France vs Morocco Prediction

World CupWorld World · Quarter-finals
CupKnockout
France
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Morocco
Gillette Stadium, Boston·Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina 09/07/2026
FranceFrance
2-0
Finished
MoroccoMorocco

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
8.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
France Rest
4 days
Morocco Rest
5 days

France vs Morocco: result, form and history

France beat Morocco 2-0 in the World Cup on 9 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%1.60
X
41%3.80
2
17%6.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.12
X2
58%2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.95
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.11 = 2.71
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
45%1.98
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.40
Under 2.5
55%1.82
Under 3.5
75%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.5 = 8.3
Over 8.5
54%1.53
Over 9.5
45%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.38
Under 8.5
46%2.37
Under 9.5
55%1.88
Under 10.5
67%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.6 = 3.3
Over 3.5
41%2.15
Over 4.5
23%3.25
Under 3.5
59%1.65
Under 4.5
77%1.31

Match Events

28'K. Mbappe(Penalty missed)
60'K. MbappeAssist: D. Doue
62'A. Bouaddi INS. Amrabat out
62'B. El Khannouss INS. Rahimi out
63'I. Diop
66'O. DembeleAssist: K. Mbappe
71'M. Kone INW. Zaire-Emery out
74'B. Diaz ING. Yassine out
74'A. Salah-Eddine INZ. El Ouahdi out
77'K. Mbappe INJ. Mateta out
77'D. Doue INB. Barcola out
85'C. Talbi INA. Sbai out
87'J. Kounde INM. Gusto out

Lineups

France
4-2-3-1Coach: Didier Deschamps
Morocco
4-2-3-1Coach: Mohamed Ouahbi
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.51
Mike Maignan6.716M. Maignan
Jules Koundé7.05J. Koundé
Dayot Upamecano7.34D. Upamecano
William Saliba6.917W. Saliba
Lucas Digne6.93L. Digne
Manu Koné7.26M. Koné
Adrien Rabiot7.014A. Rabiot
Ousmane Dembélé8.67O. Dembélé
Michael Olise7.511M. Olise
Désiré Doué7.220D. Doué
Kylian MbappéC7.910K. Mbappé
Yassine Bounou7.61Y. Bounou
Achraf HakimiC6.32A. Hakimi
Issa Diop6.514I. Diop
Noussair Mazraoui6.03N. Mazraoui
Anass Salah-Eddine6.526A. Salah-Eddine
Ayyoub Bouaddi6.26A. Bouaddi
Neil El Aynaoui6.624N. El Aynaoui
Brahim Díaz6.510B. Díaz
Azzedine Ounahi6.78A. Ounahi
Chemsdine Talbi6.27C. Talbi
Bilal El Khannouss6.623B. El Khannouss

France Substitutes

1Brice Samba
23Robin Risser
15Ibrahima Konaté
21Lucas Hernández
2Malo Gusto87'for J. Kounde
19Theo Hernández
26Maxence Lacroix
8Aurélien Tchouaméni
18Warren Zaïre-Emery71'for M. Kone6.3
24Rayan Cherki
13N'Golo Kanté
25Maghnes Akliouche
9Marcus Thuram
22Jean-Philippe Mateta77'for K. Mbappe6.5
12Bradley Barcola77'for D. Doue6.9

Morocco Substitutes

4Sofyan Amrabat62'for A. Bouaddi6.6
9Soufiane Rahimi62'for B. El Khannouss6.3
12Munir El Kajoui
22Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti
5Marwane Saadane
13Zakaria El Ouahdi74'for A. Salah-Eddine6.7
18Chadi Riad
25Redouane Halhal
19Youssef Belammari
17Amine Sbai85'for C. Talbi6.5
16Gessime Yassine74'for B. Diaz6.3
15Samir El Mourabet
11Ismael Saibari
20Ayoub El Kaabi
21Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab

Match Stats

FranceMorocco
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box1
10Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
10Fouls13
1Goalkeeper Saves6
486Total Passes526
432Passes Accurate452
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

FranceFrance
MoroccoMorocco
1927Elo Rating 1850
2.23Attack 1.64
1.66Defense 2.47
63%Hit Rate 66%
18.5Shots per Game 12.2
7.3Shots on Target 3.7
5.9Corners per Game 4.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FranceFrance
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MoroccoMorocco
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

FranceFrance1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
MoroccoMorocco0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

World Cup14/12/2022
FranceMorocco
20

Recent Form

FranceFrance
8W1D1L
04/07/2026
ParaguayFrance
01
W30/06/2026
FranceSweden
30
W
26/06/2026
NorwayFrance
14
W
22/06/2026
FranceIraq
30
W16/06/2026
FranceSenegal
31
W
08/06/2026
FranceNorthern Ireland
31
W
04/06/2026
FranceIvory Coast
12
L
16/11/2025
AzerbaijanFrance
13
W
13/11/2025
FranceUkraine
40
W
13/10/2025
IcelandFrance
22
D
MoroccoMorocco
8W2D0L
04/07/2026
CanadaMorocco
03
W
30/06/2026
NetherlandsMorocco
2131
W
25/06/2026
MoroccoHaiti
42
W
20/06/2026
ScotlandMorocco
01
W
14/06/2026
BrazilMorocco
11
D
07/06/2026
MoroccoNorway
11
D
02/06/2026
MoroccoMadagascar
40
W
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
W
18/01/2026
SenegalMorocco
0030
W
14/01/2026
NigeriaMorocco
2040
W

Referee Profile

Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa244 matches

5.29Cards per match
5.03Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa5.31
Other referees5.12

5.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 231 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group C

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BrazilBrazil32107:1+67WWD
2MoroccoMorocco32106:3+37WWD
3ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
4HaitiHaiti30032:8-60LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BrazilBrazil37:17
2MoroccoMorocco36:37
3ScotlandScotland31:43
4HaitiHaiti32:80

Group I

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance330010:2+89WWW
2NorwayNorway32018:7+16LWW
3SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
4IraqIraq30031:12-110LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance310:29
2NorwayNorway38:76
3SenegalSenegal38:63
4IraqIraq31:120

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About the France vs Morocco forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.6 out of 10 by our context model. France and Morocco have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.