Danubio vs Club Nacional Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.18
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Danubio Rest
2 days
Club Nacional Rest
6 days
Danubio vs Club Nacional: the result in context
Club Nacional beat Danubio 2-1 in the Primera División on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Club Nacional tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.5 for Danubio.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%4.37
X26%3.50
252%1.73
Double Chance
1X48%2.00
X278%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.87
No49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 1.43 = 2.50
Over 1.571%1.30
Over 2.547%1.98
Over 3.527%3.50
Under 1.529%3.20
Under 2.553%1.75
Under 3.573%1.28
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
23'Maximiliano Gómez
24'Lucas Rodríguez
37'Enzo Cabrera
43'Gonzalo Rodríguez
46'Lucas Rodríguez INBruno Zuculini out
58'Francisco Calvo
68'Bautista Euclides Tomatis INSebastián Fernández out
68'Ivan Rossi INLuis·Femia out
69'Camilo Cándido INNicolás Rodríguez out
69'Ruben Botta INluciano gonzalez out
69'mateo rinaldi
74'Emiliano Ancheta
78'Leandro Sosa INMaicol·Ferreira out
81'Emiliano Ancheta INnahuel gelos out
82'Enzo Cabrera INCristhian Andres Tizon Correa out
82'Bautista Pereira INSebastián Rodriguez out
84'Mauro Brasil
86'tiziano correa INMaximiliano Joaquin·Silvera Cabo out
87'luciano gonzalez
88'Maximiliano Gómez
90+3'Mauro Brasil
90+4'
Lineups
DanubioClub Nacional
3-4-1-2Coach: D. Carreño
1M. Goicoechea
4M. Rinaldi
19M. Brasil
3G. Rodriguez
14B. Pereira
5J. Millán
16I. Rossi
6L. Sosa
10M. Peralta
7E. Cabrera
77B. Tomatis
22A. Martín Arias
13E. Ancheta
4S. Coates
5F. Calvo
15G. Martirena
23L. Rodríguez
8S. Silva
21C. Cándido
20R. Botta
9M. Gómez
29T. CorreaDanubio Substitutes
2E. Velázquez
38J. Trasante
80C. Tizón82'for Enzo Cabrera
8S. Rodríguez82'for Bautista Pereira
32K. Martínez
33D. Garcia
20M. Ferreira78'for Leandro Sosa
30S. Fernández68'for Bautista Euclides Tomatis
28E. Femia68'for Ivan Rossi
27I. Costantino
Club Nacional Substitutes
36B. Zuculini46'for Lucas Rodríguez
32T. Viera
27T. Verón
11M. Silvera86'for tiziano correa
2A. Rogel
7N. Rodríguez69'for Camilo Cándido
39L. Gonzalez69'for Ruben Botta87'
77nahuel gelos81'replaced by Emiliano Ancheta
10A. Dos Santos
40J. Bianchi
Match Stats
DanubioClub Nacional 46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
6Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
DanubioClub Nacional1518Elo Rating 1670
2.16Attack 1.92
2.07Defense 1.98
54%Hit Rate 81%
7.2Shots per Game 9.7
2.5Shots on Target 3.6
3.5Corners per Game 7.0
3.3Cards per Game 4.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Danubio- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Club Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Danubio2Wins · 22%Draws222%
Club Nacional5Wins · 56%
5Wins · 56%2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
11/07/2026DanubioClub Nacional00
26/04/2026Club NacionalDanubio12
29/06/2025Club NacionalDanubio32
13/04/2025Club NacionalDanubio20
13/07/2024DanubioClub Nacional06
25/05/2024Club NacionalDanubio10
09/04/2023DanubioClub Nacional00
25/06/2022DanubioClub Nacional01
05/06/2022DanubioClub Nacional21
Recent Form
Danubio4W3D3L
30/10/2026
Wanderers DuraznoDanubio
25/10/2026Wanderers DuraznoDanubio03
W
Deportivo MaldonadoDanubio21
L18/10/2026Danubio
Central Espanol10
W15/10/2026Central EspanolDanubio
09/10/2026Central EspanolDanubio06
W
Atletico TorqueDanubio10
L04/10/2026Danubio
Cerro Largo21
W27/09/2026
Defensor SportingDanubio10
L24/09/2026Danubio
Penarol
20/09/2026DanubioPenarol11
DDanubio
Wanderers11
D13/09/2026
JuventudDanubio11
DClub Nacional7W2D1L
25/10/2026Club Nacional
Liverpool MontevideoClub NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoCentral EspanolClub NacionalCerro LargoClub NacionalClub NacionalDefensor SportingClub NacionalJuventud
Club NacionalLiverpool Montevideo01
L20/10/2026Club NacionalDeportivo Maldonado32
W16/10/2026Club Nacional
Rentistas
11/10/2026Club NacionalRentistas30
WCentral EspanolClub Nacional01
W06/10/2026Club NacionalAtletico Torque
26/09/2026Club NacionalAtletico Torque20
WCerro LargoClub Nacional02
W20/09/2026Club NacionalDefensor Sporting32
W16/09/2026
ProgresoClub Nacional
ProgresoClub Nacional01
W12/09/2026WanderersClub Nacional
06/09/2026WanderersClub Nacional11
DClub NacionalJuventud22
DReferee Profile
5.51Cards per match
5.18Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 95% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 52:28 | +24 | 65 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 61:43 | +18 | 64 | DWDLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 54:33 | +21 | 63 | WLDWW |
| 4 |  Racing Montevideo | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47:33 | +14 | 61 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 35 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 53:42 | +11 | 61 | LWLLW |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 47:31 | +16 | 59 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 42:44 | -2 | 51 | WLLLW |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 44 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Juventud | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 41 | DDWLL |
| 11 |  Cerro | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30:53 | -23 | 40 | LLDDW |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35:43 | -8 | 39 | WDWLD |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 35:43 | -8 | 38 | WLLDD |
| 14 |  Boston River | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 34:48 | -14 | 37 | WLWLW |
