Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 14
Estadio La Corregidora, Santiago Querétaro·Cesar Arturo Ramos 26/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Club Queretaro Rest
5 days
Cruz Azul Rest
3 days
Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul: the result in context
Cruz Azul beat Club Queretaro 3-1 in the Liga MX on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Cruz Azul have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
126%3.54
X25%3.70
249%1.93
Double Chance
1X51%1.79
X274%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.56
No40%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.73 = 3.01
Over 1.580%1.20
Over 2.559%1.66
Over 3.538%2.62
Under 1.520%4.33
Under 2.541%2.18
Under 3.562%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5.3 = 10
Over 8.565%1.33
Over 9.553%1.62
Over 10.542%2.01
Under 8.535%2.81
Under 9.547%2.12
Under 10.558%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.34
Over 4.543%1.67
Under 3.538%3.05
Under 4.557%2.10
Match Events
4'Amaury GarcíaFoul
17'Penalty confirmedNicolás Ibañez
19'Andrés Montaño(Penalty)
27'Mateo CoronelFoul
33'Mateo CoronelAssist: Iker Benito Sánchez
44'Nicolás IbañezAssist: Jesús Orozco
45'Bayron Duarte INCarlos Villanueva out
45+2'Osinachi EbereAssist: Andrés Montaño
45+3'Goal confirmedOsinachi Ebere
60'Osinachi Ebere INLuka Romero out
60'Rogelio Gonzalez INÁngel Márquez out
60'Amaury García INJorge Rodarte out
67'Iker Benito Sánchez INDenilson Muñoz out
71'Agustín Palavecino INCarlos Rodriguez out
78'Ali Ávila INPaulo Victor out
79'Bernardo Parra INJesús Arellano out
80'Andrés Montaño INCarlos Rotondi out
84'Daniel Parra INEduardo Perez out
Lineups
Club QueretaroCruz Azul
4-2-3-1Coach: Joel HuiquiAvg ratingAvg rating
25G. Allison
24B. Duarte
13D. Reyes
2L. Abascia
27D. Parra
4C. Adriano
8B. Parra
16E. Giménez
11M. Coronel
7I. Benito
9A. Ávila
1A. Gudiño
55R. Gonzalez
33G. Piovi
5J. Orozco
3O. Campos
17A. García
6É. Lira
8A. Palavecino
10A. Montaño
11C. Ebere
7N. IbáñezClub Queretaro Substitutes
1J. Hernández
30J. Martinez
28J. Arellano79'for Bernardo Parra
20Álex Alcalá
29W. Madrid
17D. Muñoz67'for Iker Benito Sánchez
26E. Pérez84'for Daniel Parra
23J. Robles
15C. Villanueva45'for Bayron Duarte
12Paulo Victor78'for Ali Ávila
Cruz Azul Substitutes
60Ariel Castro Sevilla
21G. Fernández
23K. Mier
12A. Montes
2A. Mozo
16J. Márquez60'for Rogelio Gonzalez
22J. Rodarte60'for Amaury García
19C. Rodríguez71'for Agustín Palavecino
18L. Romero60'for Osinachi Ebere
29C. Rotondi80'for Andrés Montaño
Match Stats
Club QueretaroCruz Azul 48%Ball Possession52%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box9
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls8
0Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
425Total Passes486
341Passes Accurate392
8Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Club QueretaroCruz Azul1627Elo Rating 1763
1.13Attack 2.77
1.17Defense 1.51
36%Hit Rate 50%
13.1Shots per Game 16.6
3.7Shots on Target 6.3
4.1Corners per Game 5.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Club Queretaro- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruz Azul- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Club Queretaro1Wins · 10%Draws330%
Cruz Azul6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
22/04/2026Club QueretaroCruz Azul11
25/09/2025Cruz AzulClub Queretaro22
24/02/2025Cruz AzulClub Queretaro10
24/08/2024Club QueretaroCruz Azul02
03/02/2024Club QueretaroCruz Azul13
26/09/2023Cruz AzulClub Queretaro13
30/03/2023Club QueretaroCruz Azul22
28/08/2022Cruz AzulClub Queretaro21
22/04/2022Club QueretaroCruz Azul01
20/09/2021Cruz AzulClub Queretaro20
Recent Form
Club Queretaro4W2D4L
21/10/2026
Atletico San LuisClub Queretaro
Santos LagunaClub QueretaroClub Queretaro
Atlante FC
Guadalajara ChivasClub QueretaroClub Queretaro
Leon
Club TijuanaClub Queretaro
AtlasClub QueretaroClub Queretaro
Toluca
Atletico San LuisClub Queretaro21
L18/10/2026Santos LagunaClub Queretaro50
L11/10/2026Club QueretaroAtlante FC20
W27/09/2026Guadalajara ChivasClub Queretaro02
W21/09/2026Club QueretaroLeon11
D12/09/2026Club TijuanaClub Queretaro01
W30/08/2026AtlasClub Queretaro13
W22/08/2026Club QueretaroToluca12
L16/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro00
D13/08/2026
Los Angeles FCClub Queretaro
Los Angeles FCClub Queretaro5131
LCruz Azul5W2D3L
22/10/2026
CF PachucaCruz AzulCruz Azul
FC JuarezCruz AzulToluca
MonterreyCruz AzulCruz Azul
Club AmericaCruz AzulSantos Laguna
NecaxaCruz AzulCruz AzulAtlas
CF PachucaCruz Azul12
W18/10/2026Cruz AzulFC Juarez50
W12/10/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
27/09/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul33
DCruz AzulToluca33
D20/09/2026MonterreyCruz Azul10
L17/09/2026
Inter MiamiCruz Azul
13/09/2026Inter MiamiCruz Azul20
LCruz AzulClub America43
W07/09/2026Cruz AzulSantos Laguna10
W29/08/2026NecaxaCruz Azul13
W23/08/2026Cruz AzulAtlas02
LReferee Profile
4.55Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 48% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | WDLWD |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 |  Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 33:18 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 25:26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 17:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 9:33 | 5 |
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About the Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Club Queretaro and Cruz Azul in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul are 2nd and Club Queretaro 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Club Queretaro 17-18, Cruz Azul 32-23. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.