Cruzeiro vs Mirassol Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 22
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.73
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.53
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+13.6%
Cruzeiro Rest
3 days
Mirassol Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.73
X24%3.51
220%5.00
Double Chance
1X80%1.17
X243%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.85
No47%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.96 = 2.55
Over 1.571%1.29
Over 2.551%1.95
Over 3.528%3.35
Under 1.529%3.35
Under 2.549%1.84
Under 3.572%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.4 + 4 = 11.3
Over 8.586%1.35
Over 9.586%1.61
Over 10.551%1.98
Under 8.514%2.80
Under 9.514%2.15
Under 10.549%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.5 = 3.8
Over 3.551%1.61
Over 4.532%2.17
Under 3.549%2.10
Under 4.568%1.64
Match Events
12'Joao MarceloAssist: Bruno Rodrigues
26'Gerson
27'Reinaldo(Penalty)
48'Kenji
59'Denilson INShaylon out
59'K. Arroyo INJ. Costa out
59'Ze Lucas INLucas Silva out
59'Kenji INWesley out
67'Matheus Pereira INKaio Jorge out
68'EliasTripping
69'Eduardo INEdson Carioca out
69'Bruno Santos INAndre Luis out
76'Kaio JorgeAssist: Fagner
80'Wallisson INAlesson out
80'Elias INIgor Formiga out
84'WesleyAssist: L. Villalba
85'WesleyUnsportsmanlike conduct
90'L. Villalba ING. Rojas out
90+4'ShaylonHolding
Lineups
CruzeiroMirassol
4-3-1-2Coach: Guanaes RafaelAvg ratingAvg rating
81O. Costa
23Fagner
43J. Marcelo
34J. Jesus
25L. Villalba
C29L. Romero
5Z. Lucas
99K. Arroyo
10M. Pereira
70K. Kenji
9B. Rodrigues
90Thomazella
18Elias
C34J. Victor
44G. Knesowitsch
6Reinaldo
80W. Luiz
55G. Cazonatti
8Denilson
33Eduardo
30B. Santos
17FernandinhoCruzeiro Substitutes
20Wesley59'for Kenji84'85'
67João Costa59'for K. Arroyo
16Lucas Silva59'for Ze Lucas
51Vitor Lamounier Rego
27Gabriel Rojas90'for L. Villalba
15Fabrício Bruno
2Kauã Moraes
12William Furtado
8Gerson26'
38Felipe Morais
19Kaio Jorge67'for Matheus Pereira76'
97Luciano Rodríguez
Mirassol Substitutes
7Shaylon59'for Denilson90+4'
23Alex Muralha
32Igor Formiga80'for Elias
12Victor Luis
3Willian Machado
2Lucas Oliveira
10Chico
25Neto Moura
19Gustavo Silva
77Alesson80'for Wallisson
95Edson Carioca69'for Eduardo
9André Luis69'for Bruno Santos
Match Stats
CruzeiroMirassol 50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots5
14Fouls18
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
374Total Passes379
313Passes Accurate321
84%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
CruzeiroMirassol1809Elo Rating 1661
2.18Attack 1.07
1.57Defense 1.94
86%Hit Rate 44%
17.0Shots per Game 13.2
7.3Shots on Target 3.3
5.5Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Cruzeiro- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Mirassol- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Cruzeiro1Wins · 33%Draws267%
Mirassol0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
11/02/2026MirassolCruzeiro22
19/08/2025MirassolCruzeiro11
29/03/2025CruzeiroMirassol21
Recent Form
Cruzeiro6W3D1L
06/08/2026Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-scCruzeiro
CoritibaCruzeiroCruzeiro
Botafogo
InternacionalCruzeiro
CruzeiroChapecoense-sc20
W02/08/2026Chapecoense-scCruzeiro00
D31/07/2026CoritibaCruzeiro01
W26/07/2026CruzeiroBotafogo01
L23/07/2026InternacionalCruzeiro12
W12/07/2026
GremioCruzeiro
GremioCruzeiro13
W04/07/2026Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting20
W01/06/2026Cruzeiro
Fluminense
CruzeiroFluminense11
D29/05/2026Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
CruzeiroBarcelona SC40
W20/05/2026
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
DMirassol4W2D4L
06/08/2026GremioMirassol
02/08/2026GremioMirassol10
LMirassolGremio11
D30/07/2026Mirassol
Remo21
W26/07/2026
Vasco DA GamaMirassol11
D18/07/2026MirassolGremio21
W30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol10
L27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
LanusMirassol10
L24/05/2026MirassolFluminense
MirassolFluminense10
W20/05/2026
Always ReadyMirassol
Always ReadyMirassol12
W16/05/2026
Atletico-MGMirassol
Atletico-MGMirassol31
LReferee Profile
4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.58 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).
Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | +42 | 76 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 73 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 60 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | +13 | 57 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | +8 | 54 | LLDLW |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | +5 | 53 | LWDLW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | +4 | 50 | LLLWW |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | +5 | 47 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | +1 | 47 | LDDWL |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 44 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 42 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 | WLWLD |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 | WLDWL |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | -16 | 38 | LLDDL |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | -6 | 37 | DWLDL |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | -20 | 29 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | -35 | 21 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 33:68 | 21 |
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About the Cruzeiro vs Mirassol forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Cruzeiro and Mirassol in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cruzeiro are 3rd and Mirassol 14th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Cruzeiro 55-48, Mirassol 39-48. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.