| 15 | Progreso | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 36 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 29:45 | -16 | 32 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | 52:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 36 | 61:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 36 | 54:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 36 | 47:33 | 61 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 35 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | 47:31 | 59 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | 42:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Central Espanol | 36 | 36:48 | 44 |
| 10 | Juventud | 35 | 37:43 | 41 |
| 11 | Cerro | 36 | 30:53 | 40 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | 35:43 | 39 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 36 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 14 | Boston River | 36 | 34:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Progreso | 36 | 33:51 | 36 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | 29:45 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 118:62 | +56 | 144 | LDLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 43 | 14 | 15 | 129:75 | +54 | 140 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 54:33 | +21 | 63 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 98:68 | +30 | 124 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 73 | 30 | 24 | 19 | 86:71 | +15 | 114 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 73 | 32 | 17 | 24 | 115:94 | +21 | 113 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 82:82 | 0 | 102 | DDWLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 27 | 19 | 26 | 77:81 | -4 | 100 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Boston River | 73 | 24 | 20 | 29 | 84:87 | -3 | 92 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 44 | LWLDW |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 73 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 76:84 | -8 | 87 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Cerro | 73 | 23 | 18 | 32 | 63:95 | -32 | 86 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 20 | 22 | 30 | 67:91 | -24 | 82 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 16 | 27 | 29 | 70:86 | -16 | 75 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Progreso | 73 | 20 | 15 | 38 | 71:111 | -40 | 75 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 72 | 118:62 | 144 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 72 | 129:75 | 140 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 36 | 54:33 | 63 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 72 | 98:68 | 124 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 73 | 86:71 | 114 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 73 | 115:94 | 113 |
| 7 | Juventud | 72 | 82:82 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 72 | 77:81 | 100 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 35 | 47:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Boston River | 73 | 84:87 | 92 |
| 11 | Central Espanol | 36 | 36:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 73 | 76:84 | 87 |
| 13 | Cerro | 73 | 63:95 | 86 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 72 | 67:91 | 82 |
| 15 | Danubio | 72 | 70:86 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 73 | 71:111 | 75 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWWDD |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LWLDW |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | WDWLD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | DLWLD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | WDDDL |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DDWLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | LLDDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 30 | DLWLD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:16 | +12 | 29 | DWDLD |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | +6 | 26 | LWLLW |
| 4 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 22 | WLDWW |
| 6 | Cerro | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 21 | LLDDW |
| 7 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 20 | DWDWW |
| 8 | Progreso | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 20 | LLWLL |
| 9 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 18 | DDWLL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Boston River | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 | WLWLW |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | WWWDD |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 | WDWLD |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 | WDDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 13 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 14 | 28:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Penarol | 13 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 14 | 18:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Cerro | 14 | 16:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 20:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Progreso | 14 | 15:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Juventud | 13 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 14 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 13 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 14 | 9:22 | 11 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Danubio | 13 | 7:15 | 10 |
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About the Danubio vs Club Nacional forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Danubio and Club Nacional in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Club Nacional are 5th and Danubio 16th, 29 points apart. League goal record so far: Danubio 29-45, Club Nacional 53-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Danubio have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Club Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.