Atlas vs Puebla Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atlas vs Puebla: the result in context
Atlas beat Puebla 4-3 in the Liga MX on 25 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atlas had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Puebla.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Referee Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.97 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Atlas
Avg ratingAvg rating
12C. Vargas
3J. Sánchez
28M. Capasso
19A. Frías
5J. Rodríguez
15P. Ramírez
18E. Montiel
20K. Zenón
10L. Esteves
9F. Monzón
8R. Mmaee
28R. Gutiérrez
12I. Moreno
5F. Almada
4J. Vargas
7F. Monárrez
16A. Ramírez
27B. Garnica
24A. Organista
14E. Armenta
8O. Moreno
9L. HernándezAtlas Substitutes
Puebla Substitutes
Match Stats
AtlasPuebla Team Comparison
AtlasPueblaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atlas- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
Puebla- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atlas5Wins · 50%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
10/07/2026AtlasPuebla
10/01/2026AtlasPuebla12/07/2025PueblaAtlas16/02/2025AtlasPuebla20/07/2024PueblaAtlas09/03/2024PueblaAtlas29/09/2023AtlasPuebla18/03/2023PueblaAtlas21/08/2022AtlasPuebla12/02/2022PueblaAtlasRecent Form
Atlas
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.65 cards a match, 0.97 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).
Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 | LWWDW |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | WWDDL |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29:19 | +10 | 23 | DDDLD |
| 6 |  Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:18 | +3 | 22 | WDLWD |
| 7 |  Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 | WDDDL |
| 9 |  Club Queretaro | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 20 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | -3 | 19 | WWDLW |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 17 | DLWDL |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | +3 | 16 | WLLDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | DLDWW |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LWLLW |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 10 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9:33 | -24 | 5 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 13 | 33:18 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 14 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlas | 14 | 25:26 | 24 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 29:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Club Leon | 14 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 13 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 13 | 17:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 11 | Atletico San Luis | 14 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 20:23 | 17 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 14 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 14 | Puebla | 14 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 16:27 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 14 | 9:33 | 5 |
Explore more predictions
More Liga MX matches
About the Atlas vs Puebla forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atlas and Puebla in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Atlas are 4th and Puebla 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlas 25-26, Puebla 16-21. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.