Internacional vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Internacional
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Atletico-MG
Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre·Lucas Casagrande, Brazil 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.69
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+11.0%
Internacional Rest
4 days
Atletico-MG Rest
2 days

Internacional vs Atletico-MG: the result in context

Internacional and Atletico-MG drew 0-0 in the Serie A on 22 Aug 2026. Atletico-MG had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Internacional.

Atletico-MG have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Internacional tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 5.8 for Atletico-MG.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.05
X
31%3.23
2
27%3.73
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
58%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 0.98 = 2.27
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.06
Over 3.5
23%3.60
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.77
Under 3.5
77%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.3 = 9.4
Over 8.5
56%1.35
Over 9.5
45%1.65
Over 10.5
34%2.06
Under 8.5
44%2.84
Under 9.5
55%2.13
Under 10.5
66%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
52%1.60
Over 4.5
36%2.20
Under 3.5
48%2.17
Under 4.5
64%1.62

Match Events

46'T. Perez INK. Castano out
46'Bernard INFred out
48'Bruno Gomes
62'FredTripping
63'Ruan Tressoldi INVitor Hugo out
64'R. Lodi INDudu out
69'K. PasciniHolding
72'R. VillagraHolding
77'Matheus Cunha INAnthoni out
78'Bruno Henrique INPaulinho Paula out
78'J. Carbonero INN. Eliasson out
81'M. Cisse INA. Franco out
90+2'Alan Patrick INAllex out
90+2'Bruno Gomes INJuninho out
90+9'Paulinho Paula
90+9'G. Mercado
90+10'K. CastanoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+10'G. MaripanUnsportsmanlike conduct

Match Stats

InternacionalAtletico-MG
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards3
23Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal4
14Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box3
11Blocked Shots2
18Fouls15
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
445Total Passes413
371Passes Accurate333
83%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

InternacionalInternacional
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
1645Elo Rating 1704
1.22Attack 0.33
2.07Defense 1.30
46%Hit Rate 0%
15.5Shots per Game 12.8
5.2Shots on Target 3.1
8.0Corners per Game 5.8
3.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

InternacionalInternacional
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

InternacionalInternacional2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Atletico-MGAtletico-MG7Wins · 70%
2.0Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A11/03/2026
Atletico-MGInternacional
10
Serie A02/11/2025
InternacionalAtletico-MG
00
Serie A13/06/2025
Atletico-MGInternacional
20
Serie A27/10/2024
Atletico-MGInternacional
13
Serie A27/06/2024
InternacionalAtletico-MG
12
Serie A01/10/2023
InternacionalAtletico-MG
02
Serie A14/05/2023
Atletico-MGInternacional
20
Serie A31/07/2022
InternacionalAtletico-MG
30
Serie A10/04/2022
Atletico-MGInternacional
20
Serie A03/10/2021
Atletico-MGInternacional
10

Recent Form

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
6W4D0L
20/08/2026
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
22
D
16/08/2026
Atletico-MGGremio
30
W
13/08/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
01
W
08/08/2026
RemoAtletico-MG
22
D
05/08/2026
JuventudeAtletico-MG
01
W
02/08/2026
Atletico-MGJuventude
00
D
27/07/2026
PalmeirasAtletico-MG
12
W
22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahia
11
D
31/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MG
01
W
28/05/2026
Atletico-MGPuerto Cabello
10
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Casagrande71 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Casagrande4.58
Other referees5.07

4.58 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Internacional vs Atletico-MG forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Internacional and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atletico-MG are 7th and Internacional 16th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Internacional 38-42, Atletico-MG 44-40. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.