Carrarese vs Sampdoria Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.65
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+11.6%
Carrarese Rest
7 days
Sampdoria Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.31
X28%3.21
231%3.04
Double Chance
1X69%1.35
X259%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.67
No45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.14 = 2.52
Over 1.574%1.30
Over 2.550%1.93
Over 3.529%3.40
Under 1.526%3.42
Under 2.550%1.86
Under 3.571%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.565%1.47
Over 9.553%1.82
Over 10.542%2.25
Under 8.535%2.50
Under 9.547%1.92
Under 10.558%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.557%1.45
Over 4.538%1.80
Under 3.543%2.60
Under 4.562%1.91
Match Events
19'Gennaro TutinoFoul
23'Gennaro TutinoAssist: Tjas Begic
36'Tommaso RubinoFoul
41'Lorenzo MezzoteroFoul
45'Jacopo Martini ING. Marconi out
52'Tjas BegicArgument
62'Oliver Abildgaard INFrancesco Conti out
62'Fabio Andrea INColin Dagba out
63'Nicolas Schiavi INNiccolò Belloni out
63'Tommaso Rubino INLuka Topalovic out
68'Lorenzo Mezzotero INBjorn Meijer out
69'Gennaro Tutino INYann Karamoh out
84'Jonas Rouhi INMoustapha Cisse out
85'Yann KaramohTime wasting
Lineups
CarrareseSampdoria
4-3-3Coach: L. D'AngeloAvg ratingAvg rating
1S. Pizzignacco
13F. Ruggeri
6F. Oliana
33F. Reale
23M. Braunöder
77G. Parlanti
28J. Martini
18N. Schiavi
73J. Rouhi
10T. Rubino
9F. Abiuso
12A. Krastev
43K. Mbabu
15F. Delli Carri
13L. Ravanelli
3S. Gartenmann
6L. Henderson
28O. Abildgaard
45A. Makoumbou
39L. Mezzotero
99G. Tutino
11T. BegićCarrarese Substitutes
70N. Cudrig
11M. Cissé84'for Jonas Rouhi
7N. Belloni63'for Nicolas Schiavi
5T. Macchioni
32M. Finotto
12G. Garofani
78Tommaso Guercio
91G. Marconi45'for Jacopo Martini
2C. Dagba62'for Fabio Andrea
30N. Ravaglia
41L. Romani
17L. Topalović63'for Tommaso Rubino
Sampdoria Substitutes
37S. Amarandei
33F. Conti62'for Oliver Abildgaard
38K. Diop
44Gerald Donegà
25A. Ferrari
14Yann Karamoh69'replaced by Gennaro Tutino85'
96S. Massolo
5B. Meijer68'for Lorenzo Mezzotero
1P. Vindahl
82Joao Visentin
Match Stats
CarrareseSampdoria 72%Ball Possession28%
6Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots4
1Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
13Fouls13
0Goalkeeper Saves1
616Total Passes247
537Passes Accurate170
11Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
CarrareseSampdoria1538Elo Rating 1521
1.27Attack 1.04
1.41Defense 1.45
54%Hit Rate 27%
14.5Shots per Game 12.3
4.0Shots on Target 4.0
5.2Corners per Game 5.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.9
Game State Tendencies
Carrarese- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Sampdoria- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Carrarese2Wins · 50%Draws125%
Sampdoria1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
18/03/2026CarrareseSampdoria20
07/12/2025SampdoriaCarrarese32
25/04/2025CarrareseSampdoria10
26/12/2024SampdoriaCarrarese11
Recent Form
Carrarese3W1D6L
01/11/2026
Hellas VeronaCarrareseCarrarese
Arezzo
PalermoCarrareseCarrarese
Modena
PadovaCarrareseCarrarese
Benevento
CatanzaroCarrarese
Hellas VeronaCarrarese30
L28/10/2026CarrareseArezzo21
W25/10/2026PalermoCarrarese21
L17/10/2026CarrareseModena21
W11/10/2026PadovaCarrarese02
W19/09/2026CarrareseBenevento01
L12/09/2026CatanzaroCarrarese10
L05/09/2026Carrarese
Empoli
CarrareseEmpoli01
L29/08/2026
AscoliCarrarese
AscoliCarrarese11
D22/08/2026Carrarese
Mantova
CarrareseMantova12
LSampdoria2W2D6L
31/10/2026Sampdoria
Virtus EntellaAscoliSampdoria
SudtirolSampdoriaSampdoriaArezzo
AvellinoSampdoriaMantovaSampdoriaPalermoSampdoria
CesenaSampdoria
SampdoriaVirtus Entella20
W27/10/2026AscoliSampdoria20
L24/10/2026SudtirolSampdoria11
D18/10/2026SampdoriaArezzo12
L09/10/2026AvellinoSampdoria41
L19/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro
13/09/2026SampdoriaCatanzaro21
WMantovaSampdoria20
L07/09/2026PalermoSampdoria31
L29/08/2026Sampdoria
Juve Stabia
23/08/2026SampdoriaJuve Stabia12
LCesenaSampdoria11
DReferee Profile
4.20Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.20 cards a match, 0.46 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).
Cards come from 50 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 25:13 | +12 | 27 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 23 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 20 | DDWWD |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 19 | DDLWL |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 16 | DWDLD |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | DLDWD |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 16 | DWWDD |
| 8 |  Pisa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | DLDDW |
| 9 |  Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 10 | Padova | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 | DDWWL |
| 11 | Cesena | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13:12 | +1 | 15 | DDLDL |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 11 | LDLLW |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 | WWLDL |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 | LLDLW |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 18 |  Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 9 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 9 | DDLLD |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 6 | LDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | 25:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | 17:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | 15:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 19:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 11 | 14:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Padova | 11 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Cesena | 11 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | 9:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | 11:23 | 6 |
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About the Carrarese vs Sampdoria forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Carrarese and Sampdoria in the Serie B table
Sampdoria and Carrarese are close in the Serie B table, 15th and 17th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Carrarese 9-14, Sampdoria 11-18. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.