FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction

FC Tokyo
6-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Mito Hollyhock
Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu·Hayato Shimizu 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
FC Tokyo Rest
3 days
Mito Hollyhock Rest
3 days

FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock: the result in context

FC Tokyo beat Mito Hollyhock 6-0 in the J1 League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. FC Tokyo tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 2.6 for Mito Hollyhock.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.30
X
19%5.05
2
9%9.60
Double Chance
1X
91%1.05
X2
28%3.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.07
No
54%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.07 + 0.71 = 2.78
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.71
Over 3.5
33%2.72
Under 1.5
22%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.11
Under 3.5
67%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.6 + 2.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.58
Over 9.5
57%1.96
Over 10.5
46%2.48
Under 8.5
32%2.22
Under 9.5
43%1.74
Under 10.5
54%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.6 = 2.7
Over 3.5
29%-
Over 4.5
14%-
Under 3.5
71%-
Under 4.5
86%-

Match Events

15'Kein SatoFoul
32'Teruhito NakagawaAssist: Hirokazu Ishihara
46'Teruhito Nakagawa
63'Kaito Taniguchi INKeisuke Tada out
63'Chihiro Kato INMotoki Nishihara out
64'Hugo Leonardo INYu Funabashi out
64'Teruhito Nakagawa INMarcelo out
64'Kashif Bangnagande INRio Omori out
66'Soma AnzaiAssist: Kyota Tokiwa
68'Kein Sato INDani Gómez out
70'Dani GómezAssist: Hirokazu Ishihara
72'Kiichi Yamazaki INYuri Tamura out
76'Alexander ScholzAssist: Rio Omori
78'Jin Okumura INShota Yamashita out
80'Motoki Nagakura INFuki Yamada out
80'Takahiro Ko INShuto Nagano out
90+3'MarceloAssist: Fuki Yamada

Lineups

FC Tokyo
4-4-2Coach: R. Matsuhashi
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Coach: D. Kimori
Avg rating7.56
Avg rating6.09
Kim Seung-Gyu6.681K. Seung-Gyu
H. Ishihara9.422H. Ishihara
A. Scholz8.324A. Scholz
H. Inamura7.94H. Inamura
K. Bangnagande7.06K. Bangnagande
K. Sato6.310K. Sato
T. Ko6.98T. Ko
Kyota Tokiwa7.627K. Tokiwa
S. Anzai8.27S. Anzai
M. Nagakura6.926M. Nagakura
T. Nakagawa9.239T. Nakagawa
J. Słowik6.627J. Słowik
T. Mase5.725T. Mase
Y. Kimoto6.315Y. Kimoto
K. Itakura6.117K. Itakura
K. Osaki6.03K. Osaki
C. Kato5.88C. Kato
K. Yamazaki6.224K. Yamazaki
Leonardo Hugo6.438L. Hugo
H. Yamamoto6.439H. Yamamoto
J. Okumura6.530J. Okumura
K. Taniguchi6.122K. Taniguchi

FC Tokyo Substitutes

38Kio Tanaka
71F. Yamada80'for Motoki Nagakura7.1
99Dani Gómez68'for Kein Sato70'7.6
9Marcelo Ryan64'for Teruhito Nakagawa90+3'7.6
3M. Morishige
20S. Nagano80'for Takahiro Ko7.1
15R. Omori64'for Kashif Bangnagande7.3
44K. Suzuki
1H. Tanaka

Mito Hollyhock Substitutes

20Y. Funabashi64'for Hugo Leonardo5.8
50R. Ieizumi
9R. Nemoto
44M. Nishihara63'for Chihiro Kato5.9
34K. Nishikawa
29K. Tada63'for Kaito Taniguchi6.3
16Y. Tamura72'for Kiichi Yamazaki5.5
53Shota Yamashita78'for Jin Okumura5.9
2M. Fofana

Match Stats

FC TokyoMito Hollyhock
54%Ball Possession46%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots11
11Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots2
7Fouls8
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
498Total Passes432
412Passes Accurate347
8Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
1685Elo Rating 1460
1.98Attack 1.35
2.81Defense 1.90
54%Hit Rate 34%
19.6Shots per Game 4.9
5.2Shots on Target 2.1
6.2Corners per Game 2.6
1.5Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+225 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FC TokyoFC Tokyo1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1Wins · 33%
3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

J-League Cup14/10/2026
Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
10
J1 League24/04/2026
FC TokyoMito Hollyhock
52
J1 League14/03/2026
Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
5161

Recent Form

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
7W2D1L
21/10/2026
FC TokyoKashiwa Reysol
00
D
17/10/2026
Tokyo VerdyFC Tokyo
04
W
14/10/2026
Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
10
L
10/10/2026
FC TokyoUrawa
30
W
07/10/2026
FC TokyoShonan Bellmare
40
W
29/09/2026
Ehime FCFC Tokyo
02
W
19/09/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
10
W
12/09/2026
Gamba OsakaFC Tokyo
02
W
06/09/2026
FC TokyoKyoto Sanga
20
W
02/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
11
D
Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
4W1D5L
21/10/2026
Fagiano OkayamaMito Hollyhock
20
L
17/10/2026
Mito HollyhockUrawa
01
L
14/10/2026
Mito HollyhockFC Tokyo
10
W
11/10/2026
Mito HollyhockShimizu S-pulse
12
L
29/09/2026
Fukushima UnitedMito Hollyhock
07
W
19/09/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
20
L
12/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
01
L
09/09/2026
Parceiro NaganoMito Hollyhock
1040
W
05/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaMito Hollyhock
11
D
02/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKashima
42
W

Referee Profile

Hayato Shimizu172 matches

2.43Cards per match
2.29Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
19.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hayato Shimizu2.43
Other referees2.55

2.43 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.55).

Cards come from 110 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1283130:10+2027DWWWL
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1283127:8+1927WDWWW
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1282229:10+1926WLWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1281325:19+625WDLWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1272318:11+723DLWLW
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1264225:18+722WWWLD
7UrawaUrawa1270521:23-221WWWLW
8KashimaKashima1262425:21+420LDWWD
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1246216:12+418DDDDW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1251615:17-216LWLLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1242614:18-414DDWWL
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1235412:19-714DDLDD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1242610:20-1014LLDWW
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1233615:19-412LWLDD
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1225514:21-711DWDLL
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1224615:23-810DDLLW
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1223712:22-109LLLLL
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy121569:21-128WDLLL
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1221913:21-87LLLWL
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1214712:24-127DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1230:1027
2FC TokyoFC Tokyo1227:827
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1229:1026
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1225:1925
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1218:1123
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1225:1822
7UrawaUrawa1221:2321
8KashimaKashima1225:2120
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1216:1218
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1215:1716
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1214:1814
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1212:1914
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1210:2014
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1215:1912
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1214:2111
16Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1215:2310
17Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1212:229
18Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy129:218
19Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1213:217
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1212:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Tokyo are 2nd in the J1 League, while Mito Hollyhock sit 17th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Tokyo 27-8, Mito Hollyhock 12-22. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.