Colo Colo vs Concepción Prediction

Colo Colo
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Concepción
Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.83
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Colo Colo Rest
7 days
Concepción Rest
8 days

Colo Colo vs Concepción: result, form and history

Colo Colo and Concepción drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Colo Colo tend to win more corners, 7.3 a game to 3.3 for Concepción.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.40
X
21%4.50
2
15%6.75
Double Chance
1X
85%1.08
X2
36%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.83
No
43%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 0.8 = 3.05
Over 1.5
85%1.18
Over 2.5
70%1.65
Over 3.5
46%2.61
Under 1.5
15%4.34
Under 2.5
30%2.15
Under 3.5
54%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.35
Over 9.5
53%1.68
Over 10.5
40%2.04
Under 8.5
35%2.80
Under 9.5
47%2.10
Under 10.5
60%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%1.47
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%2.57

Match Events

12'Norman RodriguezAssist: Jorge Henríquez
40'Cristian RiquelmeFoul
45'Diego Ulloa INFrancisco Marchant out
59'Fernando OrtízDissent
62'Álvaro Madrid INTomás Alarcón out
62'Lautaro Pastrán INMarcos Bolados out
66'Jorge Henríquez INJoaquín Montecinos out
66'Cristian Riquelme INMisael Dávila out
67'Norman RodriguezHandball
68'Mario SandovalDissent
76'Joaquín Larrivey INCarlos Escobar out
76'Ethan Espinoza INMatías Cavalleri out
77'Fernando MartinezOG
78'Jeyson Rojas INFelipe Raipán out

Lineups

Colo Colo
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Ortiz
Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Díaz
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.64
Vózinha6.529Vózinha
J. Villagra7.12J. Villagra
I. Román6.717I. Román
É. Wiemberg6.821É. Wiemberg
J. Rojas6.528J. Rojas
Á. Madrid6.98Á. Madrid
V. Méndez7.25V. Méndez
D. Ulloa6.226D. Ulloa
L. Hernández6.624L. Hernández
L. Pastrán6.910L. Pastrán
M. Romero6.419M. Romero
N. Araya7.725N. Araya
A. Cáceres6.24A. Cáceres
N. Rodríguez7.121N. Rodríguez
D. Carrasco6.43D. Carrasco
D. Varas6.829D. Varas
F. Martínez6.08F. Martínez
M. Sandoval6.716M. Sandoval
E. Espinoza6.430E. Espinoza
J. Henríquez7.720J. Henríquez
C. Riquelme6.223C. Riquelme
J. Larrivey6.532J. Larrivey

Colo Colo Substitutes

50F. Raipan78'for Jeyson Rojas6.3
3A. Olguin
7F. Marchant45'for Diego Ulloa6.7
13M. Fernández
42C. Diaz
6T. Alarcón62'for Álvaro Madrid6.8
11M. Bolados62'for Lautaro Pastrán6.6
12E. Villanueva
31B. Torres

Concepción Substitutes

12N. Veloso
27D. Acosta
24M. Cavalleri76'for Ethan Espinoza6.4
22M. Dávila66'for Cristian Riquelme6.3
9C. Escobar76'for Joaquín Larrivey6.6
28M. González
19A. Jara
15J. Montecinos66'for Jorge Henríquez6.6
7F. Romero

Match Stats

Colo ColoConcepción
71%Ball Possession29%
9Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box2
8Blocked Shots3
8Fouls11
1Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves5
622Total Passes252
554Passes Accurate196
89%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Colo ColoColo Colo
ConcepciónConcepción
1721Elo Rating 1593
2.85Attack 0.69
1.75Defense 1.65
64%Hit Rate 27%
13.9Shots per Game 8.5
6.0Shots on Target 2.8
7.3Corners per Game 3.3
1.6Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Colo ColoColo Colo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Colo ColoColo Colo1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División05/04/2026
ConcepciónColo Colo
01

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins26941330:39-931WDLLW
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
16Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion26651519:47-2823LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2630:3931
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324
16Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2619:4723

About the Colo Colo vs Concepción forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colo Colo and Concepción in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Colo Colo are 1st and Concepción 8th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Colo Colo 59-30, Concepción 30-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Colo Colo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Colo Colo and Concepción have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.