Millonarios vs Chico Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.55
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+1.9%
Millonarios Rest
5 days
Chico Rest
3 days
Millonarios vs Chico: the result in context
Millonarios beat Chico 3-0 in the Primera A on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Referee Jhon Ospina averages 6.27 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.25
X25%5.40
214%11.50
Double Chance
1X86%1.05
X239%3.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%2.35
No48%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.72 = 2.53
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.552%1.73
Over 3.532%2.80
Under 1.526%3.80
Under 2.548%2.05
Under 3.568%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.7 = 9.9
Over 8.559%1.44
Over 9.547%1.78
Over 10.536%2.27
Under 8.541%2.45
Under 9.553%1.90
Under 10.564%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.8
Over 3.571%-
Over 4.553%-
Under 3.529%-
Under 4.547%-
Match Events
13'Juan DiazFoul
22'Rodrigo Contreras INAndrey Estupinan out
23'Cristian BlancoFoul
29'Francisco ChaverraAssist: Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera
44'Javier BurraiDissent
45'Julian Angulo INDavid Silva out
45'Sebastián Viveros Lopez INYesus Cabrera out
55'Jacobo Pimentel INSander Navarro out
65'Cristián Mosquera INFelipe Cifuentes out
71'Andrey EstupinanAssist: Sebastián Viveros del Castillo
79'Carlos Sarabia INStiven Vega out
87'Sebastián Viveros del Castillo INAndrés Llinás out
87'Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera INYeiner Matias Romero Pino out
90+3'E. SarriaFoul
90+4'Andrey EstupinanAssist: David Silva
Lineups
MillonariosChico
4-1-4-1Coach: J. GómezAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Burrai
2C. Sarabia
4S. Barreiro
6S. Mosquera
22S. Valencia Isaza
30S. del Castillo
10D. Ruiz
18R. Ureña
24J. Angulo
27R. Contreras
13F. Chaverra
1D. Agudelo
24C. Mosquera
5J. Alomía
4J. Mena
14C. Blanco
6J. Díaz
17E. Sarria
8S. Salazar
20S. Viveros
16S. Mera
21J. PimentelMillonarios Substitutes
35Sebastián Mosquera
12J. Aguirre
20D. Banguero
11A. Estupiñán22'for Rodrigo Contreras71'90+4'
19M. García
26A. Llinás87'for Sebastián Viveros del Castillo
15Yeiner Matias Romero Pino87'replaced by Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera
14D. Silva45'for Julian Angulo
28S. Vega79'for Carlos Sarabia
Chico Substitutes
12B. Zapata
7F. Cifuentes65'for Cristián Mosquera
10Y. Cabrera45'for Sebastián Viveros Lopez
30Mateo Gomez
15S. Navarro55'for Jacobo Pimentel
19J. Pimentel Betancourt
2D. Polanco
11D. Ramírez
28Jesús Cárdenas
Match Stats
MillonariosChico 58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
24Total Shots6
12Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
11Fouls9
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves8
433Total Passes320
357Passes Accurate237
9Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
MillonariosChico1648Elo Rating 1446
1.31Attack 0.56
2.27Defense 1.34
19%Hit Rate 19%
19.2Shots per Game 12.9
6.3Shots on Target 3.4
5.2Corners per Game 5.3
3.4Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+202 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Millonarios- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Chico- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Millonarios5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Chico2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%3.3Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
23/05/2026MillonariosChico22
15/03/2026ChicoMillonarios21
13/11/2025ChicoMillonarios12
25/05/2025MillonariosChico42
15/11/2024ChicoMillonarios15
29/04/2024MillonariosChico30
26/10/2023MillonariosChico11
12/06/2023ChicoMillonarios21
28/05/2023MillonariosChico10
15/05/2023ChicoMillonarios11
Recent Form
Millonarios4W4D2L
14/09/2026
CucutaMillonariosMillonarios
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo PereiraMillonarios
Santa FeMillonariosMillonarios
Internacional de Bogota
LlanerosMillonarios
Águilas DoradasMillonariosMillonarios
Deportivo Pasto
JuniorMillonariosMillonarios
Bucaramanga
CucutaMillonarios12
W11/09/2026MillonariosDeportivo Cali11
D07/09/2026Deportivo PereiraMillonarios11
D03/09/2026Santa FeMillonarios32
L31/08/2026MillonariosInternacional de Bogota00
D28/08/2026LlanerosMillonarios02
W22/08/2026Águilas DoradasMillonarios11
D05/08/2026MillonariosDeportivo Pasto20
W02/08/2026JuniorMillonarios01
W26/07/2026MillonariosBucaramanga01
LChico2W3D5L
16/09/2026Chico
Alianza ValleduparChico
Once CaldasÁguilas DoradasChicoChico
Fortaleza FC
JaguaresChicoSanta FeChico
America de CaliChico
ChicoAlianza Valledupar12
L13/09/2026Chico
Independiente Medellin
05/09/2026ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
WChicoOnce Caldas20
W30/08/2026Águilas DoradasChico22
D26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D21/08/2026JaguaresChico10
L08/08/2026Santa FeChico20
L03/08/2026America de CaliChico70
L27/05/2026ChicoLlaneros
ChicoLlaneros01
L23/05/2026MillonariosChico
MillonariosChico22
DReferee Profile
6.27Cards per match
5.83Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.27 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.62).
Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | LWDWD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 17 | 19:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Chico vs Alianza Valledupar 16/09/26
- Internacional de Bogota vs Atletico Nacional 17/09/26
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin 18/09/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira 18/09/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta 20/09/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas 20/09/26
- Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota 20/09/26
- Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali 21/09/26
About the Millonarios vs Chico forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Millonarios and Chico in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Millonarios are 10th and Chico 18th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Millonarios 31-23, Chico 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.