Monza vs Atalanta Prediction

Monza
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Atalanta
Stadio Brianteo, Monza·Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta 08/11/2026
MonzaMonza
0-1
Finished
AtalantaAtalanta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.31
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Monza Rest
8 days
Atalanta Rest
2 days

Monza vs Atalanta: the result in context

Atalanta beat Monza 1-0 in the Serie A on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Atalanta have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Referee Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta averages 3.95 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.40
X
26%3.82
2
45%2.04
Double Chance
1X
55%1.79
X2
71%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.42
No
38%2.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.41 = 2.58
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
58%1.48
Over 3.5
38%2.18
Under 1.5
19%5.48
Under 2.5
42%2.62
Under 3.5
62%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.57
Over 9.5
49%2.00
Over 10.5
38%2.51
Under 8.5
40%2.27
Under 9.5
51%1.78
Under 10.5
62%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%2.04
Over 4.5
35%3.15
Under 3.5
46%1.73
Under 4.5
65%1.33

Match Events

14'Eddy KouadioFoul
48'Leonardo ColomboFoul
49'Nikola Krstović
60'Eddy Kouadio INAndrea Carboni out
61'Jay Robinson INExequiel Zeballos out
72'Idrissa Toure INAdam Bakoune out
72'Ebenezer Akinsanmiro INDany Mota out
75'Elif Elmas INJonathan Rowe out
80'Mathis Mout INAndrea Colpani out
80'Sead Kolašinac INRelja Obric out
83'Nikola Krstović INFranck Kessié out
85'Éderson José dos SantosFoul
90+2'Andrea CarboniArgument
90+2'Charles De KetelaereArgument
90+3'Andrea ColpaniFoul
90+3'Ivan JuricDissent
90+4'Ivan JuricAbusive Language

Lineups

Monza
3-5-2Coach: I. Juric
Atalanta
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Sarri
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating7.09
N. Törnqvist7.51N. Törnqvist
E. Kouadio6.060E. Kouadio
S. Goglichidze6.72S. Goglichidze
L. Lucchesi7.33L. Lucchesi
I. Touré6.327I. Touré
E. Akinsanmiro6.414E. Akinsanmiro
L. Colombo6.621L. Colombo
M. Mout7.080M. Mout
Ricardo Mangas6.77R. Mangas
Gustavo Varela6.59G. Varela
Jay Robinson6.846J. Robinson
M. Carnesecchi9.229M. Carnesecchi
D. Zappacosta7.377D. Zappacosta
G. Scalvini7.542G. Scalvini
S. Kolašinac7.023S. Kolašinac
L. Bernasconi6.847L. Bernasconi
Éderson6.613Éderson
Mario Pasalic7.18M. Pasalic
E. Elmas6.899E. Elmas
C. De Ketelaere6.517C. De Ketelaere
N. Zalewski7.159N. Zalewski
N. Krstović8.090N. Krstović

Monza Substitutes

4J. Ziółkowski
22E. Zeballos61'for Jay Robinson6.6
24A. Bakoune72'for Idrissa Toure6.4
20D. Thiam
6V. Antov
44A. Carboni60'for Eddy Kouadio90+2'6.1
26P. Ciurria
28A. Colpani80'for Mathis Mout90+3'6.3
10P. Cutrone
11O. Forson
47Dany Mota72'for Ebenezer Akinsanmiro6.3
16C. Ngonge
8M. Ondoa
32M. Pessina
43A. Strajnar

Atalanta Substitutes

57M. Sportiello
51M. Sonzogni
9G. Scamacca
10L. Samardžić
11J. Rowe75'for Elif Elmas6.3
53M. Plaia
40R. Obrić80'for Sead Kolašinac6.6
19F. Kessié83'for Nikola Krstović6.7
41J. Idele
7K. Sulemana

Match Stats

MonzaAtalanta
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots2
11Fouls6
1Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves7
464Total Passes512
401Passes Accurate448
6Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

MonzaMonza
AtalantaAtalanta
1668Elo Rating 1734
1.69Attack 1.32
0.54Defense 0.71
17%Hit Rate 0%
10.0Shots per Game 16.5
4.6Shots on Target 5.9
3.0Corners per Game 7.2
1.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonzaMonza
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AtalantaAtalanta
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

MonzaMonza0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
AtalantaAtalanta6Wins · 100%
3.5Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie A04/05/2025
MonzaAtalanta
04
Serie A30/10/2024
AtalantaMonza
20
Serie A21/04/2024
MonzaAtalanta
12
Serie A02/09/2023
AtalantaMonza
30
Serie A04/06/2023
AtalantaMonza
52
Serie A05/09/2022
MonzaAtalanta
02

Referee Profile

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta51 matches

3.95Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta3.95
Other referees4.45

3.95 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).

Cards come from 21 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1052313:10+317WLWLD
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1022615:23-88WDLLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1013:1017
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1015:238
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Monza vs Atalanta forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monza and Atalanta in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atalanta are 12th and Monza 18th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Monza 17-25, Atalanta 17-20. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.