Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi, Montevideo·Jose Burgos 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap-9.5%
Albion FC Rest
4 days
Defensor Sporting Rest
2 days

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting: result, form and history

Albion FC beat Defensor Sporting 3-2 in the Primera División on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Defensor Sporting had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Albion FC.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.80
X
28%3.20
2
38%2.37
Double Chance
1X
62%1.50
X2
66%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.80
No
49%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.1 = 2.35
Over 1.5
69%1.34
Over 2.5
44%2.10
Over 3.5
24%3.75
Under 1.5
31%3.05
Under 2.5
56%1.70
Under 3.5
76%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'gianfranco rodriguez
35'Federico Puente
37'Hernán Toledo
42'Guillermo De los Santos
42'Iker Zufiaurre
45+1'Tobías Figueroa
46'nicolas medina INXavier biscayzacu out
46'Tomás Pozzo INalan torterolo out
46'gianfranco rodriguez INaxel frugone out
51'T. Moschión
62'francisco sorondo
63'Hernán Toledo INSantiago Nicolas·Costa out
63'Iker Zufiaurre INMateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández out
67'Francisco couture
71'Francisco couture INroman corletto gutierrez out
72'Tobías Figueroa(Penalty)
78'Nicolas Wunsch INAlex perdomo out
78'Brian Montenegro INpablo neris out
81'José Álvarez INbrandon llana out
81'Francisco Ginella INIgnacio Neira out
87'pablo neris(Penalty)
90+5'

Lineups

Albion FC
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Franco
Defensor Sporting
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Larriera
S. Jaume1S. Jaume
F. Couture2F. Couture
P. Lacoste13P. Lacoste
M. de los Santos24M. de los Santos
F. Puente29F. Puente
T. Moschión6T. Moschión
F. Ginella5F. Ginella
H. Toledo11H. Toledo
I. Zufiaurre7I. Zufiaurre
J. Álvarez16J. Álvarez
T. Figueroa32T. Figueroa
K. Dawson12K. Dawson
L. Agazzi11L. Agazzi
1414f. sorondo
G. de los Santos3G. de los Santos
G. Rodriguez4G. Rodriguez
G. Barrios5G. Barrios
L. de los Santos24L. de los Santos
Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás8N. Andrés Wunsch Tomás
T. Pozzo29T. Pozzo
N. Medina7N. Medina
B. Montenegro26B. Montenegro

Albion FC Substitutes

33F. Abreu
30B. Barcia63'for Iker Zufiaurre
27S. Costa63'for Hernán Toledo
20R. Gutiérrez71'for Francisco couture
80B. Llana81'for José Álvarez
17M. Marichal
8I. Neira81'for Francisco Ginella
21L. Rodríguez
31S. Silva
22A. Vera

Defensor Sporting Substitutes

22A. Torterolo46'for Tomás Pozzo
55M. Rabuñal
16A. Perdomo78'for Nicolas Wunsch
9J. Neris78'for Brian Montenegro87'
1L. Machado
15A. Frugone46'for gianfranco rodriguez
30E. Cuello
18Lorenzo Cafaro
20Mateo Caballero
10Xavier biscayzacu46'replaced by nicolas medina

Match Stats

Albion FCDefensor Sporting
41%Ball Possession59%
2Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Albion FCAlbion FC
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1520Elo Rating 1454
2.05Attack 1.53
1.44Defense 0.74
81%Hit Rate 0%
8.9Shots per Game 6.9
5.0Shots on Target 3.9
3.0Corners per Game 4.3
2.0Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Albion FCAlbion FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Albion FCAlbion FC1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1Wins · 25%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura01/04/2026
Defensor SportingAlbion FC
11
Primera División - Apertura07/05/2022
Albion FCDefensor Sporting
03
Segunda División30/09/2021
Defensor SportingAlbion FC
01
Segunda División16/06/2021
Albion FCDefensor Sporting
22

Recent Form

Albion FCAlbion FC
1W2D7L
29/09/2026
WanderersAlbion FC
21
L
20/09/2026
Albion FCJuventud
13
L
16/09/2026
Albion FCCA River Plate
00
D
14/09/2026
PenarolAlbion FC
31
L
07/09/2026
Albion FCProgreso
01
L
03/09/2026
Albion FCProgreso
21
W
31/08/2026
Racing MontevideoAlbion FC
10
L
27/08/2026
Club NacionalAlbion FC
00
D
21/08/2026
Albion FCBoston River
23
L
15/08/2026
CerroAlbion FC
21
L
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
2W4D4L
30/09/2026
Defensor SportingPlaza Colonia
01
L
27/09/2026
Defensor SportingDanubio
10
W
20/09/2026
Club NacionalDefensor Sporting
32
L
13/09/2026
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
10
W
10/09/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
06/09/2026
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
11
D
29/08/2026
Defensor SportingAtletico Torque
13
L
25/08/2026
Defensor SportingRentistas
00
D
22/08/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
16/08/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
04
L

Referee Profile

Jose Burgos29 matches

5.57Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Burgos5.57
Other referees5.22

5.57 cards a match, 0.35 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional331841151:40+1158LLWWL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353WLDDL
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3351:4058
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3344:3153
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional70421414127:73+54137LLWWL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7032221695:68+27118WLDDL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional70127:73137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7095:68118
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916DLWLW
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LDDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110DWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509WLDDL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDWWD
6CerroCerro73046:10-49DDWLW
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36DWLDD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLWWL

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LLWWL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LLWWL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220WLDDL
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1173119:8+1124WLDDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1172217:11+623LLWWL
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1119:824
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1117:1123
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

About the Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Albion FC and Defensor Sporting in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Albion FC are 8th and Defensor Sporting 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Albion FC 47-44, Defensor Sporting 33-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.