Santa Fe vs Jaguares Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.13
SignalSTRONGModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Santa Fe Rest
3 days
Jaguares Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
176%1.25
X16%5.60
28%10.00
Double Chance
1X92%1.05
X224%3.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.84
No50%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 0.67 = 2.92
Over 1.582%1.13
Over 2.562%1.44
Over 3.542%2.14
Under 1.518%5.25
Under 2.538%2.52
Under 3.558%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.5 = 9.9
Over 8.564%1.55
Over 9.552%1.94
Over 10.540%2.54
Under 8.536%2.22
Under 9.548%1.82
Under 10.560%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 3.1 = 5.3
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
5'F. FagundezAssist: H. Rodallega
12'C. Mafla INM. Puerta out
56'J. Torres INK. D. Toscano Bassa out
56'E. Rodriguez INA. Zapata out
61'J. Lovera
63'J. Beltran INJopito out
63'R. R. Colpa Bolano INJ. Yanez out
69'W. De La Rosa IND. Lopez out
69'J. Lovera INJ. Malagon out
74'D. Torres INL. Palacios out
74'J. Obrian INO. Fernandez out
77'F. Fagundez
81'F. Fagundez
84'J. Mejia INS. Cubides out
90+2'
90+2'A. RenteriaAssist: Jopito
Lineups
Santa FeJaguares
4-2-3-1Avg ratingAvg rating
12W. Asprilla
13H. Palacios
18E. Olivera
15I. Scarpeta
32C. Mafla
7J. Torres
16D. Torres
77J. Obrian
9F. Fagúndez
25E. Rodríguez
C11H. Rodallega
12F. Mosquera
4J. Franco
6J. Lovera
29C. Henao
18L. Jiménez
5R. Colpa
21R. Bustamante
7W. De la Rosa
16J. Beltrán
9J. Mejía
C11A. RenteríaSanta Fe Substitutes
4Mateo Puerta12'for C. Mafla
31Juan Espitia
43Jean Caicedo
10Alexis Zapata56'for E. Rodriguez
8Omar Fernández74'for J. Obrian
14Luis Angel Palacios74'for D. Torres
6Kilian Toscano56'for J. Torres
39Cristhian Portocarrero
17Maximiliano Lovera
Jaguares Substitutes
1Diego Martínez
3Jerson Malagón69'for J. Lovera
24Santiago Cubides84'for J. Mejia
2Andrés Felipe Alfonso Ciprian
10Cristian Alvarez63'for J. Beltran
28Diego Zuluaga
32Jose Yanez63'for R. R. Colpa Bolano
17Darwin Lopez69'for W. De La Rosa
30Ronal Pérez
Match Stats
Santa FeJaguares 50%Ball Possession50%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal11
6Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots2
11Fouls14
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
370Total Passes372
305Passes Accurate311
82%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
Santa FeJaguares1666Elo Rating 1432
1.38Attack 1.22
1.97Defense 0.54
58%Hit Rate 19%
14.3Shots per Game 9.3
5.4Shots on Target 2.6
3.9Corners per Game 2.9
2.9Cards per Game 3.2
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+234 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Jaguares- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe5Wins · 56%Draws111%
Jaguares3Wins · 33%
3Wins · 33%2.8Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
67%3+ goals6 of 9
Previous meetings
18/02/2026JaguaresSanta Fe31
15/11/2024Santa FeJaguares30
29/04/2024JaguaresSanta Fe10
20/07/2023Santa FeJaguares10
27/01/2023JaguaresSanta Fe22
17/10/2022JaguaresSanta Fe21
02/05/2022Santa FeJaguares40
28/10/2021Santa FeJaguares31
08/02/2021JaguaresSanta Fe01
Recent Form
Santa Fe5W2D3L
19/10/2026
LlanerosSanta Fe
LlanerosSanta Fe10
L11/10/2026Santa Fe
Fortaleza FC
06/10/2026Santa FeFortaleza FC9282
W
Independiente MedellinSanta Fe01
W29/09/2026
Deportivo PereiraSanta Fe
Deportivo PereiraSanta Fe12
W26/09/2026
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
23/09/2026Union MagdalenaSanta Fe11
DSanta Fe
Deportivo Cali01
L19/09/2026
Alianza ValleduparSanta Fe
16/09/2026Alianza ValleduparSanta Fe14
W
Vasco DA GamaSanta Fe20
L12/09/2026Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima10
W09/09/2026Santa FeVasco DA Gama00
DJaguares2W4D4L
18/10/2026
MillonariosJaguaresJaguaresDeportes Tolima
Águilas DoradasJaguaresJaguaresAlianza ValleduparIndependiente MedellinJaguaresJaguaresFortaleza FC
JuniorJaguaresJaguares
America de CaliJaguares
ChicoJaguares
Once Caldas
MillonariosJaguares41
L11/10/2026JaguaresDeportes Tolima32
W03/10/2026Águilas DoradasJaguares20
L27/09/2026JaguaresAlianza Valledupar12
L23/09/2026Independiente MedellinJaguares21
L12/09/2026JaguaresFortaleza FC22
D06/09/2026JuniorJaguares33
D29/08/2026JaguaresAmerica de Cali22
D21/08/2026JaguaresChico10
W10/08/2026JaguaresOnce Caldas11
DReferee Profile
4.63Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 54% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportivo Pereira vs Chico 20/10/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC 21/10/26
- Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional 21/10/26
- Millonarios vs Once Caldas 21/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto 23/10/26
- Junior vs Águilas Doradas 24/10/26
- America de Cali vs Cucuta 25/10/26
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira 25/10/26
About the Santa Fe vs Jaguares forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Jaguares in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Santa Fe are 7th and Jaguares 16th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Jaguares 20-33. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.