Benevento vs Avellino Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.62
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Benevento Rest
7 days
Avellino Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.04
X26%3.35
229%3.58
Double Chance
1X71%1.27
X255%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.73
No44%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.11 = 2.58
Over 1.574%1.29
Over 2.550%1.93
Over 3.529%3.30
Under 1.526%3.42
Under 2.550%1.88
Under 3.571%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.62
Over 9.551%2.04
Over 10.539%2.58
Under 8.537%2.15
Under 9.549%1.67
Under 10.561%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4
Over 3.558%1.45
Over 4.538%1.83
Under 3.542%2.60
Under 4.562%1.83
Match Events
38'Leonardo Sernicola INRaffaele Romano out
42'Francesco SalveminiPersistent infringement
59'Martin PalumboFoul
60'Antonis Siatounis
65'Michele Besaggio INLuca Palmiero out
67'Walid Cheddira
74'Martin Palumbo INDimitrios Sounas out
75'Francesco Salvemini INMarco Tumminello out
75'Mattia Maita INAntonio prisco out
75'Stefano ScognamilloFoul
81'L. Di MaggioFoul
84'Luigi Cherubini INDavide Lamesta out
84'David Okereke INSimone Verdi out
86'L. Di Maggio INEmanuele Adamo out
87'Raffaele Russo INTommaso Biasci out
87'Walid Cheddira INLuca Pandolfi out
90+3'Pietro BeruattoFoul
Lineups
BeneventoAvellino
3-5-2Coach: A. NestaAvg ratingAvg rating
26G. Vannucchi
17L. Sernicola
14S. Scognamillo
23P. Saio
20P. Beruatto
8M. Maita
10L. Cherubini
6A. Siatounis
28C. Kouan
29D. Okereke
9F. Salvemini
50T. Martinelli
4A. Izzo
23M. Venturi
56P. Enrici
2F. Missori
8L. Di Maggio
20M. Palumbo
39M. Besaggio
27B. Moruzzi
9W. Cheddira
10R. RussoBenevento Substitutes
15C. Dalle Mura
22M. Esposito
11D. Lamesta84'for Luigi Cherubini
16Mattia Mannini
32G. Mignani
25Raffaele Romano38'replaced by Leonardo Sernicola
21E. Schimmenti
18P. Simonetti
93M. Tumminello75'for Francesco Salvemini
90S. Verdi84'for David Okereke
5L. Caldirola
4A. Prisco75'for Mattia Maita
Avellino Substitutes
14T. Biasci87'for Raffaele Russo
30E. Adamo86'for L. Di Maggio
29T. Cancellotti
5A. Di Bitonto
77S. Di Paolo
16G. Faticanti
99A. Favilli
1A. Iannarilli
6L. Palmiero65'for Michele Besaggio
7L. Pandolfi87'for Walid Cheddira
3M. Sala
24D. Sounas74'for Martin Palumbo
Match Stats
BeneventoAvellino 55%Ball Possession45%
9Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal5
14Shots off Goal0
15Shots Inside Box2
11Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots3
14Fouls10
1Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves3
452Total Passes365
389Passes Accurate299
10Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
BeneventoAvellino1617Elo Rating 1586
1.43Attack 1.50
1.90Defense 2.27
34%Hit Rate 41%
16.4Shots per Game 18.8
5.3Shots on Target 4.7
5.3Corners per Game 6.0
2.9Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Benevento- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Avellino- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Benevento0Wins · 0%Draws125%
Avellino3Wins · 75%
3Wins · 75%2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
30/03/2025AvellinoBenevento21
17/11/2024BeneventoAvellino22
15/04/2024AvellinoBenevento10
10/12/2023BeneventoAvellino01
Recent Form
Benevento4W3D3L
31/10/2026
CremoneseBeneventoBenevento
Catanzaro
ArezzoBeneventoBenevento
Vicenza VirtusBenevento
Cesena
CarrareseBeneventoBenevento
Hellas Verona
CremoneseBenevento20
L27/10/2026BeneventoCatanzaro11
D24/10/2026ArezzoBenevento03
W17/10/2026BeneventoVicenza Virtus22
D10/10/2026BeneventoCesena20
W02/10/2026
FrosinoneBenevento
19/09/2026FrosinoneBenevento21
LCarrareseBenevento01
W11/09/2026BeneventoHellas Verona31
W05/09/2026
AscoliBenevento
AscoliBenevento10
L30/08/2026Benevento
Sudtirol
BeneventoSudtirol11
DAvellino4W3D3L
01/11/2026Avellino
Pisa
Virtus EntellaAvellinoAvellino
PadovaCesenaAvellinoAvellino
SampdoriaAscoliAvellinoAvellino
PalermoAvellinoArezzo
AvellinoPisa20
W27/10/2026Virtus EntellaAvellino11
D24/10/2026AvellinoPadova01
L18/10/2026CesenaAvellino11
D09/10/2026AvellinoSampdoria41
W19/09/2026AscoliAvellino31
L13/09/2026AvellinoPalermo11
D06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
ModenaAvellino01
W29/08/2026AvellinoVicenza Virtus
22/08/2026AvellinoVicenza Virtus30
WAvellinoArezzo12
LReferee Profile
4.20Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).
Cards come from 197 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25:13 | +12 | 27 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 23 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 20 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Mantova | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 19 | DDLWL |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 16 | DWDLD |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | DLDWD |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 16 | DWWDD |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | DLDDW |
| 9 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 10 | Padova | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 | DDWWL |
| 11 | Cesena | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:12 | +1 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 13 |  Juve Stabia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 11 | LDLLW |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 | WWLDL |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 | LLDLW |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 9 | LLLWD |
| 19 |  Empoli | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 9 | DDLLD |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 6 | LDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | 15:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 19:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 11 | 14:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Padova | 11 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Cesena | 11 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | 9:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 11:23 | 6 |
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About the Benevento vs Avellino forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Benevento and Avellino in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Benevento (6th) and Avellino (5th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Benevento 15-11, Avellino 16-11. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.