Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Atletico Nacional Rest
2 days
Deportivo Pasto Rest
2 days
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: result, form and history
Atletico Nacional beat Deportivo Pasto 3-0 in the Primera A on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Atletico Nacional have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
178%1.25
X16%5.28
26%12.00
Double Chance
1X94%1.04
X222%3.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes44%2.33
No56%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.63 + 0.69 = 3.32
Over 1.580%1.20
Over 2.561%1.71
Over 3.539%2.80
Under 1.520%4.00
Under 2.539%2.06
Under 3.561%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 2.8 = 9.7
Over 8.562%1.65
Over 9.550%2.06
Over 10.538%2.67
Under 8.538%2.10
Under 9.550%1.68
Under 10.562%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.6 = 4.4
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.544%-
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.556%-
Match Events
13'E. CardonaAssist: J. Zapata
41'X. Rios
50'F. Torijano
52'R. Escorcia
56'A. Reyes
61'D. Chavez INJ. Micolta Piedahita out
61'M. Gil INP. Preciado out
65'R. Escorcia INE. Benitez out
65'E. Cabrera INK. Parra Atehortua out
65'E. Cardona INN. Rodriguez out
68'J. Perlaza INJ. Mendez out
69'N. Gil INJ. Rios out
73'C. Haydar
73'C. Haydar INW. Tesillo out
73'S. Rojas INM. Uribe out
80'H. Mancilla INS. Cordoba out
90'J. RengifoAssist: N. Rodriguez
Lineups
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto
4-4-2Avg ratingAvg rating
34F. Armani
31X. Rios
15A. Reyes
4C. Haydar
20M. Casco
28S. Rojas
80J. Zapata
36J. Rafael Escorcia
22E. Cabrera
C10E. Cardona
19J. Manuel Rengifo
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito
C2F. Torijano
5N. Gil Uribe
27H. Goyes
10D. Chávez
8E. Serje
15H. Mancilla
25F. Leys
16M. Gil
7J. PerlazaAtletico Nacional Substitutes
25Luis Marquinez
27Yeicar Perlaza
16William Tesillo73'for C. Haydar
14Elkin Rivero
13Nicolás Rodríguez65'for E. Cardona
30Kevin Parra65'for E. Cabrera
8Matheus Uribe73'for S. Rojas
32Emanuel Benitez65'for R. Escorcia
40Jhoan Quesada
Deportivo Pasto Substitutes
18Joider Micolta61'for D. Chavez
19Patrick Preciado61'for M. Gil
36Julián Quiñones
3Joyce Ossa69'for N. Gil
17John Méndez68'for J. Perlaza
32Matías Pisano
23Yeiler Góez
29Santiago Córdoba80'for H. Mancilla
13Luis Marquínez
Match Stats
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto 63%Ball Possession37%
3Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots5
7Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box3
11Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots4
16Fouls7
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
583Total Passes328
516Passes Accurate262
89%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto1735Elo Rating 1434
2.08Attack 0.14
2.24Defense 1.47
63%Hit Rate 14%
16.2Shots per Game 9.9
6.4Shots on Target 1.9
5.3Corners per Game 3.4
1.9Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+301 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.33 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional8Wins · 80%Draws220%
Deportivo Pasto0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
30/03/2026Deportivo PastoAtletico Nacional12
18/10/2025Deportivo PastoAtletico Nacional22
30/04/2025Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto30
06/12/2024Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto21
24/11/2024Deportivo PastoAtletico Nacional01
07/10/2024Deportivo PastoAtletico Nacional12
25/03/2024Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto10
26/08/2023Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto20
18/06/2023Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto32
21/05/2023Deportivo PastoAtletico Nacional11
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional5W3D2L
21/10/2026
CucutaAtletico Nacional
ChicoAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional
Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional
Millonarios
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Águilas Doradas
CucutaAtletico Nacional10
L17/10/2026ChicoAtletico Nacional14
W15/10/2026Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin32
W09/10/2026Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima00
D01/10/2026Atletico NacionalJunior31
W26/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Chapecoense-sc
25/09/2026Atletico NacionalChapecoense-sc11
DAtletico NacionalMillonarios11
D21/09/2026LlanerosAtletico Nacional20
L17/09/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional23
W13/09/2026Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas20
WDeportivo Pasto2W3D5L
20/10/2026Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
04/10/2026Deportivo PastoAlianza Valledupar01
LDeportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FC00
D26/09/2026ChicoDeportivo Pasto30
L20/09/2026Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas10
W15/09/2026
America de CaliDeportivo Pasto01
W10/09/2026Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira12
L28/08/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto11
D23/08/2026Deportivo PastoLlaneros01
LReferee Profile
6.31Cards per match
6.15Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.31 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.91).
Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC 21/10/26
- Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional 21/10/26
- Millonarios vs Once Caldas 21/10/26
- Santa Fe vs Jaguares 22/10/26
- Junior vs Águilas Doradas 24/10/26
- America de Cali vs Cucuta 25/10/26
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira 25/10/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota 25/10/26
About the Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Atletico Nacional are 1st in the Primera A, 6 points ahead of Deportivo Pasto in 3rd. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Deportivo Pasto 29-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.