Concepción vs Union La Calera Prediction

Estadio Municipal Ester Roa Concepcion, Concepcion·Hector Jona 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-10.4%
Concepción Rest
7 days
Union La Calera Rest
14 days

Concepción vs Union La Calera: result, form and history

Concepción and Union La Calera drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.96
X
27%3.34
2
29%3.77
Double Chance
1X
71%1.24
X2
56%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.86
No
50%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.25 = 2.53
Over 1.5
71%1.35
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.80
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
54%1.69
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'juan salomoniFoul
21'Cristian RiquelmeFoul
28'Mario SandovalArgument
28'Daniel GutiérrezArgument
45'Martín Hiriart Espinoza INMaximiliano Fernández out
50'Ethan EspinozaAssist: Cristian Riquelme
66'Jorge Henríquez INDiego Acosta out
66'Cristian Riquelme INMisael Dávila out
68'Brian Nicolás Ferreyra INMatías Campos López out
68'Joan Cruz INBayron Oyarzo out
74'Rodrigo Perez CasadaFoul
79'Penalty cancelledFausto Grillo
80'Rodrigo Perez Casada INJoaquín Soto out
84'Mario Sandoval INFernando Martinez out
89'Camilo Moya INYerko Leiva out
90+3'Ethan Espinoza INMatías Cavalleri out
90+3'Joaquín Larrivey INCarlos Escobar out
90+6'Ariel CáceresDissent
90+7'Christopher DíazAssist: Bayron Oyarzo

Lineups

Concepción
4-1-4-1Coach: Fernando Díaz
Union La Calera
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Armijo
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.61
N. Araya6.625N. Araya
A. Cáceres6.54A. Cáceres
N. Rodríguez6.821N. Rodríguez
F. Grillo7.037F. Grillo
D. Varas6.429D. Varas
Y. Rodríguez6.118Y. Rodríguez
E. Espinoza7.830E. Espinoza
M. Sandoval6.416M. Sandoval
J. Henríquez6.920J. Henríquez
C. Riquelme6.823C. Riquelme
J. Larrivey6.632J. Larrivey
N. Avellaneda7.81N. Avellaneda
C. Díaz7.225C. Díaz
J. Salomoni6.415J. Salomoni
D. Gutiérrez6.427D. Gutiérrez
C. Gutiérrez7.14C. Gutiérrez
R. Pérez6.123R. Pérez
C. Moya6.75C. Moya
J. Cruz6.520J. Cruz
S. Sáez6.811S. Sáez
M. Hiriart6.317M. Hiriart
B. Ferreyra6.332B. Ferreyra

Concepción Substitutes

22M. Dávila66'for Cristian Riquelme6.5
19A. Jara
40Franco Caceres
12N. Veloso
8F. Martínez84'for Mario Sandoval6.3
9C. Escobar90+3'for Joaquín Larrivey
27D. Acosta66'for Jorge Henríquez6.7
3D. Carrasco
24M. Cavalleri90+3'for Ethan Espinoza
7F. Romero

Union La Calera Substitutes

30Maximiliano Fernandez45'for Martín Hiriart Espinoza6.6
12N. Espinoza
19M. Campos68'for Brian Nicolás Ferreyra6.5
21Valentino Torrente
6V. Lavin
8Y. Leiva89'for Camilo Moya6.0
7B. Oyarzo68'for Joan Cruz6.9
3N. Palma
29J. Soto80'for Rodrigo Perez Casada6.2

Match Stats

ConcepciónUnion La Calera
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
11Fouls13
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves5
343Total Passes384
282Passes Accurate311
13Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ConcepciónConcepción
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
1580Elo Rating 1522
0.78Attack 0.77
1.41Defense 2.25
14%Hit Rate 17%
9.4Shots per Game 11.1
3.3Shots on Target 3.5
3.5Corners per Game 3.1
3.0Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Union La CaleraUnion La Calera1Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División14/04/2026
Union La CaleraConcepción
10

Referee Profile

Hector Jona132 matches

5.62Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hector Jona5.62
Other referees5.69

5.62 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.69).

Cards come from 82 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Concepción vs Union La Calera forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Concepción and Union La Calera in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Concepción are 10th and Union La Calera 16th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Concepción 27-30, Union La Calera 23-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Concepción and Union La Calera have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.