Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction

Fiorentina
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Juventus
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence·Andrea Colombo 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Fiorentina Rest
6 days
Juventus Rest
2 days

Fiorentina vs Juventus: result, form and history

Fiorentina and Juventus drew 2-2 in the Serie A on 8 Nov 2026. Juventus had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Fiorentina.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Andrea Colombo averages 5.01 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.38
X
28%3.40
2
42%2.20
Double Chance
1X
58%1.69
X2
70%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.67
No
45%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.42 = 2.74
Over 1.5
75%1.27
Over 2.5
51%1.85
Over 3.5
31%3.08
Under 1.5
25%3.66
Under 2.5
49%1.98
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.57
Over 9.5
46%1.99
Over 10.5
35%2.52
Under 8.5
43%2.27
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
65%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.55
Over 4.5
51%2.10
Under 3.5
31%2.40
Under 4.5
49%1.67

Match Events

4'Mateo PellegrinoAssist: Pedro Goncalves
13'Juan CabalFoul
22'Gleison BremerFoul
32'Nick WoltemadeAssist: Randal Kolo Muani
50'Christ Inao OulaïFoul
54'Alieu Njie
56'Juan Cabal INZeki Çelik out
57'Nick Woltemade INEdon Zhegrova out
57'Jérémie Boga INKerim Alajbegovic out
65'Pedro Goncalves INMarco Brescianini out
65'Christ Inao Oulaï INNicolo Fagioli out
66'Gleison BremerAssist: Douglas Luiz Soares
73'Randal Kolo MuaniDissent
78'Weston McKennie INJeff Ekhator out
86'Mateo Pellegrino INBeto out
86'Alieu Njie INWilfried Gnonto out
89'Jhon Lucumi INFederico Gatti out

Lineups

Fiorentina
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Vanoli
Juventus
4-4-2Coach: L. Spalletti
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.72
David de Gea6.643D. de Gea
Álex Jiménez6.620Á. Jiménez
R. Drăgușin7.03R. Drăgușin
Viery6.233Viery
João Mário6.517J. Mário
C. Ndour6.227C. Ndour
C. Inao Oulaï6.442C. Inao Oulaï
Franco Mastantuono6.530F. Mastantuono
Pote7.728Pote
A. Njie6.925A. Njie
Mateo Pellegrino8.232M. Pellegrino
G. Vicario7.025G. Vicario
P. Kalulu6.715P. Kalulu
Bremer6.73Bremer
J. Lucumí6.026J. Lucumí
J. Cabal6.032J. Cabal
W. McKennie5.722W. McKennie
T. Koopmeiners7.28T. Koopmeiners
Douglas Luiz7.712D. Luiz
J. Boga6.413J. Boga
R. Kolo Muani7.49R. Kolo Muani
N. Woltemade8.227N. Woltemade

Fiorentina Substitutes

23Beto86'for Mateo Pellegrino6.8
21Valde
4M. Brescianini65'for Pedro Goncalves5.9
53O. Christensen
2Dodô
44N. Fagioli65'for Christ Inao Oulaï6.1
29W. Gnonto86'for Alieu Njie6.7
19L. Lezzerini
6L. Ranieri
75D. Beldenti
73Antonio Pirrò
72B. Mazzeo

Juventus Substitutes

6L. Kelly
24D. Rugani
23C. Pinsoglio
4F. Gatti89'for Jhon Lucumi6.1
33Neto
17Kerim-Sam Alajbegović57'for Jérémie Boga6.8
2Z. Çelik56'for Juan Cabal6.3
29P. Sarr
18J. Ekhator78'for Weston McKennie6.6
11E. Zhegrova57'for Nick Woltemade6.8

Match Stats

FiorentinaJuventus
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks12
1Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots18
6Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box12
9Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots6
16Fouls18
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
323Total Passes452
273Passes Accurate384
15Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

FiorentinaFiorentina
JuventusJuventus
1736Elo Rating 1876
2.04Attack 1.61
0.83Defense 2.06
27%Hit Rate 66%
16.3Shots per Game 13.2
4.5Shots on Target 3.1
5.2Corners per Game 6.8
2.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FiorentinaFiorentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
JuventusJuventus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FiorentinaFiorentina3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
JuventusJuventus4Wins · 40%
2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A17/05/2026
JuventusFiorentina
02
Serie A22/11/2025
FiorentinaJuventus
11
Serie A16/03/2025
FiorentinaJuventus
30
Serie A29/12/2024
JuventusFiorentina
22
Serie A07/04/2024
JuventusFiorentina
10
Serie A05/11/2023
FiorentinaJuventus
01
Serie A12/02/2023
JuventusFiorentina
10
Serie A03/09/2022
FiorentinaJuventus
11
Serie A21/05/2022
FiorentinaJuventus
20
Coppa Italia20/04/2022
JuventusFiorentina
20

Referee Profile

Andrea Colombo142 matches

5.01Cards per match
4.75Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Colombo5.01
Other referees4.51

5.01 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.51).

Cards come from 119 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Fiorentina vs Juventus forecast

As a derby, this Serie A meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fiorentina and Juventus in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Juventus are 7th and Fiorentina 15th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Fiorentina 17-25, Juventus 15-12. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.