Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel39%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Atletico Grau Rest
6 days
FBC Melgar Rest
8 days
Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar: result, form and history
Atletico Grau beat FBC Melgar 1-0 in the Primera División on 1 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 9 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.53
X26%3.00
239%2.80
Double Chance
1X61%1.39
X265%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.85
No44%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.23 = 2.45
Over 1.574%1.36
Over 2.545%2.20
Over 3.524%3.95
Under 1.526%2.85
Under 2.555%1.64
Under 3.576%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.555%1.80
Over 9.540%2.28
Over 10.529%3.04
Under 8.545%1.89
Under 9.560%1.53
Under 10.571%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.4 = 5.3
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
24'A. de la Cruz INI. Tapia out
38'L. Acevedo INF. Oncoy out
43'J. EscobarFoul
46'A. Fernandez INR. Ruidiaz out
59'M. Da LuzFoul
62'C. Bordacahar INJ. Caceres out
66'M. Da Luz INA. Vasquez out
66'P. de la Cruz INP. Lavandeira Hernandez out
69'D. Barreto
71'N. Cabanillas INM. Zegarra out
71'K. Minda INH. Orzan out
72'N. Quagliata INF. Zanelatto out
80'M. Lazo INL. Guzman out
88'G. AmeliUnsportsmanlike conduct
Match Stats
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar 
40%Ball Possession60%
0Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal9
3Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots4
12Fouls5
0Offsides2
9Goalkeeper Saves1
347Total Passes529
283Passes Accurate474
82%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar1527Elo Rating 1690
0.56Attack 1.98
0.96Defense 1.64
0%Hit Rate 42%
9.4Shots per Game 14.9
3.3Shots on Target 6.2
3.9Corners per Game 5.4
2.7Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Grau- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FBC Melgar- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Grau2Wins · 22%Draws445%
FBC Melgar3Wins · 33%
3Wins · 33%1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
15/03/2026FBC MelgarAtletico Grau00
05/10/2025Atletico GrauFBC Melgar00
19/05/2025FBC MelgarAtletico Grau11
24/09/2024FBC MelgarAtletico Grau00
21/04/2024Atletico GrauFBC Melgar12
07/07/2023FBC MelgarAtletico Grau30
04/02/2023Atletico GrauFBC Melgar30
24/10/2022Atletico GrauFBC Melgar21
25/06/2022FBC MelgarAtletico Grau10
Recent Form
Atletico Grau5W2D3L
26/08/2026Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
21/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys3242
L
FC CajamarcaAtletico Grau13
W14/08/2026Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos10
W08/08/2026
Juan Pablo II CollegeAtletico Grau00
D01/08/2026Atletico GrauSport Boys01
L25/07/2026
Sport HuancayoAtletico Grau20
L18/07/2026Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca31
W09/07/2026Atletico Grau
Carlos A. Mannucci8171
W27/06/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
22/06/2026UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
DAtletico Grau
Molinos El Pirata32
WFBC Melgar4W4D2L
23/08/2026FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC MelgarFBC MelgarFC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoFBC MelgarFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D15/08/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC Melgar03
W09/08/2026FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
L02/08/2026UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar00
D26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
W18/07/2026CiencianoFBC Melgar13
W29/06/2026FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
D12/06/2026
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar32
L31/05/2026FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
WLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 |  ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico 30/08/26
- ADT vs Sport Huancayo 30/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal 30/08/26
- Cienciano vs Cusco 31/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano 04/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca 04/09/26
- Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos 06/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 06/09/26
About the Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Grau and FBC Melgar in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, FBC Melgar are 3rd and Atletico Grau 14th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 29-41, FBC Melgar 54-37. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FBC Melgar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.