Atletico Torque vs Danubio Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Atletico Torque Rest
3 days
Danubio Rest
5 days
Atletico Torque vs Danubio: the result in context
Atletico Torque beat Danubio 1-0 in the Primera División on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Esteban Ostojich averages 6.62 cards a game, 1.44 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.83
X25%3.30
220%3.92
Double Chance
1X80%1.21
X245%1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.83
No49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 0.82 = 2.77
Over 1.573%1.30
Over 2.548%1.97
Over 3.528%3.50
Under 1.527%3.20
Under 2.552%1.75
Under 3.572%1.25
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
19'Bautista Euclides Tomatis INMaicol·Ferreira out
45'Ivan Rossi
46'Benjamin Azambuja INEnzo Cabrera out
59'Salomón Rodríguez
66'Sebastián Rodriguez INCristhian Andres Tizon Correa out
66'Joaquin Gabriel Trasante Hernandez INSebastián Fernández out
70'Luka Andrade INDiogo Guzmán out
70'Franco Pizzichillo INAlexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero out
79'Diogo Guzmán
79'Mauro Brasil
82'Cristhian Andres Tizon Correa
87'Pablo Siles
88'Salomón Rodríguez INGary Kagelmacher out
Lineups
Atletico TorqueDanubio
4-4-2Coach: L. Rocco
1F. Torgnascioli
17E. Agüero
3K. Silva
22B. Gutierrez
14S. Zampiero
5F. Pizzichillo
8P. Siles
20G. Montes
10E. Obregón
9S. Rodríguez
7L. Andrade
1M. Goicoechea
4M. Rinaldi
19M. Brasil
3G. Rodriguez
6L. Sosa
10M. Peralta
16I. Rossi
38J. Trasante
8S. Rodríguez
21B. Azambuja
77B. TomatisAtletico Torque Substitutes
15E. Busquets
32S. Cáceres
11N. da Silva70'for Franco Pizzichillo
23L. Duré
19D. Guzmán70'for Luka Andrade79'
24G. Kagelmacher88'for Salomón Rodríguez
18R. Lecchini
30J. Quintana
13G. Rodríguez
27J. Tarán
Danubio Substitutes
17Alexander Velazquez
80C. Tizón66'for Sebastián Rodriguez82'
5J. Millán
32K. Martínez
29M. Jourdan
33D. Garcia
20M. Ferreira19'for Bautista Euclides Tomatis
30S. Fernández66'for Joaquin Gabriel Trasante Hernandez
28E. Femia
7E. Cabrera46'for Benjamin Azambuja
Match Stats
Atletico TorqueDanubio 53%Ball Possession47%
10Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
Atletico TorqueDanubio1665Elo Rating 1508
0.93Attack 1.98
1.68Defense 2.50
44%Hit Rate 66%
16.5Shots per Game 8.5
4.9Shots on Target 3.1
6.3Corners per Game 4.1
2.5Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+157 Elo
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Torque- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Danubio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Torque2Wins · 25%Draws450%
Danubio2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.1Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8
Previous meetings
02/09/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio20
25/07/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio10
04/04/2026DanubioAtletico Torque11
07/06/2025DanubioAtletico Torque32
30/03/2025Atletico TorqueDanubio11
16/06/2023DanubioAtletico Torque10
05/02/2023Atletico TorqueDanubio11
22/03/2022Atletico TorqueDanubio11
Recent Form
Atletico Torque5W2D3L
06/10/2026
Club NacionalAtletico Torque
Club NacionalAtletico Torque20
L01/10/2026Atletico Torque
Penarol
27/09/2026Atletico TorquePenarol11
DAtletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado02
L24/09/2026Atletico Torque
Atenas
22/09/2026Atletico TorqueAtenas33
D
Central EspanolAtletico Torque14
W18/09/2026Atletico Torque
Cienciano30
W15/09/2026Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
11/09/2026Atletico TorqueLiverpool Montevideo31
WCiencianoAtletico Torque20
L05/09/2026Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo21
W02/09/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio
Atletico TorqueDanubio20
WDanubio2W4D4L
04/10/2026DanubioCerro Largo
Defensor SportingDanubioDanubio
Wanderers
JuventudDanubioDanubio
Racing Montevideo
DanubioCerro Largo21
W27/09/2026Defensor SportingDanubio10
L24/09/2026DanubioPenarol
20/09/2026DanubioPenarol11
DDanubioWanderers11
D13/09/2026JuventudDanubio11
D05/09/2026DanubioPenarol
DanubioPenarol04
L02/09/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio
Atletico TorqueDanubio20
L29/08/2026
ProgresoDanubio
ProgresoDanubio10
L26/08/2026DanubioAtenas
23/08/2026DanubioAtenas32
WDanubioRacing Montevideo00
DReferee Profile
6.62Cards per match
6.24Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.62 cards a match, 1.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.18).
Cards come from 110 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 57:40 | +17 | 60 | DLDLL |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 51:40 | +11 | 58 | LLWWL |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 44:31 | +13 | 53 | WLDDL |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 | LLLWL |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:38 | -6 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 12 |  Boston River | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | WLWWL |
| 13 |  Cerro | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 28:51 | -23 | 37 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 32 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 51:27 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 57:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 33 | 51:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 42:30 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 44:31 | 53 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 41:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 37:41 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 32:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 28:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 31:47 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 28:43 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 117:61 | +56 | 143 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | 127:73 | +54 | 137 | LLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 95:68 | +27 | 118 | WLDDL |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 81:68 | +13 | 110 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 31 | 16 | 24 | 111:91 | +20 | 109 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 82:80 | +2 | 102 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 75:81 | -6 | 97 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 83:84 | -1 | 92 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 21 | 23 | 27 | 73:79 | -6 | 86 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 22 | 18 | 31 | 61:93 | -32 | 83 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 66:90 | -24 | 81 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 69:84 | -15 | 75 | DDDLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 69:107 | -38 | 74 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 117:61 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 127:73 | 137 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 95:68 | 118 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 81:68 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 111:91 | 109 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 82:80 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 75:81 | 97 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 83:84 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 73:79 | 86 |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 61:93 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 66:90 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 69:84 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 69:107 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | LLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | DLDLL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | LLLWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | DDDLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LDDWL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DDWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:13 | +11 | 25 | DLDLL |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 24 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 23 | LLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWWWD |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 | LDWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 11 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 6:21 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
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- Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol 03/10/26
- Danubio vs Cerro Largo 04/10/26
- Racing Montevideo vs Penarol 05/10/26
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo 10/10/26
- Defensor Sporting vs Cerro 10/10/26
- Wanderers vs Boston River 10/10/26
- Penarol vs Progreso 10/10/26
About the Atletico Torque vs Danubio forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Torque and Danubio in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Atletico Torque are 3rd in the Primera División, while Danubio sit 16th, 28 points behind. League goal record so far: Atletico Torque 57-40, Danubio 28-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Danubio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.