Napoli vs Lazio Prediction

Napoli
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lazio
Maradona Stadium, Naples·Luca J. Pairetto 08/11/2026
NapoliNapoli
1-1
Finished
LazioLazio

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Napoli Rest
3 days
Lazio Rest
6 days

Napoli vs Lazio: result, form and history

Napoli and Lazio drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 8 Nov 2026. Lazio had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for Napoli.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.30
X
26%3.67
2
33%2.90
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
59%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.49
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.32 = 2.67
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.62
Over 3.5
35%2.40
Under 1.5
21%4.80
Under 2.5
44%2.35
Under 3.5
65%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.5
57%1.54
Over 9.5
45%1.96
Over 10.5
34%2.48
Under 8.5
43%2.30
Under 9.5
55%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.56
Over 4.5
37%2.06
Under 3.5
43%2.36
Under 4.5
63%1.70

Match Events

28'Davide FrattesiAssist: Tijjani Noslin
33'Josip Šutalo INDiogo Leite out
44'Noa LangFoul
45'Nuno Tavares INAlfonso Pedraza out
48'Alfonso PedrazaOG
61'Andrea Pinamonti INFisayo Dele-Bashiru out
61'Romano Floriani Mussolini INManuel Lazzari out
65'Billy GilmourFoul
66'Antonio VergaraFoul
69'Billy Gilmour INFrank Anguissa out
74'Rasmus Hojlund INLorenzo Lucca out
74'Antonio Vergara INMatteo Politano out
78'Alfonso PedrazaFoul
78'Davide Frattesi INMatteo Cancellieri out
83'Kevin De Bruyne INGiovane Santana Do Nascimento out

Lineups

Napoli
3-5-2Coach: M. Allegri
Lazio
4-3-3Coach: G. Gattuso
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.91
V. Milinković-Savić7.932V. Milinković-Savić
S. Beukema6.931S. Beukema
Amir Rrahmani7.213A. Rrahmani
Rafa Marín7.016R. Marín
A. Vergara6.326A. Vergara
K. De Bruyne6.311K. De Bruyne
B. Gilmour6.16B. Gilmour
S. McTominay6.78S. McTominay
M. Olivera6.217M. Olivera
R. Højlund6.519R. Højlund
N. Lang6.270N. Lang
C. Mandas8.035C. Mandas
R. Floriani Mussolini6.615R. Floriani Mussolini
J. Šutalo7.137J. Šutalo
O. Provstgaard7.125O. Provstgaard
Nuno Tavares6.617N. Tavares
D. Frattesi8.216D. Frattesi
R. Belahyane7.021R. Belahyane
K. Taylor6.524K. Taylor
G. Isaksen6.711G. Isaksen
A. Pinamonti6.39A. Pinamonti
T. Noslin7.414T. Noslin

Napoli Substitutes

21M. Politano74'for Antonio Vergara6.9
1A. Meret
39Nikita Melnyk
20L. Lucca74'for Rasmus Hojlund6.6
40Claudio Lieto
23Giovane83'for Kevin De Bruyne6.5
14N. Contini
99A. Zambo Anguissa69'for Billy Gilmour6.0
36Milton Agustín Pereyra
18F. Barido
38A. Chiummariello

Lazio Substitutes

2Diogo Leite33'for Josip Šutalo7.0
22M. Cancellieri78'for Davide Frattesi6.9
32D. Cataldi
7F. Dele-Bashiru61'for Andrea Pinamonti6.3
5D. Doekhi
71V. Farcomeni
29M. Lazzari61'for Romano Floriani Mussolini6.4
77A. Marušić
40E. Motta
23Pedraza45'for Nuno Tavares48'78'6.5
3L. Pellegrini
28A. Przyborek
47D. Renzetti
6N. Rovella
63F. Serra

Match Stats

NapoliLazio
48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots4
12Fouls11
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves6
459Total Passes487
388Passes Accurate423
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

NapoliNapoli
LazioLazio
1805Elo Rating 1898
2.11Attack 3.22
0.35Defense 1.94
34%Hit Rate 100%
12.8Shots per Game 14.6
5.8Shots on Target 5.4
3.3Corners per Game 4.5
2.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NapoliNapoli
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LazioLazio
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

NapoliNapoli3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
LazioLazio5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A18/04/2026
NapoliLazio
02
Serie A04/01/2026
LazioNapoli
02
Serie A15/02/2025
LazioNapoli
22
Serie A08/12/2024
NapoliLazio
01
Coppa Italia05/12/2024
LazioNapoli
31
Serie A28/01/2024
LazioNapoli
00
Serie A02/09/2023
NapoliLazio
12
Serie A03/03/2023
NapoliLazio
01
Serie A03/09/2022
LazioNapoli
12
Serie A27/02/2022
LazioNapoli
12

Referee Profile

Luca J. Pairetto136 matches

4.74Cards per match
4.49Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca J. Pairetto4.74
Other referees4.62

4.74 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.62).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Napoli vs Lazio forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Napoli and Lazio in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Lazio are 1st and Napoli 10th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Napoli 18-14, Lazio 25-9. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lazio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.