Parma vs Bologna Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 11
Parma
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Bologna
Ennio Tardini, Parma·Luca Zufferli 07/11/2026
ParmaParma
1-2
Finished
BolognaBologna

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Parma Rest
4 days
Bologna Rest
7 days

Parma vs Bologna: the result in context

Bologna beat Parma 2-1 in the Serie A on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Bologna had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Parma.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%5.22
X
26%3.62
2
54%1.73
Double Chance
1X
46%2.13
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.46 = 2.52
Over 1.5
71%1.35
Over 2.5
47%2.08
Over 3.5
27%3.78
Under 1.5
29%3.20
Under 2.5
53%1.75
Under 3.5
73%1.27
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.75
Over 9.5
43%2.20
Over 10.5
33%2.90
Under 8.5
45%2.01
Under 9.5
57%1.59
Under 10.5
67%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%2.21
Over 4.5
40%3.31
Under 3.5
40%1.64
Under 4.5
60%1.31

Match Events

7'Card upgrade confirmedAbdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye
9'Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye
14'José David RomeroFoul
20'Nicolo CasaleFoul
22'José David Romero INEl Bilal Toure out
26'Juan Miranda INSamuel Mbangula Tshifunda out
42'Mariano TroiloFoul
45'Benjamin Cremaschi INSascha Britschgi out
45'Simone Lontani INNesta Elphege out
45'Nadir Zortea INRiccardo Orsolini out
53'Arthur TheateAssist: Nicolo Cambiaghi
54'Penalty cancelledFederico Bernardeschi
59'Nicolo Casale INEivind Helland out
59'Jens Odgaard INRoberto Piccoli out
68'Penalty confirmedNicolo Cambiaghi
72'Enrico DelPratoDissent
72'Riccardo Orsolini(Penalty)
75'Nicolo Cambiaghi INMartin Vitik out
77'Penalty confirmedGiovanni Fabbian
80'Martin VitikFoul
81'Vincent Sierro(Penalty)
82'Giovanni Fabbian INPontus Almqvist out
82'Vincent Sierro INChristian Ordóñez out

Lineups

Parma
3-5-2Coach: A. Gilardino
Bologna
3-4-3Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Avg rating6.30
Avg rating6.91
G. Daffara7.230G. Daffara
E. Del Prato5.915E. Del Prato
M. Troilo6.337M. Troilo
A. N'Diaye5.13A. N'Diaye
B. Cremaschi6.48B. Cremaschi
G. Fabbian6.280G. Fabbian
V. Sierro6.64V. Sierro
M. Keita6.316M. Keita
E. Valeri6.514E. Valeri
D. Romero6.09D. Romero
S. Lontani6.776S. Lontani
Ł. Skorupski6.61Ł. Skorupski
M. Darmian6.936M. Darmian
N. Casale6.716N. Casale
A. Theate7.73A. Theate
N. Zortea7.220N. Zortea
L. Ferguson7.219L. Ferguson
T. Pobega6.44T. Pobega
Juan Miranda6.433J. Miranda
F. Bernardeschi7.410F. Bernardeschi
J. Odgaard6.821J. Odgaard
N. Cambiaghi7.728N. Cambiaghi

Parma Substitutes

29F. Carboni
19E. Touré22'for José David Romero6.1
40E. Corvi
7Ousmane Diallo
34Diego Carlos
23N. Elphege45'for Simone Lontani6.6
20M. Frigan
22S. Ghidotti
47Abdou Konate
41H. Nicolussi
32C. Ordoñez82'for Vincent Sierro6.1
27S. Britschgi45'for Benjamin Cremaschi6.5
11P. Almqvist82'for Giovanni Fabbian6.7

Bologna Substitutes

41M. Vitík75'for Nicolo Cambiaghi80'6.0
23R. Alhassane
8M. Amondarain
9A. Dovbyk
17O. El Azzouzi
91R. Piccoli59'for Jens Odgaard6.5
25M. Pessina
7R. Orsolini45'for Nadir Zortea72'7.8
6N. Moro
11S. Mbangula26'for Juan Miranda6.9
18M. Libra
14T. Heggem
72U. Happonen
5E. Helland59'for Nicolo Casale6.3

Match Stats

ParmaBologna
31%Ball Possession69%
1Corner Kicks15
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots33
2Shots on Goal10
6Shots off Goal13
8Shots Inside Box22
3Shots Outside Box11
3Blocked Shots10
11Fouls13
0Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves1
219Total Passes477
158Passes Accurate433
13Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

ParmaParma
BolognaBologna
1676Elo Rating 1802
1.00Attack 2.29
1.69Defense 1.63
27%Hit Rate 83%
10.8Shots per Game 9.9
3.7Shots on Target 4.8
3.8Corners per Game 4.0
0.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ParmaParma
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
BolognaBologna
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

ParmaParma2Wins · 29%
Draws114%
BolognaBologna4Wins · 57%
2.6Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie A08/02/2026
BolognaParma
01
Coppa Italia04/12/2025
BolognaParma
21
Serie A02/11/2025
ParmaBologna
13
Serie A22/02/2025
ParmaBologna
20
Serie A06/10/2024
BolognaParma
00
Serie A07/02/2021
ParmaBologna
03
Serie A28/09/2020
BolognaParma
41

Recent Form

ParmaParma
2W2D6L
02/11/2026
AtalantaParma
03
W28/10/2026
ParmaUdinese
00
D24/10/2026
LazioParma
21
L19/10/2026
ParmaTorino
03
L10/10/2026
InterParma
30
L20/09/2026
ParmaGenoa
21
W14/09/2026
ComoParma
21
L06/09/2026
ParmaMonza
11
D
01/09/2026
ParmaCremonese
02
L
29/08/2026
JuventusParma
20
L
BolognaBologna
4W2D4L
31/10/2026
BolognaMonza
21
W28/10/2026
AC MilanBologna
24
W24/10/2026
CagliariBologna
02
W17/10/2026
BolognaInter
13
L11/10/2026
LecceBologna
12
W19/09/2026
BolognaTorino
11
D13/09/2026
NapoliBologna
10
L06/09/2026
BolognaSassuolo
22
D31/08/2026
AtalantaBologna
10
L24/08/2026
BolognaLazio
01
L

Referee Profile

Luca Zufferli116 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.80Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Zufferli4.02
Other referees4.50

4.02 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.50).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

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About the Parma vs Bologna forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Parma and Bologna in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Bologna are 8th and Parma 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Parma 9-17, Bologna 16-14. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.