Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 15
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.73
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseHighGap+1.8%
Cucuta Rest
9 days
Atletico Nacional Rest
3 days
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional: result, form and history
Cucuta beat Atletico Nacional 1-0 in the Primera A on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Atletico Nacional tend to win more corners, 5.3 a game to 2.7 for Cucuta.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
119%4.33
X23%3.80
258%1.73
Double Chance
1X42%2.04
X281%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.68
No47%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1 + 1.45 = 2.45
Over 1.575%1.20
Over 2.553%1.73
Over 3.532%2.75
Under 1.525%4.00
Under 2.547%2.05
Under 3.568%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5 = 8.9
Over 8.552%1.50
Over 9.539%1.97
Over 10.529%2.34
Under 8.548%2.38
Under 9.561%1.75
Under 10.571%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.4 = 5.1
Over 3.575%-
Over 4.558%-
Under 3.525%-
Under 4.542%-
Match Events
18'N. ParraOG
27'M. Uribe
46'M. B. Carabali Lopez INY. Abonia out
52'Y. Abonia
61'N. Rodriguez INR. Escorcia out
61'K. Parra Atehortua INJ. Rengifo out
61'D. Calcaterra INK. Londono out
64'D. Perez INE. M. Duarte Barajas out
69'M. Uribe INE. Echeverria out
70'S. Tamara INJ. Ceballos out
70'L. Berdugo INL. Rios out
82'A. Roman INX. Rios out
82'J. Campuzano INM. Lozano out
Lineups
CucutaAtletico Nacional
4-4-2Avg ratingAvg rating
12F. Abadía
33S. Tamara
2H. Lópes
4J. Quiñónes
30B. Montaño
C3D. Calcaterra
21M. Carabali
10L. Berdugo
77C. Rentería
20D. Pérez
11G. Torres
25L. Marquinez
6A. Román
3N. Parra
4C. Haydar
33S. Velásquez
13N. Rodríguez
26F. Marin
21J. Campuzano
30K. Parra
C23J. Rodríguez
8M. UribeCucuta Substitutes
1Juan David Ramírez
26Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez46'for M. B. Carabali Lopez52'
27Mauricio Duarte64'for D. Perez
7Jader Manyoma
8Juan Ceballos70'for S. Tamara
16Kevin Londoño61'for D. Calcaterra
29Lucas Ríos70'for L. Berdugo
32Jhonatan Agudelo
18Cristian Córdoba
Atletico Nacional Substitutes
44Edimer Zea
20Milton Casco
31Xavi Rios82'for A. Roman
38Jhan Moreno
19Juan Manuel Rengifo61'for K. Parra Atehortua
14Elkin Rivero
35Matias Lozano82'for J. Campuzano
39Edwin Echeverria69'for M. Uribe
36Jose Rafael Escorcia61'for N. Rodriguez
Match Stats
CucutaAtletico Nacional 30%Ball Possession70%
3Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
6Total Shots18
1Shots on Goal7
2Shots off Goal8
4Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls10
2Offsides0
7Goalkeeper Saves1
260Total Passes616
199Passes Accurate548
77%Pass Accuracy89%
Team Comparison
CucutaAtletico Nacional1518Elo Rating 1735
1.61Attack 2.08
2.41Defense 2.24
86%Hit Rate 63%
8.3Shots per Game 16.2
3.1Shots on Target 6.4
2.7Corners per Game 5.3
2.5Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%
Game State Tendencies
Cucuta- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Cucuta0Wins · 0%Draws133%
Atletico Nacional2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%1.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
02/04/2026Atletico NacionalCucuta00
05/08/2025CucutaAtletico Nacional03
30/07/2025Atletico NacionalCucuta10
Recent Form
Cucuta5W2D3L
12/10/2026
ChicoCucutaCucuta
Deportivo PereiraCucuta
Llaneros
Deportivo CaliCucutaCucuta
Millonarios
Deportes TolimaCucutaCucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente MedellinCucutaCucuta
Internacional de Bogota
ChicoCucuta01
W04/10/2026CucutaDeportivo Pereira40
W27/09/2026CucutaLlaneros21
W20/09/2026Deportivo CaliCucuta30
L14/09/2026CucutaMillonarios12
L06/09/2026Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportes TolimaCucuta21
L26/08/2026CucutaAlianza Valledupar10
W23/08/2026Independiente MedellinCucuta01
W20/08/2026CucutaInternacional de Bogota11
DAtletico Nacional6W3D1L
17/10/2026ChicoAtletico NacionalAtletico NacionalIndependiente MedellinAtletico NacionalDeportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico NacionalMillonariosLlanerosAtletico NacionalInternacional de BogotaAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Águilas DoradasAtletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
ChicoAtletico Nacional14
W15/10/2026Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin32
W09/10/2026Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima00
D01/10/2026Atletico NacionalJunior31
W26/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Chapecoense-sc
25/09/2026Atletico NacionalChapecoense-sc11
DAtletico NacionalMillonarios11
D21/09/2026LlanerosAtletico Nacional20
L17/09/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional23
W13/09/2026Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas20
W08/09/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali30
WReferee Profile
5.99Cards per match
5.59Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.99 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).
Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas 18/10/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Junior 19/10/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Chico 20/10/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC 21/10/26
- Millonarios vs Once Caldas 21/10/26
- Santa Fe vs Jaguares 22/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto 23/10/26
- Junior vs Águilas Doradas 24/10/26
About the Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cucuta and Atletico Nacional in the Primera A table
The table shows a wide gap: Atletico Nacional are 1st in the Primera A, while Cucuta sit 19th, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: Cucuta 22-35, Atletico Nacional 35-15. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cucuta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.