego Daguerre72'for axel pandiani
11A. de Luca
6R. Ergas
32M. Gianoli46'for Axel·Prado
24L. González
30joaquin bruno alvarez hernandez
25E. Jourdan

Boston River Substitutes

20F. Avenatti85'for Agustin Aguirre
4Ignacio Fernandez
12J. González
3M. Mancebo
24J. O'Neill
11G. Ramírez74'for Agustin amado
6F. Saravia75'for Fredy Martinez
27N. Siri74'for lautaro vazquez
8L. Suárez61'for Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos Santos81'
13F. Aristegui

Match Stats

Cerro LargoBoston River
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
Boston RiverBoston River
1457Elo Rating 1511
0.54Attack 0.99
1.98Defense 2.52
14%Hit Rate 46%
6.8Shots per Game 9.1
1.9Shots on Target 4.9
4.8Corners per Game 1.8
3.2Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Boston RiverBoston River
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Cerro LargoCerro Largo3Wins · 33%
Draws111%
Boston RiverBoston River5Wins · 56%
2.1Avg Goals
11%Both teams scored1 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura23/05/2026
Cerro LargoBoston River
30
Primera División - Apertura20/04/2026
Boston RiverCerro Largo
10
Primera División - Apertura13/04/2025
Boston RiverCerro Largo
10
Primera División - Apertura17/06/2024
Boston RiverCerro Largo
02
Primera División - Apertura27/04/2024
Cerro LargoBoston River
20
Primera División - Apertura06/05/2023
Cerro LargoBoston River
22
Primera División - Apertura20/07/2022
Boston RiverCerro Largo
20
Primera División - Apertura25/02/2022
Boston RiverCerro Largo
30
Primera División - Apertura11/07/2021
Boston RiverCerro Largo
10

Recent Form

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1W3D6L
21/10/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
10
L17/10/2026
CerroCerro Largo
11
D11/10/2026
Cerro LargoAlbion FC
01
L04/10/2026
DanubioCerro Largo
21
L
30/09/2026
Cerro LargoRentistas
10
W
26/09/2026
Cerro LargoClub Nacional
02
L19/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo
20
L
13/09/2026
Cerro LargoCentral Espanol
00
D
10/09/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
05/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo
21
L
Boston RiverBoston River
5W1D4L
17/10/2026
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
10
W
14/10/2026
Boston RiverCA River Plate
4030
W
10/10/2026
WanderersBoston River
13
W
04/10/2026
Boston RiverJuventud
00
D
26/09/2026
PenarolBoston River
21
L
23/09/2026
Boston RiverFenix
32
W
19/09/2026
Boston RiverProgreso
12
L
12/09/2026
Racing MontevideoBoston River
32
L
09/09/2026
Boston RiverColón
20
W
07/09/2026
Liverpool MontevideoBoston River
10
L

Referee Profile

Hernan Heras3 matches analysed

5.36Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 93% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional341841251:41+1058WLLWW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo341511845:31+1456LWLDD
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3451:4158
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3445:3156
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71421415127:74+53137WLLWW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7133221696:68+28121LWLDD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional71127:74137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7196:68121
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916DLWLW
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LDDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110DWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509LWLDD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDWWD
6CerroCerro73046:10-49DDWLW
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36DWLDD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522WLLWW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220LWLDD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1283120:8+1227LWLDD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1272317:12+523WLLWW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1220:827
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1217:1223
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

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About the Cerro Largo vs Boston River forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cerro Largo and Boston River in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Cerro Largo (11th) and Boston River (12th) are level on 37 points. League goal record so far: Cerro Largo 32-38, Boston River 33-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.