Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina Prediction

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago·Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.14
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Universidad de Chile Rest
14 days
Everton de Vina Rest
15 days

Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina: the result in context

Universidad de Chile beat Everton de Vina 4-1 in the Primera División on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.62
X
24%4.03
2
19%4.58
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
43%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.1 = 2.82
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.53
Over 3.5
36%2.31
Under 1.5
19%5.25
Under 2.5
42%2.40
Under 3.5
64%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.34
Over 9.5
52%1.60
Over 10.5
41%2.02
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
48%2.13
Under 10.5
59%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
49%1.45
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
51%2.62

Match Events

12'Joaquin MoyaFoul
30'Eduardo VargasAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
45'nicolas montiel INJosué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda out
45+4'Eduardo VargasAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
55'Julian AlfaroFoul
57'Agustín ArceAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
59'Nicolás Baeza INBraian Aaron Martínez out
59'Valentin Vidal INHugo Magallanes out
62'Matias Zaldivia INFabián Hormazabal out
63'Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez INNicolás Fernández out
63'Charles Aránguiz INLucas Emilio Barrera Hacicki out
68'Nicolás FernándezFoul
69'Braian Aaron MartínezDissent
71'Alan MedinaFoul
73'Ignacio Vásquez INOctavio Rivero out
75'Julian Alfaro INCristian Palacios out
75'Joaquin Moya INGustavo Charrupi out
80'Cristian PalaciosAssist: Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
81'Eduardo VargasAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
81'Agustín Arce INMarcelo Díaz out
85'Card upgrade confirmedLucas Soto
86'Lucas SotoViolent conduct

Lineups

Universidad de Chile
3-4-3Coach: Fernando Gago
Everton de Vina
4-4-1-1Coach: W. Ribonetto
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.00
G. Castellón7.525G. Castellón
I. Lichnovsky6.93I. Lichnovsky
M. Zaldivia7.322M. Zaldivia
N. Ramírez7.05N. Ramírez
M. Guerrero9.37M. Guerrero
C. Aránguiz6.420C. Aránguiz
T. Reinhart6.515T. Reinhart
M. Morales6.314M. Morales
A. Arce8.228A. Arce
E. Vargas9.711E. Vargas
I. Vásquez6.423I. Vásquez
I. González6.71I. González
L. Soto4.58L. Soto
V. Vidal6.137V. Vidal
D. Oyarzún5.924D. Oyarzún
N. Baeza5.414N. Baeza
J. Alfaro5.79J. Alfaro
B. Berríos5.521B. Berríos
J. Moya6.07J. Moya
E. Ramos6.011E. Ramos
A. Medina5.910A. Medina
N. Montiel6.240N. Montiel

Universidad de Chile Substitutes

21M. Díaz81'for Agustín Arce6.5
6N. Fernández63'for Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez68'6.2
17F. Hormazábal62'for Matias Zaldivia6.6
18J. Lucero
8I. Poblete
32G. Añasgo
9O. Rivero73'for Ignacio Vásquez6.7
1C. Toselli
29L. Barrera63'for Charles Aránguiz6.8

Everton de Vina Substitutes

25E. Kirkman
4H. Magallanes59'for Valentin Vidal5.8
29B. Martínez59'for Nicolás Baeza69'6.4
2Ó. Opazo
20J. Ovalle45'for nicolas montiel6.2
30C. Palacios75'for Julian Alfaro80'7.2
19V. Vega
5R. González
6G. Charrupí75'for Joaquin Moya6.4

Match Stats

Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
48%Ball Possession52%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots10
10Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
9Fouls11
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
336Total Passes361
267Passes Accurate285
10Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
1700Elo Rating 1644
2.87Attack 2.04
2.07Defense 1.87
58%Hit Rate 61%
17.5Shots per Game 15.9
9.1Shots on Target 5.8
6.2Corners per Game 5.2
1.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina3Wins · 30%
2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa Chile27/09/2026
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
11
Primera División18/04/2026
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Chile
00
Primera División05/11/2025
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
20
Primera División28/03/2025
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Chile
20
Primera División10/11/2024
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
11
Copa Chile14/07/2024
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
4130
Copa Chile07/07/2024
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Chile
21
Primera División02/06/2024
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Chile
12
Primera División06/11/2023
Universidad de ChileEverton de Vina
12
Primera División22/04/2023
Everton de VinaUniversidad de Chile
12

Referee Profile

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo87 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.63Red cards per match
19.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Franco Esteban Jimenez Lazo5.67
Other referees5.77

5.67 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.77).

Cards come from 24 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Universidad de Chile and Everton de Vina in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Universidad de Chile are 2nd in the Primera División, 9 points ahead of Everton de Vina in 4th. League goal record so far: Universidad de Chile 45-20, Everton de Vina 41-31. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.