Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction
England · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Chelsea vs Tottenham in numbers
Chelsea arrive in slightly better form, with 3 wins from their last five to 1 for Tottenham. It is a derby, played in the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026.
Chelsea have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Chelsea
TottenhamAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Chelsea- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tottenham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Chelsea7Wins · 70%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
01/08/2026ChelseaTottenham
19/05/2026ChelseaTottenham01/11/2025TottenhamChelsea03/04/2025ChelseaTottenham08/12/2024TottenhamChelsea02/05/2024ChelseaTottenham06/11/2023TottenhamChelsea26/02/2023TottenhamChelsea14/08/2022ChelseaTottenham23/01/2022ChelseaTottenhamRecent Form
Chelsea
EvertonChelseaChelsea
Bournemouth
BrentfordChelseaChelsea
Hull CityChelsea
Leeds
ArsenalChelseaChelsea
BrightonChelsea
Luton
FulhamChelseaChelsea
Real SociedadTottenhamTottenham
Coventry
Manchester UnitedTottenhamTottenham
Aston Villa
LiverpoolTottenhamTottenhamEverton
Nottingham ForestTottenhamTottenham
NewcastleTottenham
CharltonBrentfordTottenhamTottenham
1899 HoffenheimReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.11 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.89).
Cards come from 202 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:7 | +12 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | +1 | 10 | LDWDD |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | LWLWL |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 | WDWLD |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 | DDDLD |
| 14 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | WDLDD |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 | LLLWD |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 7 | 19:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Brighton | 7 | 23:5 | 16 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 7 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds | 7 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 7 | 11:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 7 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 7 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 7 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 7 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Coventry | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Fulham | 7 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 7 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 7 | 6:14 | 4 |
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This match
About the Chelsea vs Tottenham forecast
As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chelsea and Tottenham in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Chelsea are 4th and Tottenham 16th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Chelsea 17-13, Tottenham 6-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.