Cagliari vs Frosinone Prediction

Cagliari
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Frosinone
Unipol Domus, Cagliari·Giovanni Ayroldi 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Cagliari Rest
6 days
Frosinone Rest
6 days

Cagliari vs Frosinone: the result in context

Cagliari beat Frosinone 1-0 in the Serie A on 7 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Frosinone had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Cagliari.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Referee Giovanni Ayroldi averages 5.94 cards a game, 1.25 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.02
X
24%3.75
2
45%2.20
Double Chance
1X
55%1.66
X2
69%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.40
No
35%2.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.54 = 2.82
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
60%1.44
Over 3.5
41%2.12
Under 1.5
19%5.67
Under 2.5
40%2.74
Under 3.5
59%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.9 = 9.3
Over 8.5
56%1.30
Over 9.5
45%1.57
Over 10.5
34%1.93
Under 8.5
44%3.12
Under 9.5
55%2.32
Under 10.5
66%1.81
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.47
Over 4.5
43%1.89
Under 3.5
37%2.60
Under 4.5
57%1.83

Match Events

13'Gabriele BracagliaFoul
28'Yael Trepy INAlessandro Sugamele out
38'Michel AdopoAssist: Paul Mendy
45'Gabriele Bracaglia INEnzo Tchato out
60'Anthony OyonoFoul
65'Paul Mendy INKevin Carlos out
65'Daniel Maldini INJacopo Fazzini out
65'Giorgi Kvernadze INAlessio Zerbin out
65'Romano Schmid INLuis Hasa out
69'Jacopo FazziniFoul
70'Nicola GranduFoul
71'Anthony Oyono INTomas Bobcek out
78'Nicola Grandu INJoseph Liteta out
78'Alessandro Romano INRiccardo Ciervo out
81'Matteo Cichella INSeydou Fini out
85'Ilario MonterisiFoul
87'Zé PedroFoul

Lineups

Cagliari
4-3-3Coach: F. Pisacane
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Alvini
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.54
E. Caprile9.31E. Caprile
Zé Pedro6.32Z. Pedro
R. Kofler7.122R. Kofler
J. Rodríguez7.315J. Rodríguez
N. Grandu6.436N. Grandu
M. Adopo8.08M. Adopo
A. Romano6.54A. Romano
A. Deiola6.714A. Deiola
Y. Trepy7.019Y. Trepy
P. Mendy7.731P. Mendy
D. Maldini6.370D. Maldini
L. Palmisani6.922L. Palmisani
A. Oyono6.220A. Oyono
G. Calvani6.93G. Calvani
I. Monterisi6.530I. Monterisi
G. Bracaglia5.979G. Bracaglia
Matteo Cichella6.916M. Cichella
G. Calò7.214G. Calò
F. Ghedjemis7.27F. Ghedjemis
R. Schmid6.110R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze6.217G. Kvernadze
D. Bîrligea6.611D. Bîrligea

Cagliari Substitutes

10J. Fazzini65'for Daniel Maldini69'6.8
79Y. Massolin
23B. Radunović
27J. Liteta78'for Nicola Grandu6.9
9Kevin Carlos65'for Paul Mendy6.8
12A. Sherri
21R. Gagliardini
28Y. Sugawara
20R. Ciervo78'for Alessandro Romano6.7
32Ivan Stoyanov Sulev
35Alessandro Sugamele28'replaced by Yael Trepy
37Márton Prettenhoffer
30A. Akarakiri

Frosinone Substitutes

2G. Cittadini
91S. Desplanches
74Omar Fayed
40S. Fini81'for Matteo Cichella6.3
70L. Hasa65'for Romano Schmid6.3
73P. Masini
12M. Pisseri
90E. Tchato45'for Gabriele Bracaglia6.4
24A. Zerbin65'for Giorgi Kvernadze6.7
25K. Akpoguma
89T. Bobček71'for Anthony Oyono6.4
5W. Amey
34A. El Azzouzi

Match Stats

CagliariFrosinone
36%Ball Possession64%
3Corner Kicks13
3Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots29
4Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal11
10Shots Inside Box21
4Shots Outside Box8
6Blocked Shots9
14Fouls12
3Offsides1
9Goalkeeper Saves3
300Total Passes504
210Passes Accurate403
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

CagliariCagliari
FrosinoneFrosinone
1679Elo Rating 1834
0.87Attack 3.13
0.35Defense 1.24
0%Hit Rate 66%
10.8Shots per Game 21.9
3.9Shots on Target 8.0
3.9Corners per Game 7.3
2.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

CagliariCagliari2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
FrosinoneFrosinone1Wins · 20%
4.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Coppa Italia23/09/2025
CagliariFrosinone
41
Serie A21/01/2024
FrosinoneCagliari
31
Serie A29/10/2023
CagliariFrosinone
43
Serie B15/04/2023
CagliariFrosinone
00
Serie B27/11/2022
FrosinoneCagliari
22

Referee Profile

Giovanni Ayroldi124 matches

5.94Cards per match
5.55Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
28.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Giovanni Ayroldi5.94
Other referees4.69

5.94 cards a match, 1.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 119 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Cagliari vs Frosinone forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Cagliari and Frosinone in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Frosinone are 6th and Cagliari 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Cagliari 10-15, Frosinone 24-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.