AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

AC Milan
-
20/09/2026
20:45
Lecce
F. La Penna
AC MilanAC Milan
20/09/202620:45
LecceLecce

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel66%RiskMediumGap-7.7%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.78
SignalGOODModel59%RiskMediumGap+3.0%
AC Milan Rest
3 days
Lecce Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.26
X
18%6.00
2
9%11.75
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
27%3.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.07
No
54%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.85 = 2.74
Over 1.5
79%1.16
Over 2.5
58%1.60
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.55
Under 2.5
42%2.38
Under 3.5
64%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.4 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.58
Over 9.5
41%1.99
Over 10.5
30%2.55
Under 8.5
47%2.25
Under 9.5
59%1.78
Under 10.5
70%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%2.11
Over 4.5
33%3.37
Under 3.5
47%1.68
Under 4.5
67%1.29

Team Comparison

AC MilanAC Milan
LecceLecce
1828Elo Rating 1677
1.27Attack 1.14
1.67Defense 1.17
31%Hit Rate 44%
13.9Shots per Game 10.1
4.3Shots on Target 3.5
4.7Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+151 Elo

Game State Tendencies

AC MilanAC Milan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0 in first half)
LecceLecce
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

AC Milan 100%Draw 0%0% Lecce
2.62Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

F. La Penna · 52 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
26.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 77% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma541014:3+1113DWWWW
2InterInter541015:8+713DWWWW
3LazioLazio54108:3+513WDWWW
4CagliariCagliari54015:2+312WWWLW
5ComoComo43109:4+510WWWD
6AC MilanAC Milan42207:4+38DDWW
7FrosinoneFrosinone42117:4+37DWWL
8JuventusJuventus42116:4+27LDWW
9NapoliNapoli52127:6+17DWLLW
10SassuoloSassuolo52129:907LWDWL
11AtalantaAtalanta42025:506LLWW
12LecceLecce42025:7-26WLLW
13UdineseUdinese51138:11-34LLLWD
14TorinoTorino51135:8-34DLWLL
15MonzaMonza51138:12-44WLDLL
16FiorentinaFiorentina51136:12-64DWLLL
17BolognaBologna50233:6-32DLDLL
18ParmaParma40132:6-41LDLL
19GenoaGenoa40132:8-61DLLL
20VeneziaVenezia50054:13-90LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma514:313
2InterInter515:813
3LazioLazio58:313
4CagliariCagliari55:212
5ComoComo49:410
6AC MilanAC Milan47:48
7FrosinoneFrosinone47:47
8JuventusJuventus46:47
9NapoliNapoli57:67
10SassuoloSassuolo59:97
11AtalantaAtalanta45:56
12LecceLecce45:76
13UdineseUdinese58:114
14TorinoTorino55:84
15MonzaMonza58:124
16FiorentinaFiorentina56:124
17BolognaBologna53:62
18ParmaParma42:61
19GenoaGenoa42:81
20VeneziaVenezia54:130
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Italy football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Milan and Lecce have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.62 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.