Leganes vs Burgos Prediction

Leganes
3-1
Finished
HT 3-0
Burgos
Municipal de Butarque, Leganes·Gonzalo Romero Freixas 13/11/2026
LeganesLeganes
3-1
Finished
BurgosBurgos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Leganes Rest
3 days
Burgos Rest
6 days

Leganes vs Burgos: result, form and history

Leganes beat Burgos 3-1 in the Segunda División on 13 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Burgos had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leganes.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.38
X
28%3.11
2
38%3.00
Double Chance
1X
62%1.35
X2
66%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.87
No
47%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.49 = 2.59
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.25
Over 3.5
26%4.05
Under 1.5
29%2.95
Under 2.5
55%1.65
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.7 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.65
Over 9.5
53%2.10
Over 10.5
41%2.82
Under 8.5
35%2.06
Under 9.5
47%1.65
Under 10.5
59%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
--
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
--

Match Events

14'Pablo GaldamesNot retreating
17'Dani Rodriguez(Penalty)
20'Miguel AtienzaFoul
27'Oier Luengo RedondoOG
30'Álex MillánAssist: Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
32'Dani RodriguezFoul
45+2'Goal cancelledÁlvaro Morata
56'Oier Luengo Redondo INSergio González out
56'Pablo Galdames INSantiago Lencina out
60'Unai VencedorFoul
61'Unax del Cura INYassine Kechta out
64'CurroFoul
67'Álex Millán INPatrick Soko out
67'Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez INNaim Garcia out
67'Curro INFermin Garcia Murillo out
67'Álex Forés INVictor Mollejo out
72'Penalty cancelledAlberto Dadie
76'Javier Llabrés Exposito INIrian Ribas Carrasco out
78'Álvaro Tejero INJorge Martínez out
78'Dani Rodriguez INZico Buurmeester out
79'Grego SierraFoul
82'Álvaro MorataFoul
90+4'Irian Ribas CarrascoAssist: Santiago Lencina

Lineups

Leganes
4-4-2Coach: Luis Carrión
Burgos
4-2-3-1Coach: Sergio Francisco
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.17
L. Zidane6.313L. Zidane
Álvaro Tejero6.923Á. Tejero
Rubén Pulido7.24R. Pulido
Ignasi Miquel7.45I. Miquel
Marvel7.32Marvel
U. del Cura6.016U. del Cura
Miguel Atienza6.320M. Atienza
Dani Rodríguez6.914D. Rodríguez
Álex Sancris7.122Á. Sancris
Álex Millán8.09Á. Millán
Álvaro Morata6.421Á. Morata
Ander Cantero5.513A. Cantero
Álex6.42Álex
Oier Luengo4.615O. Luengo
Grego5.88Grego
Ignasi Vilarrasa6.83I. Vilarrasa
Unai Vencedor6.612U. Vencedor
P. Galdames6.34P. Galdames
Alberto Dadie5.923A. Dadie
Curro Sánchez5.416C. Sánchez
Javi Llabrés6.719J. Llabrés
Álex Forés6.59Á. Forés

Leganes Substitutes

1Raúl Fernández
32Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
15Enric Franquesa
11Naim García67'for Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez6.6
33J. Herrero
8Y. Kechta61'for Unax del Cura6.9
31Nico Lozano
39Jorge Martínez78'replaced by Álvaro Tejero
19P. Soko67'for Álex Millán6.5
40Diego Pérez Moreno
10Z. Buurmeester78'for Dani Rodriguez6.5

Burgos Substitutes

5Marcelo Expósito
21Fermin Garcia67'for Curro6.4
6Sergio González56'for Oier Luengo Redondo6.2
20José Gragera
24S. Lencinas56'for Pablo Galdames6.0
22Brais Martínez
36I. Martinez
11Víctor Mollejo67'for Álex Forés6.3
30M. Monedero
31Irian Ribas76'for Javier Llabrés Exposito90+4'7.4
18Saúl del Cerro
17Mario Cantero

Match Stats

LeganesBurgos
40%Ball Possession60%
4Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards4
7Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal10
6Shots Inside Box10
1Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots7
10Fouls18
4Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves1
321Total Passes455
257Passes Accurate400
15Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

LeganesLeganes
BurgosBurgos
1532Elo Rating 1692
1.04Attack 1.94
0.44Defense 1.74
0%Hit Rate 59%
13.2Shots per Game 13.7
4.3Shots on Target 5.6
4.5Corners per Game 4.0
4.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeganesLeganes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
BurgosBurgos
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

LeganesLeganes2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
BurgosBurgos4Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Segunda División31/01/2026
BurgosLeganes
21
Segunda División01/11/2025
LeganesBurgos
12
Segunda División22/01/2024
LeganesBurgos
20
Segunda División04/10/2023
BurgosLeganes
10
Segunda División12/05/2023
BurgosLeganes
03
Segunda División18/09/2022
LeganesBurgos
00
Segunda División23/01/2022
BurgosLeganes
40
Segunda División23/08/2021
LeganesBurgos
00

Referee Profile

Gonzalo Romero Freixas5 matches analysed

4.71Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 72% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1392224:10+1429WDDWW
2CastellónCastellón1283123:5+1827DWWLD
3BurgosBurgos1373319:14+524WDWWL
4EibarEibar1272321:14+723DLDLW
5Granada CFGranada CF1272320:14+623WWWWW
6MallorcaMallorca1264215:7+822WDDWD
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1371514:15-122LWLWW
8GironaGirona1363422:12+1021LLWWD
9OviedoOviedo1363419:16+321WLDWW
10Las PalmasLas Palmas1362519:21-220WWWLL
11CordobaCordoba1361622:22019WDWWL
12ValladolidValladolid1353522:20+218WWLLW
13SabadellSabadell1346312:11+118DLDLW
14TenerifeTenerife1236315:17-215DDDDL
15EldenseEldense1342713:19-614LLLWW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1334619:25-613LDLDW
17Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1333715:22-712DWLLL
18LeganesLeganes1333711:23-1212LLDLL
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1232717:22-511DLLWD
20CadizCadiz1324716:18-210LLWLL
21AlbaceteAlbacete1331913:24-1110WWWLL
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC13121010:30-205LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1324:1029
2CastellónCastellón1223:527
3BurgosBurgos1319:1424
4EibarEibar1221:1423
5Granada CFGranada CF1220:1423
6MallorcaMallorca1215:722
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1314:1522
8GironaGirona1322:1221
9OviedoOviedo1319:1621
10Las PalmasLas Palmas1319:2120
11CordobaCordoba1322:2219
12ValladolidValladolid1322:2018
13SabadellSabadell1312:1118
14TenerifeTenerife1215:1715
15EldenseEldense1313:1914
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1319:2513
17Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1315:2212
18LeganesLeganes1311:2312
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1217:2211
20CadizCadiz1316:1810
21AlbaceteAlbacete1313:2410
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1310:305
PromotionRelegation

About the Leganes vs Burgos forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Leganes and Burgos in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Burgos are 3rd and Leganes 18th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Leganes 11-23, Burgos 19-14. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.