Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC Prediction

Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City·Victor Rivas 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Colorado Rapids Rest
4 days
Minnesota United FC Rest
4 days

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: the result in context

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.81
X
24%3.80
2
22%4.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
46%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.13 = 2.93
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.64
Over 3.5
36%2.52
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
43%2.24
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.1 = 10.2
Over 8.5
65%1.47
Over 9.5
54%1.81
Over 10.5
44%2.29
Under 8.5
35%2.56
Under 9.5
46%1.93
Under 10.5
56%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.50
Over 4.5
47%2.02
Under 3.5
34%2.50
Under 4.5
53%1.73

Match Events

11'Darren YapiFoul
45+1'Darren YapiAssist: Keegan Rosenberry
52'Kelvin Yeboah
60'Paxten Aaronson INJoshua Atencio out
60'Keegan Rosenberry INSayed Abu Farkhi out
65'Marcus Caldeira INMauricio González Carabalí out
67'Card upgrade confirmedSayed Abu Farkhi
68'Sayed Abu FarkhiViolent conduct
70'Darren Yapi INGeorgi Minoungou out
72'Morgan Whittaker INIbrahim Sadiq out
72'Donavan Phillip INKosi Thompson out
74'Georgi Minoungou
79'Miguel NavarroFoul
82'Tomás Chancalay INAziel Jackson out
82'Wil Trapp INNectarios Triantis out
82'Bongokuhle Hlongwane INJoaquín Pereyra out
83'Loïc Williams Ntambue Kayumba GironésOG
87'Owen GeneFoul
90+4'Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño INNicolás Romero out

Lineups

Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Coach: Matt Wells
Minnesota United FC
4-4-2Coach: C. Knowles
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.40
N. Defreitas6.241N. Defreitas
K. Rosenberry6.62K. Rosenberry
R. Holding7.06R. Holding
Loïc Williams6.15L. Williams
M. Navarro6.129M. Navarro
W. Frederick II6.313W. Frederick II
H. Ojediran6.58H. Ojediran
P. Aaronson5.810P. Aaronson
M. Whittaker6.97M. Whittaker
D. Phillip6.532D. Phillip
D. Yapi7.077D. Yapi
D. Callender5.912D. Callender
Cherrion Valerius6.452C. Valerius
J. Díaz6.528J. Díaz
M. Boxall6.515M. Boxall
M. Duggan6.423M. Duggan
B. Hlongwane6.121B. Hlongwane
O. Gene6.330O. Gene
W. Trapp6.720W. Trapp
T. Chancalay6.08T. Chancalay
K. Yeboah8.19K. Yeboah
Marcus Caldeira6.322M. Caldeira

Colorado Rapids Substitutes

12J. Atencio60'for Paxten Aaronson5.9
31A. Beaudry
24N. Cobb
16A. Harris
93G. Minoungou70'for Darren Yapi74'7.7
11I. Sadiq72'for Morgan Whittaker6.8
33K. Thompson72'for Donavan Phillip6.3
99J. Travis
9S. Abu60'for Keegan Rosenberry68'5.7

Minnesota United FC Substitutes

25N. Triantis82'for Wil Trapp6.2
27D. Taylor
5N. Romero90+4'for Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño
94Kayne Rizvanovich
26J. Pereyra82'for Bongokuhle Hlongwane5.6
11M. Malone
16A. Jackson82'for Tomás Chancalay6.0
18M. Gonzalez65'for Marcus Caldeira7.1
3K. Duncan

Match Stats

Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
15Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box1
6Blocked Shots4
7Fouls10
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves2
517Total Passes333
452Passes Accurate260
9Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
1556Elo Rating 1556
1.41Attack 2.10
1.43Defense 0.69
0%Hit Rate 27%
12.4Shots per Game 17.2
4.8Shots on Target 5.6
5.4Corners per Game 4.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC5Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer14/05/2026
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
01
Major League Soccer28/09/2025
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC
11
Major League Soccer11/08/2025
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
12
Major League Soccer29/09/2024
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
30
Major League Soccer26/05/2024
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC
33
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
30
Major League Soccer19/03/2023
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC
12
Major League Soccer07/08/2022
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC
43
US Open Cup12/05/2022
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
21
Major League Soccer17/04/2022
Minnesota United FCColorado Rapids
31

Referee Profile

Victor Rivas141 matches

4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Rivas4.77
Other referees4.31

4.77 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas31159758:47+1154WDWLW
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City31149856:44+1251LLDWW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC311210948:33+1546DWDLD
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3110101143:52-940DWLWW
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake311161448:48039WWDLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers311071454:58-437WDLDL
12San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC318111247:55-835DWDDL
14AustinAustin318101340:57-1734WLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City31642137:77-4022LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3158:4754
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3156:4451
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3148:3346
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
9Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3143:5240
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3148:4839
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3154:5837
12San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3147:5535
14AustinAustin3140:5734
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3137:7722
Promotion

About the Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Colorado Rapids are 8th and Minnesota United FC 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Colorado Rapids 42-41, Minnesota United FC 47-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Colorado Rapids have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.