Everton de Vina vs Concepción Prediction

Sausalito, Vina del Mar·Nicolas Gamboa Reyes 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Everton de Vina Rest
6 days
Concepción Rest
4 days

Everton de Vina vs Concepción: the result in context

Concepción beat Everton de Vina 2-0 in the Primera División on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Nicolas Gamboa Reyes averages 4.88 cards a game, 0.87 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.83
X
25%3.55
2
22%4.08
Double Chance
1X
78%1.21
X2
47%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 1.07 = 2.97
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.83
Over 3.5
33%3.00
Under 1.5
24%3.70
Under 2.5
46%1.94
Under 3.5
67%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.35
Over 9.5
53%1.69
Over 10.5
42%2.08
Under 8.5
35%2.86
Under 9.5
47%2.12
Under 10.5
58%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%1.44
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%2.67

Match Events

28'Ariel CáceresArgument
35'Misael DávilaFoul
53'Matías Cavalleri INAldrix Jara out
56'Braian Aaron Martínez INNicolás Baeza out
56'Óscar Opazo INLucas Soto out
64'Y. RodríguezDissent
67'Lucas SotoFoul
72'Ariel Cáceres INJorge Henríquez out
72'Aldrix JaraAssist: Joaquín Larrivey
77'Emiliano Ramos INCristian Palacios out
77'Joaquin Moya INGustavo Charrupi out
84'Jorge HenríquezAssist: Ethan Espinoza
86'Julian Alfaro INBastián Ismael Tapia Gomes out
87'Ethan Espinoza INJoaquín Montecinos out
88'Alan Medina
90+5'Bastián Ismael Tapia GomesFoul

Lineups

Everton de Vina
4-3-3Coach: W. Ribonetto
Concepción
4-3-3Coach: Fernando Díaz
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.99
I. González6.01I. González
Ó. Opazo6.92Ó. Opazo
H. Magallanes7.04H. Magallanes
D. Oyarzún7.224D. Oyarzún
E. Ramos6.711E. Ramos
B. Berríos6.521B. Berríos
J. Moya6.87J. Moya
A. Medina6.310A. Medina
J. Ovalle6.220J. Ovalle
J. Alfaro6.29J. Alfaro
B. Martínez6.129B. Martínez
N. Araya6.725N. Araya
M. González7.128M. González
N. Rodríguez6.821N. Rodríguez
F. Grillo7.337F. Grillo
C. Riquelme7.023C. Riquelme
Y. Rodríguez6.518Y. Rodríguez
M. Dávila7.222M. Dávila
M. Cavalleri6.824M. Cavalleri
A. Cáceres6.44A. Cáceres
J. Larrivey7.432J. Larrivey
E. Espinoza7.130E. Espinoza

Everton de Vina Substitutes

5R. González
6G. Charrupí77'for Joaquin Moya6.6
14N. Baeza56'for Braian Aaron Martínez6.5
25E. Kirkman
30C. Palacios77'for Emiliano Ramos6.4
8L. Soto56'for Óscar Opazo67'6.3
39Bastián Ismael Tapia Gomes86'replaced by Julian Alfaro90+5'
19V. Vega
37V. Vidal

Concepción Substitutes

12N. Veloso
3D. Carrasco
9C. Escobar
20J. Henríquez72'for Ariel Cáceres84'7.6
19A. Jara53'for Matías Cavalleri72'7.7
14S. A. Espinoza Olave
8F. Martínez
15J. Montecinos87'for Ethan Espinoza6.5
29D. Varas

Match Stats

Everton de VinaConcepción
60%Ball Possession40%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
13Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
12Fouls8
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
486Total Passes321
418Passes Accurate242
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
ConcepciónConcepción
1620Elo Rating 1593
1.94Attack 0.69
0.85Defense 1.65
34%Hit Rate 27%
14.1Shots per Game 8.5
6.9Shots on Target 2.8
5.5Corners per Game 3.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División18/05/2026
ConcepciónEverton de Vina
02

Referee Profile

Nicolas Gamboa Reyes112 matches

4.88Cards per match
4.46Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
20.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Gamboa Reyes4.88
Other referees5.75

4.88 cards a match, 0.87 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.75).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Everton de Vina vs Concepción forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Everton de Vina and Concepción in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Everton de Vina are 5th and Concepción 8th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Everton de Vina 43-35, Concepción 30-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Everton de Vina and Concepción have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.