Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena Prediction
Chile · Regular Season - 24
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Everton de Vina Rest
13 days
D. La Serena Rest
27 days
Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena: the result in context
Everton de Vina beat D. La Serena 3-2 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.67
X24%3.82
219%4.48
Double Chance
1X81%1.17
X243%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.62
No43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.99 = 2.99
Over 1.581%1.18
Over 2.559%1.62
Over 3.536%2.60
Under 1.519%4.50
Under 2.541%2.20
Under 3.564%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.5 = 9.6
Over 8.560%1.29
Over 9.548%1.53
Over 10.536%1.90
Under 8.540%3.10
Under 9.552%2.31
Under 10.564%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.6 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.547%1.62
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.553%2.20
Match Events
10'Felipe Chamorro
14'Felipe ChamorroFoul
28'Julian AlfaroAssist: Benjamín Berríos
32'Felipe Alejandro Gutiérrez LeivaDissent
33'Nicolás BaezaArgument
37'F. DinamarcaFoul
47'Lucas AlarconFoul
54'Felipe Chamorro INGonzalo Escalante out
56'Matías MarínAssist: G. Figueroa
63'Bruno GutierrezFoul
66'Jeisson Vargas INDiego Rubio out
69'Cristian Palacios INJosué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda out
69'Emiliano Ramos INBraian Aaron Martínez out
75'Penalty confirmedJoaquin Moya
78'Braian Aaron Martínez(Penalty)
81'Nicolás Baeza INVicente Fernández out
82'G. Figueroa INAlexander Oroz out
82'Matías Marín INSebastián Díaz out
83'Lucas SotoFoul
86'Valentin Vidal INGustavo Charrupi out
86'Lucas Soto INÓscar Opazo out
89'Alan Medina(Penalty)
90+1'Franco ian rassoDissent
90+1'Ignacio GonzálezFoul
Lineups
Everton de VinaD. La Serena
3-4-3Coach: Felipe GutiérrezAvg ratingAvg rating
1I. González
8L. Soto
37V. Vidal
24D. Oyarzún
14N. Baeza
9J. Alfaro
21B. Berríos
7J. Moya
11E. Ramos
10A. Medina
30C. Palacios
31J. Tapia
34I. Rasso
5L. Alarcón
33R. Delgado
21B. Gutiérrez
14F. Chamorro
4F. Mac Allister
26F. Dinamarca
23M. Marín
2G. Figueroa
10J. VargasEverton de Vina Substitutes
6G. CharrupÃ86'for Valentin Vidal
15V. Fernández81'for Nicolás Baeza
5R. González
25E. Kirkman
28A. Leon
4H. Magallanes
29B. Martínez69'for Emiliano Ramos78'
2Ó. Opazo86'for Lucas Soto
20J. Ovalle69'for Cristian Palacios
D. La Serena Substitutes
29M. Pinto
11D. Rubio66'for Jeisson Vargas
7A. Oroz82'for G. Figueroa
1F. Lanzillota
9Á. Henríquez
16J. Gutiérrez
8G. Escalante54'for Felipe Chamorro
6S. Diaz82'for Matías Marín
28Y. Salazar
Match Stats
Everton de VinaD. La Serena 60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
13Fouls19
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
419Total Passes287
348Passes Accurate212
18Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Everton de VinaD. La Serena1644Elo Rating 1537
2.04Attack 1.74
1.87Defense 1.29
61%Hit Rate 58%
15.9Shots per Game 12.2
5.8Shots on Target 5.4
5.2Corners per Game 4.9
1.8Cards per Game 3.4
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend43% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Everton de Vina- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
D. La Serena- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Everton de Vina4Wins · 57%Draws00%
D. La Serena3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%3.1Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7
Previous meetings
11/04/2026D. La SerenaEverton de Vina10
29/08/2025Everton de VinaD. La Serena31
13/04/2025D. La SerenaEverton de Vina21
27/08/2022Everton de VinaD. La Serena40
01/04/2022D. La SerenaEverton de Vina13
28/09/2021D. La SerenaEverton de Vina02
01/05/2021Everton de VinaD. La Serena04
Recent Form
Everton de Vina5W3D2L
27/09/2026
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
NublenseEverton de VinaEverton de Vina
U. Catolica
Deportes LimacheEverton de VinaEverton de Vina
Universidad de ConcepcionEverton de Vina
A. Italiano
HuachipatoEverton de VinaEverton de Vina
Colo Colo
Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina11
D12/09/2026NublenseEverton de Vina13
W05/09/2026Everton de VinaU. Catolica01
L29/08/2026Deportes LimacheEverton de Vina03
W25/08/2026Everton de VinaUniversidad de Concepcion31
W16/08/2026Everton de VinaA. Italiano11
D08/08/2026HuachipatoEverton de Vina14
W01/08/2026Everton de VinaColo Colo34
L28/07/2026Union La CaleraEverton de Vina11
D11/07/2026
Deportes CopiapoEverton de Vina
Deportes CopiapoEverton de Vina01
WD. La Serena3W3D4L
13/09/2026D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChileD. La SerenaNublenseUnion La CaleraD. La SerenaD. La Serena
CobresalUniversidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena
Coquimbo UnidoD. La SerenaD. La Serena
O'HigginsU. CatolicaD. La Serena
D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile03
L06/09/2026D. La SerenaNublense21
W01/09/2026Union La CaleraD. La Serena01
W23/08/2026D. La SerenaCobresal33
D15/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena02
W08/08/2026Coquimbo UnidoD. La Serena11
D02/08/2026D. La SerenaO'Higgins12
L26/07/2026U. CatolicaD. La Serena33
D12/07/2026
CobreloaD. La Serena
CobreloaD. La Serena10
L05/07/2026D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La SerenaAntofagasta24
LReferee Profile
6.38Cards per match
5.63Yellow cards per match
0.75Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.38 cards a match, 0.39 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.99).
Cards come from 16 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 51:28 | +23 | 55 | DLDDW |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 45:20 | +25 | 48 | WWWWL |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 51:36 | +15 | 42 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | +10 | 39 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 46:37 | +9 | 37 | WDLWW |
| 7 | Nublense | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 | WLLLL |
| 8 | D. La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39:42 | -3 | 33 | WLLWW |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 37:35 | +2 | 32 | LWLLL |
| 10 |  Concepción | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 32 | LDDLW |
| 11 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 34:40 | -6 | 32 | DWWWD |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 29 | DWWLD |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 28 | DLLWL |
| 14 | Cobresal | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 26 | DDWLW |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 18:41 | -23 | 23 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23:42 | -19 | 21 | WDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 25 | 51:28 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 45:20 | 48 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 24 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 25 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 39:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 46:37 | 37 |
| 7 | Nublense | 25 | 30:38 | 35 |
| 8 | D. La Serena | 25 | 39:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 37:35 | 32 |
| 10 | Concepción | 25 | 27:30 | 32 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 24 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 24 | 27:32 | 29 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 25 | 29:39 | 28 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 25 | 36:46 | 26 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 18:41 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 25 | 23:42 | 21 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache 15/09/26
- Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato 16/09/26
- Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato 03/10/26
- Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion 10/10/26
- Concepción vs Union La Calera 11/10/26
- Deportes Limache vs Palestino 12/10/26
- Universidad de Chile vs Nublense 12/10/26
- A. Italiano vs Huachipato 24/10/26
About the Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Everton de Vina and D. La Serena in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Everton de Vina are 4th and D. La Serena 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Everton de Vina 41-31, D. La Serena 39-42. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.