Chesterfield vs Crewe Prediction

Chesterfield
5-1
Finished
HT 5-0
Crewe
Proact Stadium, Chesterfield 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Chesterfield Rest
3 days
Crewe Rest
3 days

Chesterfield vs Crewe: the result in context

Chesterfield beat Crewe 5-1 in the League Two on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Crewe had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Chesterfield.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.3 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Chesterfield tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 3.7 for Crewe.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.66
X
25%3.92
2
21%4.67
Double Chance
1X
79%1.17
X2
46%2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.63
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.12 = 2.77
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.57
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
44%2.17
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.44
Over 9.5
49%1.73
Over 10.5
37%2.19
Under 8.5
39%2.60
Under 9.5
51%2.00
Under 10.5
63%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

3'Josh KoromaAssist: Liam Mandeville
5'Josh Koroma INDilan Markanday out
6'Tom NaylorAssist: F. Bryden
19'F. BrydenAssist: Liam Mandeville
35'Joshua StephensonOG
45'Joel Tabiner INCharlie McNeill out
45'Conor Thomas INOwen lunt out
45+1'Liam MandevilleAssist: Tom Pearce
57'Charlie McNeillAssist: Jordan Gibson
60'Tom Pearce INLewis Gordon out
60'F. Bryden INLee Bonis out
63'Josh March INAdrien thibaut out
63'Reece Hutchinson INKyle Ure out
69'Lee BellDissent
74'Matúš Holíček INJoe White out
77'Louie Marsh INKiano Dyer out
77'Tom Naylor INRafiq Lamptey out

Lineups

Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Cook
Crewe
4-2-3-1Coach: Lee Bell
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating5.76
Z. Hemming6.31Z. Hemming
R. Hutton6.433R. Hutton
A. Pond6.915A. Pond
J. Simpson7.46J. Simpson
T. Pearce7.246T. Pearce
T. Naylor8.24T. Naylor
G. McEachran7.020G. McEachran
L. Mandeville9.47L. Mandeville
L. Marsh6.718L. Marsh
J. Koroma7.637J. Koroma
F. Bryden8.69F. Bryden
T. Booth5.51T. Booth
L. Billington5.62L. Billington
L. Offord5.26L. Offord
J. Stephenson4.312J. Stephenson
R. Hutchinson5.03R. Hutchinson
M. Holíček5.917M. Holíček
C. Thomas5.98C. Thomas
J. Tabiner5.811J. Tabiner
Calum Agius4.920C. Agius
J. Gibson6.514J. Gibson
J. March6.19J. March

Chesterfield Substitutes

10L. Bonis60'for F. Bryden6.9
11D. Duffy
27K. Dyer77'for Louie Marsh6.4
19L. Gordon60'for Tom Pearce6.6
30R. Lamptey77'for Tom Naylor6.8
24D. Markanday5'for Josh Koroma6.5
26J. Eccleston

Crewe Substitutes

10J. White74'for Matúš Holíček5.8
4Kyle Ure63'for Reece Hutchinson6.0
29A. Thibaut63'for Josh March6.3
23C. McNeill45'for Joel Tabiner57'7.2
19O. Lunt45'for Conor Thomas6.2
13I. Lawlor
30Stan Dancey

Match Stats

ChesterfieldCrewe
65%Ball Possession35%
2Corner Kicks4
14Total Shots3
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
7Fouls10
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
600Total Passes311
514Passes Accurate210
9Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

ChesterfieldChesterfield
CreweCrewe
1593Elo Rating 1550
2.47Attack 1.30
1.69Defense 0.52
41%Hit Rate 36%
16.9Shots per Game 9.3
5.1Shots on Target 3.6
6.9Corners per Game 3.7
2.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChesterfieldChesterfield
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CreweCrewe
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ChesterfieldChesterfield2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
CreweCrewe1Wins · 25%
4.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two25/04/2026
ChesterfieldCrewe
20
League Two22/11/2025
CreweChesterfield
33
League Two01/03/2025
ChesterfieldCrewe
13
League Two17/08/2024
CreweChesterfield
05

Recent Form

CreweCrewe
4W4D2L
20/10/2026
Exeter CityCrewe
20
L
17/10/2026
CreweRochdale
32
W
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
01
W
06/10/2026
BlackpoolCrewe
4222
L
03/10/2026
CreweBristol Rovers
31
W
26/09/2026
RotherhamCrewe
11
D
22/09/2026
CreweAston Villa U21
41
W
19/09/2026
CreweShrewsbury
11
D
12/09/2026
ColchesterCrewe
11
D
05/09/2026
CreweYork
11
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Chesterfield vs Crewe forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chesterfield and Crewe in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Crewe are 4th and Chesterfield 7th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Chesterfield 23-17, Crewe 16-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chesterfield have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.