Club America vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Club America
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
CF Pachuca
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City·Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-2.7%
Club America Rest
4 days
CF Pachuca Rest
3 days

Club America vs CF Pachuca: result, form and history

CF Pachuca beat Club America 2-1 in the Liga MX on 26 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Club America had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for CF Pachuca.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.59
X
22%4.15
2
17%5.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.16
X2
39%2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.61
No
43%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 0.97 = 3.07
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.57
Over 3.5
39%2.46
Under 1.5
18%4.60
Under 2.5
39%2.25
Under 3.5
61%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.1 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.35
Over 9.5
59%1.65
Over 10.5
47%2.04
Under 8.5
30%2.86
Under 9.5
41%2.14
Under 10.5
53%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.26
Over 4.5
49%1.55
Under 3.5
32%3.60
Under 4.5
51%2.37

Match Events

12'Alan Bautista
19'Sergio BarretoFoul
22'Penalty cancelledJorge Berlanga
45'Franco Rossano INDagoberto Espinoza out
46'Henry MartinAssist: Erick Sánchez
56'Dagoberto EspinozaFoul
59'Israel Reyes INEdwin Cerrillo out
59'Carlos Álvarez INMiguel Borja out
64'Javier VallejoFoul
68'Jorge Guillermo Almada ÁlvesDissent
68'Rodolfo Pizarro INMauricio Isais out
69'Erick SánchezFoul
72'Oscar Andres Perea Abonce INIsaias Violante out
74'Oussama IdrissiAssist: Salomón Rondón
75'Javier Vallejo INRobert Nunes out
76'Alan Bautista INIan Josué Zavala Osorio out
81'Henry Martin INalejandro cardenas out
85'Jorge Berlanga INSebastian Santos out
90+2'Francisco Venegas INPedro Budib out

Lineups

Club America
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Almada
CF Pachuca
4-3-3Coach: B. Mora
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.74
L. Malagón6.51L. Malagón
K. Álvarez6.05K. Álvarez
S. Bueno6.114S. Bueno
S. Ramos6.315S. Ramos
F. Rossano5.924F. Rossano
I. Reyes6.23I. Reyes
É. Sánchez7.428É. Sánchez
Ó. Perea6.822Ó. Perea
Carlos Álvarez6.68C. Álvarez
B. Rodríguez7.17B. Rodríguez
H. Martín7.99H. Martín
C. Moreno8.125C. Moreno
J. Berlanga6.013J. Berlanga
Eduardo Bauermann6.24E. Bauermann
S. Barreto6.12S. Barreto
F. Venegas6.115F. Venegas
R. Pizarro6.97R. Pizarro
C. Rivera6.416C. Rivera
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez8.426A. Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
N. Vallejo6.521N. Vallejo
S. Rondón7.123S. Rondón
O. Idrissi7.811O. Idrissi

Club America Substitutes

30R. Cota
13A. Cervantes
6E. Cerrillo59'for Israel Reyes6.7
93M. Borja59'for Carlos Álvarez6.4
189A. Cardenas81'for Henry Martin6.3
34D. Espinoza45'for Franco Rossano56'6.4
20A. Gutiérrez
206Derek Ramses Jimenez
29R. Juárez
12I. Violante72'for Oscar Andres Perea Abonce6.6

CF Pachuca Substitutes

32P. Budib90+2'for Francisco Venegas
31J. Eulogio
211C. Hernandez
6M. Isaís68'for Rodolfo Pizarro6.3
221Ulises Natanael Martínez Reynoso
29Kenedy75'for Javier Vallejo6.3
30S. Rodríguez
12S. Santos85'for Jorge Berlanga6.4
207Ian Josué Zavala Osorio76'replaced by Alan Bautista
9A. Alcáraz

Match Stats

Club AmericaCF Pachuca
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots16
8Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box7
10Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots7
17Fouls16
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves7
451Total Passes312
357Passes Accurate223
16Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Club AmericaClub America
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1776Elo Rating 1619
3.63Attack 1.36
0.97Defense 0.97
66%Hit Rate 0%
15.8Shots per Game 15.7
7.7Shots on Target 4.8
4.4Corners per Game 5.0
2.0Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+157 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club AmericaClub America
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Club AmericaClub America3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
CF PachucaCF Pachuca2Wins · 20%
1.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX19/01/2026
CF PachucaClub America
00
Liga MX31/08/2025
Club AmericaCF Pachuca
20
Liga MX11/05/2025
Club AmericaCF Pachuca
20
Liga MX08/05/2025
CF PachucaClub America
00
Liga MX06/04/2025
CF PachucaClub America
10
Liga MX07/11/2024
Club AmericaCF Pachuca
21
Liga MX12/05/2024
Club AmericaCF Pachuca
11
Liga MX09/05/2024
CF PachucaClub America
11
CONCACAF Champions League01/05/2024
CF PachucaClub America
21
CONCACAF Champions League24/04/2024
Club AmericaCF Pachuca
11

Referee Profile

Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez109 matches

4.53Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Maximiliano Quintero Hernandez4.53
Other referees4.65

4.53 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).

Cards come from 43 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
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About the Club America vs CF Pachuca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Club America and CF Pachuca in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Club America are 1st and CF Pachuca 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Club America 33-18, CF Pachuca 22-19. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.