Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Prediction

Cruzeiro
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Flamengo
Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte·Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil 23/08/2026
CruzeiroCruzeiro
2-1
Finished
FlamengoFlamengo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.29
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Cruzeiro Rest
2 days
Flamengo Rest
2 days

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo: the result in context

Cruzeiro beat Flamengo 2-1 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Flamengo tend to win more corners, 8.5 a game to 5.5 for Cruzeiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.15
X
26%3.27
2
49%2.29
Double Chance
1X
51%1.61
X2
75%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.73
No
50%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.19 = 2.27
Over 1.5
72%1.30
Over 2.5
46%1.99
Over 3.5
23%3.40
Under 1.5
28%3.30
Under 2.5
54%1.82
Under 3.5
77%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.80
Over 10.5
39%2.25
Under 8.5
34%2.50
Under 9.5
47%1.93
Under 10.5
61%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
66%1.27
Over 4.5
43%1.56
Under 3.5
34%3.50
Under 4.5
57%2.33

Match Events

20'Fabricio Bruno
22'PedroAssist: G. de Arrascaeta
36'Joao MarceloHolding
46'J. Costa INWesley out
55'K. ArroyoAssist: Matheus Henrique
63'G. de Arrascaeta INJorginho out
63'Samuel Lino ING. Plata out
72'E. Pulgar INEvertton Araujo out
72'Lucas Paqueta INBruno Henrique out
75'L. Romero INGerson out
75'K. Arroyo INKenji out
75'Kaio Jorge INN. Villarreal out
82'Bruno Henrique
83'Pedro INLuiz Araujo out
86'WesleyHolding
86'Matheus Henrique INZe Lucas out
90+5'Matheus PereiraAssist: L. Villalba

Team Comparison

CruzeiroCruzeiro
FlamengoFlamengo
1809Elo Rating 1940
2.18Attack 2.73
1.57Defense 2.11
86%Hit Rate 83%
17.0Shots per Game 18.6
7.3Shots on Target 7.9
5.5Corners per Game 8.5
2.5Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CruzeiroCruzeiro
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
FlamengoFlamengo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

CruzeiroCruzeiro1Wins · 11%
Draws333%
FlamengoFlamengo5Wins · 56%
2.0Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Libertadores20/08/2026
FlamengoCruzeiro
21
CONMEBOL Libertadores13/08/2026
CruzeiroFlamengo
11
Serie A12/03/2026
FlamengoCruzeiro
20
Serie A03/10/2025
FlamengoCruzeiro
00
Serie A04/05/2025
CruzeiroFlamengo
21
Serie A07/11/2024
CruzeiroFlamengo
01
Serie A30/06/2024
FlamengoCruzeiro
21
Serie A20/10/2023
CruzeiroFlamengo
02
Serie A27/05/2023
FlamengoCruzeiro
11

Referee Profile

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima170 matches

5.31Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima5.31
Other referees5.25

5.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Cruzeiro vs Flamengo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Cruzeiro and Flamengo in the Serie A table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Flamengo are 1st in the Serie A, 16 points ahead of Cruzeiro in 3rd. League goal record so far: Cruzeiro 55-48, Flamengo 71-29. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Flamengo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.