Inter vs Parma Prediction

Serie AItaly Italy · Regular Season - 6
Inter
3-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Parma
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan·Kevin Bonacina 10/10/2026
InterInter
3-0
Finished
ParmaParma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel76%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Inter Rest
7 days
Parma Rest
20 days

Inter vs Parma: result, form and history

Inter beat Parma 3-0 in the Serie A on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Inter had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Parma.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
84%1.14
X
13%8.55
2
3%17.25
Double Chance
1X
97%1.02
X2
16%5.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.09
No
55%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.28 + 0.76 = 3.04
Over 1.5
84%1.07
Over 2.5
68%1.35
Over 3.5
47%1.91
Under 1.5
16%6.75
Under 2.5
32%3.12
Under 3.5
53%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 2.8 = 10
Over 8.5
61%1.34
Over 9.5
53%1.64
Over 10.5
46%2.01
Under 8.5
39%2.81
Under 9.5
47%2.17
Under 10.5
54%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
43%2.47
Over 4.5
24%3.90
Under 3.5
57%1.50
Under 4.5
76%1.23

Match Events

13'Petar Sučić
15'Penalty confirmedPio Esposito
18'Hakan Çalhanoğlu(Penalty)
31'Marcus ThuramAssist: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
61'Pio Esposito INAnge-Yoan Bonny out
61'Marcus Thuram INLautaro Martínez out
61'Hakan Çalhanoğlu INAleksandar Stankovic out
61'Nesta Elphege INJosé David Romero out
62'Vincent Sierro INAdrián Bernabé García out
62'Giovanni Fabbian INSimone Lontani out
73'Andy Diouf INDjed Spence out
73'Federico Dimarco INLuis Henrique out
78'Franco Carboni INSascha Britschgi out
84'El Bilal Toure INMatija Frigan out

Lineups

Inter
3-5-2Coach: C. Chivu
Parma
3-4-2-1Coach: A. Gilardino
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.18
Josep Martínez7.31J. Martínez
B. Pavard7.428B. Pavard
Y. Bisseck7.131Y. Bisseck
Carlos Augusto7.030C. Augusto
A. Diouf6.617A. Diouf
P. Sučić8.28P. Sučić
H. Çalhanoğlu7.820H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Mkhitaryan7.422H. Mkhitaryan
F. Dimarco7.232F. Dimarco
M. Thuram7.99M. Thuram
F. Esposito6.394F. Esposito
E. Corvi6.240E. Corvi
M. Troilo6.537M. Troilo
Diego Carlos6.034D. Carlos
F. Carboni6.129F. Carboni
E. Del Prato6.415E. Del Prato
M. Keita6.616M. Keita
V. Sierro6.74V. Sierro
E. Valeri6.114E. Valeri
G. Fabbian5.580G. Fabbian
E. Touré5.919E. Touré
N. Elphege6.223N. Elphege

Inter Substitutes

23N. Barella
25M. Akanji
95A. Bastoni
14A. Bonny61'for Pio Esposito6.6
46L. Bovio
12R. Di Gennaro
11Luis Henrique73'for Federico Dimarco6.7
10Lautaro Martínez61'for Marcus Thuram6.7
49I. Provedel
99D. Spence73'for Andy Diouf6.4
5A. Stanković61'for Hakan Çalhanoğlu7.2
7P. Zieliński

Parma Substitutes

27S. Britschgi78'for Franco Carboni5.9
8B. Cremaschi
30G. Daffara
7Ousmane Diallo
72D. Drobnic
20M. Frigan84'for El Bilal Toure6.3
22S. Ghidotti
47Abdou Konate
76S. Lontani62'for Giovanni Fabbian6.5
32C. Ordoñez
9D. Romero61'for Nesta Elphege6.3
10Adrián Bernabé62'for Vincent Sierro5.8
70D. Diallo

Match Stats

InterParma
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks1
19Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls9
6Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
634Total Passes433
574Passes Accurate367
8Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

InterInter
ParmaParma
1975Elo Rating 1634
2.32Attack 0.74
1.71Defense 0.74
66%Hit Rate 17%
18.6Shots per Game 13.0
7.2Shots on Target 4.5
4.3Corners per Game 3.3
2.8Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+341 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
ParmaParma
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

InterInter4Wins · 57%
Draws343%
ParmaParma0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie A03/05/2026
InterParma
20
Serie A07/01/2026
ParmaInter
02
Serie A05/04/2025
ParmaInter
22
Serie A06/12/2024
InterParma
31
Coppa Italia10/01/2023
InterParma
2111
Serie A04/03/2021
ParmaInter
12
Serie A31/10/2020
InterParma
22

Recent Form

InterInter
7W2D1L
03/10/2026
InterLumezzane
20
W
19/09/2026
AS RomaInter
22
D14/09/2026
InterUdinese
53
W08/09/2026
Real MadridInter
21
L05/09/2026
InterNapoli
32
W30/08/2026
CagliariInter
01
W22/08/2026
InterMonza
41
W
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
W
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
ParmaParma
2W3D5L
20/09/2026
ParmaGenoa
21
W14/09/2026
ComoParma
21
L06/09/2026
ParmaMonza
11
D
01/09/2026
ParmaCremonese
02
L
29/08/2026
JuventusParma
20
L22/08/2026
ParmaCagliari
01
L14/08/2026
ParmaCatania
20
W
09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
02
L
02/08/2026
ParmaIraklis 1908
11
D
30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
11
D

Referee Profile

Kevin Bonacina92 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kevin Bonacina4.28
Other referees4.61

4.28 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.61).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
2InterInter871023:10+1322WWWDW
3AS RomaAS Roma853019:6+1318DWDDW
4AC MilanAC Milan853016:7+918WWDWD
5ComoComo852114:7+717WWDLW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino841313:11+213WWWDL
9CagliariCagliari84136:9-313LLDWW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
12LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
13BolognaBologna82248:10-28WLWDL
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese81169:18-94LLLLL
18FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
19ParmaParma81165:15-104LLLWL
20VeneziaVenezia81076:17-113LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio922:725
2InterInter823:1022
3AS RomaAS Roma819:618
4AC MilanAC Milan816:718
5ComoComo814:717
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino813:1113
9CagliariCagliari86:913
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
12LecceLecce89:149
13BolognaBologna88:108
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese89:184
18FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
19ParmaParma85:154
20VeneziaVenezia86:173
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About the Inter vs Parma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inter and Parma in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: Inter are 2nd in the Serie A, while Parma sit 19th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Inter 23-10, Parma 5-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.