FC Tokyo vs Kashima Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
FC Tokyo Rest
7 days
Kashima Rest
2 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%1.97
X29%3.59
227%3.58
Double Chance
1X73%1.28
X256%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.60
No42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.26 = 2.58
Over 1.578%1.20
Over 2.554%1.70
Over 3.534%2.65
Under 1.522%4.10
Under 2.546%2.11
Under 3.566%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.9 = 9.8
Over 8.563%1.55
Over 9.551%1.93
Over 10.540%2.46
Under 8.537%2.29
Under 9.549%1.80
Under 10.560%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5--
Over 4.5--
Under 3.5--
Under 4.5--
Match Events
3'Rio OmoriFoul
28'Shuto NaganoFoul
37'Kashif Bangnagande INKento Hashimoto out
45'Yuta Higuchi INGaku Shibasaki out
45+1'Yuta HiguchiFoul
56'José Élber Pimentel da Silva INAleksandar Čavrić out
60'Motoki NagakuraAssist: Kota Tawaratsumida
62'Yuma SuzukiDissent
70'Teruhito Nakagawa INDani Gómez out
70'Kota Tawaratsumida INShion Homma out
70'Matheus Bueno INKento Misao out
70'Ryoya Ogawa INHaruki Hayashi out
81'Dani GómezTime wasting
84'Ryuta Koike INHaruto Matsumoto out
90'Motoki Nagakura INMarcelo out
90+5'Dani GómezAssist: Kento Hashimoto
90+6'Dani Gómez
Lineups
FC TokyoKashima
4-4-2Coach: T. OnikiAvg ratingAvg rating
81K. Seung-Gyu
15R. Omori
24A. Scholz
4H. Inamura
6K. Bangnagande
33K. Tawaratsumida
20S. Nagano
8T. Ko
7S. Anzai
39T. Nakagawa
26M. Nagakura
1T. Hayakawa
25R. Koike
55N. Ueda
5I. Sekigawa
7R. Ogawa
27Y. Matsumura
14Y. Higuchi
8M. Bueno
17Élber
9L. Ceará
40Y. SuzukiFC Tokyo Substitutes
99Dani Gómez70'for Teruhito Nakagawa81'90+5'90+6'
42K. Hashimoto37'for Kashif Bangnagande
19S. Homma70'for Kota Tawaratsumida
9Marcelo Ryan90'for Motoki Nagakura
3M. Morishige
2S. Muroya
1H. Tanaka
27Kyota Tokiwa
71F. Yamada
Kashima Substitutes
21T. Yamada
23K. Tsukui
10G. Shibasaki45'for Yuta Higuchi
6K. Misao70'for Matheus Bueno
32H. Matsumoto84'for Ryuta Koike
44Daigo Hirashima
24H. Hayashu70'for Ryoya Ogawa
4K. Chida
77A. Čavrić56'for José Élber Pimentel da Silva
Match Stats
FC TokyoKashima 38%Ball Possession62%
5Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots0
16Fouls10
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
360Total Passes579
274Passes Accurate469
10Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
FC TokyoKashima1718Elo Rating 1724
3.12Attack 2.11
2.86Defense 1.99
66%Hit Rate 42%
21.5Shots per Game 17.8
7.7Shots on Target 5.9
6.5Corners per Game 8.2
0.9Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
FC Tokyo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
Kashima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FC Tokyo3Wins · 30%Draws220%
Kashima5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
23/05/2026KashimaFC Tokyo10
07/02/2026FC TokyoKashima5141
10/08/2025FC TokyoKashima01
01/03/2025KashimaFC Tokyo20
20/07/2024KashimaFC Tokyo21
07/04/2024FC TokyoKashima20
16/07/2023FC TokyoKashima13
20/05/2023KashimaFC Tokyo11
01/10/2022KashimaFC Tokyo01
29/05/2022FC TokyoKashima31
Recent Form
FC Tokyo8W1D1L
31/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaFC Tokyo
25/10/2026Fagiano OkayamaFC Tokyo04
WFC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock60
W21/10/2026FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol00
D17/10/2026
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo04
W14/10/2026Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
10/10/2026Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo10
LFC Tokyo
Urawa30
W07/10/2026FC Tokyo
Shonan Bellmare
FC TokyoShonan Bellmare40
W29/09/2026
Ehime FCFC Tokyo
19/09/2026Ehime FCFC Tokyo02
WFC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus10
W12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo02
WKashima6W3D1L
04/11/2026
Buriram UnitedKashimaKashima
Cerezo OsakaKashima
Pohang SteelersKashimaKashiwa Reysol
Kyoto SangaKashimaKashima
V-varen Nagasaki
Công An Nhân DânKashimaKashimaGamba Osaka
Buriram UnitedKashima00
D31/10/2026KashimaCerezo Osaka41
W28/10/2026KashimaPohang Steelers30
W24/10/2026KashimaKashiwa Reysol23
L21/10/2026Kyoto SangaKashima22
D17/10/2026KashimaV-varen Nagasaki20
W13/10/2026Công An Nhân DânKashima01
W09/10/2026KashimaGamba Osaka20
W23/09/2026Kashima
Ventforet Kofu
KashimaVentforet Kofu31
W19/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima33
DReferee Profile
2.81Cards per match
2.68Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
2.81 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.50).
Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 |  Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka 01/11/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy 07/11/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga 07/11/26
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama 07/11/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki 07/11/26
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale 07/11/26
- Vissel Kobe vs Urawa 08/11/26
- Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka 08/11/26
About the FC Tokyo vs Kashima forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Tokyo and Kashima in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, FC Tokyo are 1st and Kashima 6th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Tokyo 33-8, Kashima 29-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Tokyo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.