Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 16
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+1.5%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Deportes Tolima Rest
7 days
Deportivo Pasto Rest
3 days
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: result, form and history
Deportivo Pasto beat Deportes Tolima 1-0 in the Primera A on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Deportes Tolima have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Deportes Tolima tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.4 for Deportivo Pasto.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.40
X20%4.29
210%7.75
Double Chance
1X90%1.08
X230%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes44%2.20
No56%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 0.72 = 2.56
Over 1.574%1.30
Over 2.549%1.97
Over 3.528%3.40
Under 1.526%3.40
Under 2.551%1.80
Under 3.572%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.3 = 9.2
Over 8.556%1.75
Over 9.544%2.24
Over 10.533%3.04
Under 8.544%1.94
Under 9.556%1.53
Under 10.567%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.6 = 5.3
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.561%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.539%-
Match Events
31'J. Hernandez
31'L. Sandoval
33'E. C. Serje OrozcoAssist: F. Torijano
43'H. E. Martinez Yepez
46'D. Chavez INJ. Micolta Piedahita out
51'J. Mera
56'H. E. Martinez Yepez INJ. Hurtado out
56'E. Valencia INL. Sanchez out
68'M. Gil INP. Preciado out
68'E. Lopez INS. P. Barbosa Gomez out
74'J. Perlaza INJ. Mendez out
74'L. Sanchez
75'M. Garavito
75'N. Gil
79'A. Parra Osorio INK. Florez out
79'J. Hernandez INJ. Valencia out
80'M. Garavito INM. S. Jimenez out
86'H. Mancilla
90+1'J. Micolta Piedahita
Lineups
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
4-5-1Avg ratingAvg rating
1N. Volpi
33J. Mosquera
71Y. Osorio
5J. Mera
20J. Hernández
C80B. Rovira
14H. Martinez
8E. Valencia
9L. Sandoval
28E. López
24A. Parra
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito
C2F. Torijano
5N. Gil Uribe
3J. Ossa
10D. Chávez
8E. Serje
25F. Leys
15H. Mancilla
7J. Perlaza
16M. GilDeportes Tolima Substitutes
13Miguel Ortega
3Jan Ángulo
30Shean Barbosa68'for E. Lopez
10Luis Sánchez56'for E. Valencia74'
18Kelvin Florez79'for A. Parra Osorio
11Jader Valencia79'for J. Hernandez
7Jorge Hurtado56'for H. E. Martinez Yepez
Deportivo Pasto Substitutes
18Joider Micolta46'for D. Chavez90+1'
36Julián Quiñones
6Santiago Jiménez80'for M. Garavito
17John Méndez74'for J. Perlaza
32Matías Pisano
24Kevin Santacruz
29Santiago Córdoba
19Patrick Preciado68'for M. Gil
13Luis Marquínez
Match Stats
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto 72%Ball Possession28%
9Corner Kicks1
5Yellow Cards4
18Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
547Total Passes221
448Passes Accurate130
82%Pass Accuracy59%
Team Comparison
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto1569Elo Rating 1434
1.01Attack 0.14
1.49Defense 1.47
0%Hit Rate 14%
12.8Shots per Game 9.9
4.9Shots on Target 1.9
5.5Corners per Game 3.4
3.3Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportes Tolima6Wins · 60%Draws110%
Deportivo Pasto3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
14/05/2026Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima02
10/05/2026Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto10
11/04/2026Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima10
12/07/2025Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima32
28/01/2025Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto20
03/10/2024Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima11
18/09/2024Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto12
24/07/2024Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto21
27/01/2024Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima14
18/09/2023Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima12
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima2W4D4L
18/10/2026
Águilas DoradasDeportes Tolima
11/10/2026Águilas DoradasDeportes Tolima21
L
JaguaresDeportes Tolima32
L09/10/2026
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima00
D03/10/2026Deportes Tolima
Chico00
D28/09/2026
Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima
21/09/2026Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima22
DDeportes Tolima
America de Cali11
D17/09/2026
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
12/09/2026Once CaldasDeportes Tolima10
L
Santa FeDeportes Tolima10
L08/09/2026
LlanerosDeportes Tolima
01/09/2026LlanerosDeportes Tolima12
WDeportes Tolima
Cucuta21
WDeportivo Pasto2W3D5L
23/10/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo PastoDeportivo PastoFortaleza FCChicoDeportivo PastoDeportivo PastoOnce CaldasAmerica de CaliDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto
Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto30
L20/10/2026Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
04/10/2026Deportivo PastoAlianza Valledupar01
LDeportivo PastoFortaleza FC00
D26/09/2026ChicoDeportivo Pasto30
L20/09/2026Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas10
W15/09/2026America de CaliDeportivo Pasto01
W10/09/2026Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira12
L28/08/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto11
DReferee Profile
5.92Cards per match
5.63Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.92 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).
Cards come from 106 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 | DLWWD |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 15 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- America de Cali vs Cucuta 25/10/26
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira 25/10/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota 25/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin 26/10/26
- Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga 27/10/26
- Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar 29/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe 30/10/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares 30/10/26
About the Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Deportivo Pasto are 3rd and Deportes Tolima 6th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Deportivo Pasto 29-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.