Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia Prediction

Chapecoense-sc
3-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Bahia
Arena Condá, Chapecó· Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel42%RiskMediumGap+6.0%
Chapecoense-sc Rest
7 days
Bahia Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.55
X
25%3.42
2
38%2.05
Double Chance
1X
62%1.73
X2
64%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.70
No
48%2.04
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.18 = 2.43
Over 1.5
75%1.26
Over 2.5
47%1.88
Over 3.5
24%3.20
Under 1.5
25%3.55
Under 2.5
53%1.91
Under 3.5
76%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
57%1.32
Over 9.5
46%1.60
Over 10.5
33%1.96
Under 8.5
43%3.04
Under 9.5
54%2.15
Under 10.5
67%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
63%1.38
Over 4.5
42%1.91
Under 3.5
37%2.80
Under 4.5
58%1.80

Match Events

13'A. Veliz(Penalty)
19'Giovanni AugustoAssist: Yago Felipe
42'KauanOG
46'K. Ramirez INTulio out
46'Heitor INEverton out
46'Bruno Matias INF. Rossi out
48'MarcinhoAssist: Giovanni Augusto
65'Nicolas AcevedoAssist: Jean Lucas
66'R. Gomez INCaio Alexandre out
66'Jean Lucas INErick out
67'Kaue Junior INM. Sanabria out
67'Luciano Juba INZe Guilherme out
71'TulioAssist: Giovanni Augusto
78'Yago Felipe INDavid Antunes out
78'Fernando INBruno Pacheco out
83'Rodrigo INMichel Araujo out
84'M. SanabriaHolding
89'Camilo ReijersFoul
90+2'Erick

Lineups

Chapecoense-sc
4-3-3Coach: Lacerda Rafael
Bahia
3-1-4-2Coach: Ceni Rogerio
Anderson98AndersonAnderson
Heitor5HeitorHeitor
Kauan21KauanKauan
Eduardo Doma3E. DomaEduardo Doma
Fernando12FernandoFernando
Yago Felipe88Y. FelipeYago Felipe
Camilo27CamiloCamilo
Bruno Matias16B. MatiasBruno Matias
Kevin Ramírez94K. RamírezKevin Ramírez
Giovanni Augusto10G. AugustoGiovanni Augusto
Marcinho7MarcinhoMarcinho
Ronaldo1RonaldoRonaldo
Román Gómez31R. GómezRomán Gómez
David Duarte33D. DuarteDavid Duarte
Santiago Ramos Mingo21S. Ramos MingoSantiago Ramos Mingo
Nicolás Acevedo5N. AcevedoNicolás Acevedo
Kauê Furquim57K. FurquimKauê Furquim
Jean Lucas6J. LucasJean Lucas
Luciano Juba46L. JubaLuciano Juba
Rodrigo Nestor11R. NestorRodrigo Nestor
Alejo Véliz9A. VélizAlejo Véliz
Erick Pulga16E. PulgaErick Pulga

Chapecoense-sc Substitutes

26EvertonD
9Tulio Eduardo Silva de OliveiraF
29Franco RossiF
91Bruno PachecoD
19David AntunesM
30MatheusG
6ManchaD
25Victor CaetanoD
15Rafael ThyereD
70Rubens TadeuM
97ÊnioM
18Neto PessoaF

Bahia Substitutes

8Caio AlexandreM
14ErickM
66José GuilhermeD
23Mateo SanabriaF
15Michel AraújoM
17Guido HerreraG
4KanuD
3Marco MorenoD
44Marcos VictorD
99Cristian OliveraF
27EveraldoF
12Willian JoséF

Match Stats

Chapecoense-scBahia
35%Ball Possession65%
3Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots19
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal11
9Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots4
16Fouls9
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
283Total Passes555
228Passes Accurate506
81%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
BahiaBahia
1542Elo Rating 1735
1.51Attack 2.56
1.22Defense 1.46
39%Hit Rate 86%
14.8Shots per Game 15.6
4.3Shots on Target 6.6
4.5Corners per Game 5.8
3.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend23% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BahiaBahia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1 in second half)

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
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Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Bahia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Chapecoense-sc and Bahia have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.43 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.