Gillingham vs Port Vale Prediction

Gillingham
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Port Vale
Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 20/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.58
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Gillingham Rest
3 days
Port Vale Rest
3 days

Gillingham vs Port Vale: result, form and history

Gillingham and Port Vale drew 1-1 in the League Two on 20 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.23
X
30%3.22
2
42%2.20
Double Chance
1X
58%1.61
X2
72%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.14 = 2.30
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
43%2.15
Over 3.5
22%3.75
Under 1.5
33%2.87
Under 2.5
57%1.67
Under 3.5
78%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.58
Over 9.5
53%2.00
Over 10.5
41%2.51
Under 8.5
35%2.23
Under 9.5
47%1.75
Under 10.5
59%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.62
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
38%2.20
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

42'Ronan Chapman Hale(Penalty)
45'George Cardinal Joseph·Hall INKyle Dempsey out
45'Onel Hernández INOliver Lynch out
45'Max Watters INKeyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales out
56'Jasper·MoonFoul
66'Kyle John INJaheim·Headley out
66'Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales
70'Ethan·Coleman INHarry Waldock out
74'Ronan Chapman Hale INGarath McCleary out
79'Conor McManusFoul
84'Conor McManus INMichael Luxton out
84'Tom Eaves INS. Kendall out
85'Jack DaleyFoul
90'Ben Garrity INRhys Walters out

Lineups

Gillingham
3-4-3Coach: G. Ainsworth
Port Vale
3-5-2Coach: J. Brady
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.51
O. Wright6.11O. Wright
A. Smith6.25A. Smith
O. Beckles6.819O. Beckles
J. Daley6.720J. Daley
J. Brophy6.516J. Brophy
E. Coleman6.26E. Coleman
A. Little6.38A. Little
Conor McManus6.23C. McManus
N. Freeman6.322N. Freeman
Ronan Hale7.110R. Hale
T. Eaves6.439T. Eaves
M. Maroši6.620M. Maroši
C. Humphreys6.625C. Humphreys
J. Moon6.14J. Moon
C. Hall6.05C. Hall
J. Lawrence-Gabriel6.26J. Lawrence-Gabriel
B. Garrity6.58B. Garrity
G. Byers6.37G. Byers
G. Hall6.433G. Hall
K. John6.12K. John
M. Watters6.736M. Watters
O. Hernández6.411O. Hernández

Gillingham Substitutes

30S. Booth
40R. Luthra
12G. McCleary74'for Ronan Chapman Hale6.7
24H. Waldock70'for Ethan·Coleman5.9
26L. Dobbs
18S. Kendall84'for Tom Eaves6.0
27M. Luxton84'for Conor McManus6.6

Port Vale Substitutes

10K. Dempsey45'for George Cardinal Joseph·Hall6.2
3J. Headley66'for Kyle John6.5
22L. Montsma
1J. Smith
38R. Walters90'for Ben Garrity
14O. Lynch45'for Onel Hernández6.8
24K. Figueroa45'for Max Watters 66'8.2

Match Stats

GillinghamPort Vale
41%Ball Possession59%
9Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
12Fouls11
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
294Total Passes429
190Passes Accurate321
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

GillinghamGillingham
Port ValePort Vale
1470Elo Rating 1518
1.92Attack 0.87
0.47Defense 2.23
31%Hit Rate 50%
9.4Shots per Game 11.0
3.3Shots on Target 4.1
4.8Corners per Game 4.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GillinghamGillingham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Port ValePort Vale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

GillinghamGillingham2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Port ValePort Vale0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

League Two03/05/2025
Port ValeGillingham
01
League Two09/11/2024
GillinghamPort Vale
10

Recent Form

GillinghamGillingham
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
Accrington STGillingham
31
L
13/10/2026
GillinghamBrighton U21
43
W
10/10/2026
RotherhamGillingham
14
W
03/10/2026
GillinghamNewport County
00
D
26/09/2026
YorkGillingham
30
L
22/09/2026
GillinghamCambridge United
14
L
19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
30
W
12/09/2026
GillinghamTranmere
20
W
05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
14
W
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
Port ValePort Vale
4W2D4L
17/10/2026
Port ValeChesterfield
10
W
10/10/2026
Port ValeGrimsby
10
W
06/10/2026
Port ValeMansfield Town
20
W
22/09/2026
ChesterfieldPort Vale
4131
L
19/09/2026
WalsallPort Vale
20
L
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
W
05/09/2026
Salford CityPort Vale
10
L
01/09/2026
Swindon TownPort Vale
31
L
29/08/2026
Port ValeCrewe
00
D
22/08/2026
Port ValeTranmere
11
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
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About the Gillingham vs Port Vale forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gillingham and Port Vale in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Gillingham are 12th and Port Vale 23rd, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Gillingham 18-18, Port Vale 6-12. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Port Vale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Gillingham and Port Vale have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.