Cusco vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 9
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Cusco Rest
6 days
FBC Melgar Rest
5 days
Cusco vs FBC Melgar: the result in context
FBC Melgar beat Cusco 1-0 in the Primera División on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%1.95
X29%3.44
225%3.52
Double Chance
1X75%1.28
X254%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.65
No39%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.11 = 2.72
Over 1.580%1.25
Over 2.557%1.80
Over 3.535%2.95
Under 1.520%3.60
Under 2.543%1.95
Under 3.565%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.3 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.75
Over 9.546%2.19
Over 10.536%2.94
Under 8.541%2.01
Under 9.554%1.59
Under 10.564%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.544%1.70
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.556%2.05
Match Events
32'Ricardo LagosFoul
38'Aldair FuentesFoul
38'Juan EscobarArgument
50'Bernardo CuestaAssist: Nicolas Quagliata
61'Johnny VidalesTime wasting
62'Marcos Portillo INHoracio Orzan out
62'Nicolas Quagliata INMatias Zegarra out
62'Lucas Colitto INMiguel Silveira out
63'Nicolás Silva INJosé Manzaneda out
73'Diego Soto INJuan Manuel Tévez out
73'Ricardo Lagos INMarlon Ruidías out
76'Johnny Vidales INLautaro Guzmán out
76'Nelson Cabanillas INJesús Alcantar out
83'Jean Montano INOswaldo Valenzuela out
84'Bernardo Cuesta INAlec Deneumostier out
86'Oswaldo ValenzuelaFoul
Lineups
CuscoFBC Melgar
4-2-3-1Coach: M. RondelliAvg ratingAvg rating
28P. Díaz
21J. Zevallos
8A. Fuentes
6Á. Ampuero
3R. Lagos
88D. Soto
26N. Silva
55J. Montaño
10I. Colman
22L. Colitto
9F. Callejo
21J. Cabezudo
33M. Lazo
23J. Escobar
3L. González
27N. Cabanillas
26M. Portillo
25K. Minda
7C. Bordacahar
10N. Quagliata
11J. Vidales
9B. CuestaCusco Substitutes
14C. Diez
2C. Gamarra
77J. Herrera
7J. Manzaneda63'for Nicolás Silva
24M. Ruidías73'for Ricardo Lagos
99Miguel Silveira62'for Lucas Colitto
11J. Tévez73'for Diego Soto
16O. Valenzuela83'for Jean Montano86'
13A. Vidal
FBC Melgar Substitutes
77F. Zanelatto
66H. Orzán62'for Marcos Portillo
8L. Guzmán76'for Johnny Vidales
5A. Deneumostier84'for Bernardo Cuesta
80J. D´Arrigo
16J. Cáceres
12C. Cáceda
90J. Alcántar76'for Nelson Cabanillas
45Matias Zegarra62'for Nicolas Quagliata
Match Stats
CuscoFBC Melgar 60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots19
2Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots4
9Fouls6
0Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves2
468Total Passes330
401Passes Accurate266
86%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
CuscoFBC Melgar1577Elo Rating 1665
0.83Attack 1.56
1.51Defense 1.42
36%Hit Rate 36%
15.9Shots per Game 12.9
4.9Shots on Target 4.7
5.6Corners per Game 4.5
1.9Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cusco- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
FBC Melgar- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Cusco4Wins · 45%Draws333%
FBC Melgar2Wins · 22%
2Wins · 22%2.9Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9
Previous meetings
04/04/2026FBC MelgarCusco13
27/07/2025FBC MelgarCusco02
14/02/2025CuscoFBC Melgar01
14/07/2024CuscoFBC Melgar03
27/01/2024FBC MelgarCusco23
19/08/2023CuscoFBC Melgar11
01/04/2023FBC MelgarCusco11
04/08/2021FBC MelgarCusco22
10/08/2019FBC MelgarCusco12
Recent Form
Cusco5W0D5L
06/09/2026Cusco
UCV Moquegua
31/08/2026CuscoUCV Moquegua20
W
CiencianoCusco12
W23/08/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
L15/08/2026Cusco
Juan Pablo II College20
W07/08/2026
Comerciantes UnidosCusco31
L02/08/2026Cusco
UTC Cajamarca41
W25/07/2026
UniversitarioCusco21
L19/07/2026Cusco
Alianza Atletico41
W29/06/2026CuscoCienciano
CuscoCienciano12
L22/06/2026
Deportivo BinacionalCusco
Deportivo BinacionalCusco43
LFBC Melgar4W4D2L
07/09/2026FBC Melgar
ADT
Atletico GrauFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
FC CajamarcaUCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Sporting CristalCiencianoFBC MelgarFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
FBC MelgarADT30
W01/09/2026Atletico GrauFBC Melgar10
L23/08/2026FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D15/08/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC Melgar03
W09/08/2026FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
L02/08/2026UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar00
D26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
W18/07/2026CiencianoFBC Melgar13
W29/06/2026FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 42 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 14 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 14 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau 06/09/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima 06/09/26
- FBC Melgar vs ADT 07/09/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College 11/09/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca 12/09/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo 12/09/26
- Alianza Lima vs Universitario 13/09/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal 13/09/26
About the Cusco vs FBC Melgar forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Cusco and FBC Melgar in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, FBC Melgar are 3rd and Cusco 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Cusco 46-47, FBC Melgar 56-38. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FBC Melgar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.