São Bernardo vs Ceara Prediction

São Bernardo
3-4
Finished
HT 1-0
Ceara
Estádio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo do Campo· Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel37%RiskMediumGap+4.2%
São Bernardo Rest
2 days
Ceara Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.40
X
31%2.82
2
28%3.34
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
59%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.02
No
48%1.71
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 0.83 = 2.19
Over 1.5
67%1.46
Over 2.5
43%2.53
Over 3.5
13%4.65
Under 1.5
33%2.54
Under 2.5
57%1.50
Under 3.5
87%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
60%1.30
Over 9.5
51%1.55
Over 10.5
39%1.98
Under 8.5
40%3.05
Under 9.5
49%2.27
Under 10.5
61%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
66%1.40
Over 4.5
47%1.85
Under 3.5
34%2.60
Under 4.5
53%1.83

Match Events

23'Helder MacielAssist: Mario Sergio
31'Julio CesarFoul
46'Thalisson INGiulio out
46'R. Lopez INLucca out
46'Lucas Rian INHugo Sanches out
46'D. Davi INEchapora out
47'M. N. Ferreira BerrondoAssist: Giulio
55'EderUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'Rodrigo Ferreira INPedrinho out
56'Foguinho INHyoran out
59'Hugo Sanches
62'VinaAssist: M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
66'Giovanni Pavani INRichardson out
68'Felipe GarciaFoul
74'Joao GabrielAssist: Giulio
81'PedrinhoAssist: Mario Sergio
84'Lucas Lima INMarcao Silva out
85'Vina INMelk out
89'M. N. Ferreira Berrondo INEnzo Lodovico out
90+1'Enzo Lodovico
90+12'Lucas RianUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

São Bernardo
4-3-3Coach: Catala Ricardo
Ceara
4-4-1-1Coach: Paulista Daniel
Alex Alves1A. AlvesAlex Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira2R. FerreiraRodrigo Ferreira
Helder Maciel3H. MacielHelder Maciel
Jemerson35JemersonJemerson
Mário Sergio33M. SergioMário Sergio
Lucas Lima14L. LimaLucas Lima
Foguinho8FoguinhoFoguinho
Dudu Miraíma26D. MiraímaDudu Miraíma
Lucas Rian7L. RianLucas Rian
Felipe Garcia9F. GarciaFelipe Garcia
Daniel Davi Simão Roque37D. Davi Simão RoqueDaniel Davi Simão Roque
Richard1RichardRichard
Júlio César18J. CésarJúlio César
Thalisson Gabriel3T. GabrielThalisson Gabriel
Éder33ÉderÉder
Sávio6SávioSávio
Bryan Borges31B. BorgesBryan Borges
Giovanni Pavani21G. PavaniGiovanni Pavani
João Gabriel81J. GabrielJoão Gabriel
Nicolás Ferreira20N. FerreiraNicolás Ferreira
Vina29VinaVina
Renzo López7R. LópezRenzo López

São Bernardo Substitutes

21HugoD
27EchaporãF
42HyoranM
29PedrinhoF
12Júnior OliveiraG
6ParáD
90LuizãoD
97AugustoD
77Marcão SilvaM
10Fabrício DanielF
70Lucas ReisF
89Daniel AmorimF

Ceara Substitutes

35GiulioF
99LuccaF
26RichardsonM
22Matheus NogueiraG
12SánchezD
60Enzo Valentim LodovicoF
71Gabriel Silva RochaM
88José Wilson NetoM
40MelkM
8Matheus AraújoM
10Juan AlanoF
11Lucas MugniM

Match Stats

São BernardoCeara
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box11
7Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots3
13Fouls20
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
400Total Passes355
341Passes Accurate287
85%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

São BernardoSão Bernardo
CearaCeara
1585Elo Rating 1596
1.39Attack 1.29
2.33Defense 1.66
66%Hit Rate 44%
11.5Shots per Game 12.8
4.4Shots on Target 3.8
4.7Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend54% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
CearaCeara
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

São Bernardo 0%Draw 100%0% Ceara
1.08Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Savio Pereira Sampaio, Brazil · 13 matches analysed

3.6Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
23.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 10% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vila NovaVila Nova29156841:31+1051WDWLW
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino29148749:27+2250LDWWW
3JuventudeJuventude29148731:19+1250LLWDD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense291210736:27+946LWWDW
7CRBCRB291361042:41+145LWLWW
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife291111739:29+1044WLWLL
10GoiasGoias291261130:35-542WWLLW
11São BernardoSão Bernardo291181040:31+941WWLWL
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club291011834:31+341DWLWL
13CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara29981231:37-635WDLWL
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP29881332:36-432DLLLL
17AvaiAvai29861530:38-830LDLLL
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29452021:49-2817LLWLW
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta29342217:62-4513WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vila NovaVila Nova2941:3151
2NovorizontinoNovorizontino2949:2750
3JuventudeJuventude2931:1950
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2936:2746
7CRBCRB2942:4145
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2939:2944
10GoiasGoias2930:3542
11São BernardoSão Bernardo2940:3141
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club2934:3141
13CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2931:3735
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2932:3632
17AvaiAvai2930:3830
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2921:4917
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2917:6213
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São Bernardo vs Ceara Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

São Bernardo and Ceara have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.