AS Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 11
AS Roma
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Sassuolo
Stadio Olimpico, Rome·Marco Di Bello 07/11/2026
AS RomaAS Roma
3-0
Finished
SassuoloSassuolo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
AS Roma Rest
3 days
Sassuolo Rest
5 days

AS Roma vs Sassuolo: result, form and history

AS Roma beat Sassuolo 3-0 in the Serie A on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: AS Roma had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Sassuolo.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.35
X
15%5.60
2
12%8.15
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
27%3.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 0.83 = 2.84
Over 1.5
83%1.09
Over 2.5
64%1.39
Over 3.5
44%2.00
Under 1.5
17%6.50
Under 2.5
36%3.00
Under 3.5
56%1.84
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.3 + 3.4 = 10.7
Over 8.5
70%1.42
Over 9.5
60%1.75
Over 10.5
49%2.15
Under 8.5
30%2.62
Under 9.5
40%2.03
Under 10.5
51%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%2.36
Over 4.5
32%3.90
Under 3.5
49%1.53
Under 4.5
68%1.23

Match Events

27'Mario Hermoso
30'Sebastian WalukiewiczOG
45'Nemanja Matić INKieron Bowie out
45'Simone Cinquegrano INIgnace Van der Brempt out
58'Rodrigo MoraAssist: Donyell Malen
66'Rodrigo Mora INNiccolò Pisilli out
66'Manu Koné INMarten de Roon out
69'Kristian Thorstvedt INLuca Lipani out
69'Sebastiano Esposito INVasilije Adzic out
77'Donyell Malen INSantiago Thomas Castro out
77'Mario Hermoso INKonstantinos Koulierakis out
85'Leonardo Balerdi INDaniele Ghilardi out
90'Duje Ćaleta-Car INFali Cande out

Lineups

AS Roma
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Gasperini
Sassuolo
3-5-2Coach: A. Aquilani
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.13
D. Vásquez6.932D. Vásquez
L. Balerdi7.426L. Balerdi
E. Ndicka7.35E. Ndicka
Hermoso8.422Hermoso
N. Molina6.620N. Molina
B. Cristante7.24B. Cristante
M. Koné7.617M. Koné
Wesley6.543Wesley
M. Soulé7.018M. Soulé
Rodrigo Mora7.886R. Mora
D. Malen6.814D. Malen
A. Murić6.449A. Murić
S. Walukiewicz5.16S. Walukiewicz
J. Idzes6.721J. Idzes
D. Ćaleta-Car6.415D. Ćaleta-Car
S. Cinquegrano5.746S. Cinquegrano
K. Thorstvedt6.342K. Thorstvedt
N. Matić6.218N. Matić
I. Sulemana6.455I. Sulemana
J. Doig6.53J. Doig
S. Esposito6.194S. Esposito
A. Laurienté6.145A. Laurienté

AS Roma Substitutes

87D. Ghilardi85'for Leonardo Balerdi6.7
77E. Lulli
64Valerio Maccaroni
3K. Koulierakis77'for Mario Hermoso6.6
12Levente Kilvinger
68A. Arena
61N. Pisilli66'for Rodrigo Mora7.2
9S. Castro77'for Donyell Malen6.4
70G. De Marzi
15M. de Roon66'for Manu Koné7.1

Sassuolo Substitutes

20I. Van der Brempt45'for Simone Cinquegrano5.9
8A. Ghion
35L. Lipani69'for Kristian Thorstvedt6.0
33Rafael Obrador
26C. Odenthal
70E. Pieragnolo
77N. Pierini
12G. Satalino
19L. Skjellerup
80S. Turati
9K. Bowie45'for Nemanja Matić6.4
50D. Bakola
17Vasilije Adžić69'for Sebastiano Esposito5.8
5Fali Candé90'for Duje Ćaleta-Car
25B. Domínguez

Match Stats

AS RomaSassuolo
65%Ball Possession35%
12Corner Kicks1
28Total Shots6
9Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal4
25Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots1
8Fouls13
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
714Total Passes387
645Passes Accurate322
12Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

AS RomaAS Roma
SassuoloSassuolo
1933Elo Rating 1676
3.52Attack 1.47
0.85Defense 0.00
56%Hit Rate 0%
16.6Shots per Game 9.0
6.8Shots on Target 2.3
5.5Corners per Game 3.7
1.7Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+257 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AS RomaAS Roma
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AS RomaAS Roma5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
SassuoloSassuolo1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A10/01/2026
AS RomaSassuolo
20
Serie A26/10/2025
SassuoloAS Roma
01
Serie A17/03/2024
AS RomaSassuolo
10
Serie A03/12/2023
SassuoloAS Roma
12
Serie A12/03/2023
AS RomaSassuolo
34
Serie A09/11/2022
SassuoloAS Roma
11
Serie A13/02/2022
SassuoloAS Roma
22
Serie A12/09/2021
AS RomaSassuolo
21
Serie A03/04/2021
SassuoloAS Roma
22
Serie A06/12/2020
AS RomaSassuolo
00

Recent Form

AS RomaAS Roma
5W3D2L
03/11/2026
Manchester UnitedAS Roma
32
L31/10/2026
UdineseAS Roma
25
W27/10/2026
AS RomaCagliari
42
W24/10/2026
NapoliAS Roma
33
D20/10/2026
AS RomaSlovan Bratislava
40
W17/10/2026
AS RomaGenoa
20
W14/10/2026
AS RomaReal Madrid
34
L11/10/2026
ComoAS Roma
00
D19/09/2026
AS RomaInter
22
D14/09/2026
TorinoAS Roma
02
W
SassuoloSassuolo
3W2D5L
02/11/2026
SassuoloFiorentina
24
L27/10/2026
SassuoloLazio
26
L24/10/2026
ComoSassuolo
20
L16/10/2026
FrosinoneSassuolo
42
L11/10/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
11
D18/09/2026
MonzaSassuolo
21
L13/09/2026
SassuoloJuventus
32
W06/09/2026
BolognaSassuolo
22
D02/09/2026
SassuoloFrosinone
4131
W29/08/2026
SassuoloTorino
21
W

Referee Profile

Marco Di Bello150 matches

4.31Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Di Bello4.31
Other referees4.59

4.31 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.59).

Cards come from 141 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
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About the AS Roma vs Sassuolo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AS Roma and Sassuolo in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: AS Roma are 3rd in the Serie A, while Sassuolo sit 17th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: AS Roma 31-10, Sassuolo 16-29. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AS Roma have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.